Racing tips

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This part of the thread is normally a recap of the previous day's selections, but I'm out and about on Saturday so unfortunately I can't do that today.

Curragh 4:35 – Shamida 5/2 (2pt)

I put up Shamida at Cork on Friday but she was withdrawn due to some horrendous weather and ground. I thought she would've been fine on the testing ground, but Dermot Weld clearly felt it was the right call to pull her from the race.

The Curragh is expecting a few showers on Saturday so the ground will probably turn to yielding at the most, which should be what Dermot will be perfectly fine with. I think this filly has a progressive profile as I stated the other day and I think she will have too much for the older horses today who don't look amazing. I fully expect Library to be a NR which will leave a decent-sized rule 4, and if she was to run she would've been the main threat. Shamida has won her last two starts and was impressive in defeat to Warm Heart the time before, that filly has franked the form and so have the fillies who were behind Shamida on her two wins. She is a strong stayer, so the small field isn't an ideal scenario as it can become muddling but I expect Chris Hayes to take the initiative and go from the front which he is very good at.

On ratings and weights, Okita Soushi should follow her home, but the others have a big ask to give away the weight to the 3yo. Dawn Rising scrambled home over 2m 5f at Royal Ascot, he might be better over shorter but he was behind Point King in his previous run, and that form doesn't look particularly great. I'd be very surprised if my selection doesn't win this.

Sandown 5:45 – Island Bandit 8/1 (1pt EW)

The Sunday Series is always a competitive card to get stuck into, but I can't leave Island Bandit to go unbacked at the odds.

Heather Main has had a good season so far and does very well with her yard which is clearly a lot smaller than most in the country. This 4yo gelding of Zarak is suited by Sandown and is 2/3 at the track, with the defeat coming on debut as a 2yo on heavy ground, so that's hardly a fair representation as she is much better on faster ground, as she proved when winning on her only other two visits to this venue. She won this race 12 months ago off a mark of 73 which was effectively 68 as Gina Mangan claimed 5lbs that day, which means she will have to run a career best to win this today off a 7lb higher mark with Gina's 3lb claim she has today, but this is a race which has clearly been targetted at because of the 20k on offer which is rare for a horse of Island Bandit's level.

She ran well at Ascot last time and the form looks solid for the Class 4 grade. The 5th and 2nd have come out and won since and the winner still looks capable of winning races in the future of his revised mark.

Heather has had a couple of winners in the last fortnight including a 4.75L win on 28/1 shot Zoulu Chief who was partnered up with today's rider, Gina Mangan. So that shows the odds don't affect this horse's chance of winning and I think he is a cracking EW bet for a race he has clearly been laid out for.

Deauville 3:25 – Valiant Force 6/1 (1pt)

As always with French racing there's a conflicting report on the ground, but I feel like the best source to use is TurfTrax and they claim that Deauville is good to soft on most parts of the track, with a little bit of soft on the straight which won't affect this race. Deauville is expecting sunny spells and the ground should turn to good, so take that into account.

Valiant Force sprung a huge surprise at Royal Ascot when winning at odds of 150/1. Normally you'd think that was a fluke but I think there is plenty of substance to suggest he can continue to improve. The form looks okay, with Elite Status franking the form recently. There's no doubt that there are stronger pieces of form to follow, but I thought he won the Norfolk Stakes with plenty to spare; he was in the lead for a long time and started to get lonely in front which you could notice as he started to wander around.

AMO Racing is really getting into action now and they recently landed their first Group 1 with Adrian Murray's Bucanero Fuerte, he's the trainer of Valiant Force. He will have had them do pieces of work together, so he'll know what level of horse Valiant Force is and it looks like they've got a pacemaker for Valiant Force in the form of Thunder Blue.

Horse Racing Tips
Shamida
Curragh - 4:35 pm

@ The Pools

Island Bandit
Sandown Park - 5:45 pm

@ The Pools

Valiant Force
Deauville (FR) - 3:25 pm

@ The Pools

41 Comments
  1. dazzman1979 8 months ago

    Loopy loser Sunday !!!!

    4:10 Southwell- Ibiza love 8/1 e/w

    3
    • dazzman1979 8 months ago

      Drifted to 14/1 that will do 😂

      1
  2. elvis parsley 8 months ago

    Ramatouelle 3-25 deauville 🇫🇷
    5-2 NAP 🏇.

    Best juvenile I’ve seen this season, acid test today, good race and a great all round card, better than the UK dross.

    1
    • elvis parsley 8 months ago

      Jannah rose 12-58 deauville 🇫🇷
      6-4 win @hills .

      Short price but over priced in my opinion.
      Her one serious rival finished behind her in the french oaks.

      3
  3. dazzman1979 8 months ago

    11:25 Scottsville – gorgeous guy 7/2

    • dazzman1979 8 months ago

      3:00 scottsville – woodland retreat – 7/1 e/w

  4. elvis parsley 8 months ago

    Other picks at deauville 🇫🇷

    1-33 fang 11-8 @hills

    2-15 integrant
    7-1 win
    2-1 top 3 finish SKYBET
    20-80 stake

    2-49 above the curve 4-1 @hills

    4-00 sober 11-4 @hills

    3
  5. azzthewigan 8 months ago

    barley cove 2.00 ew

  6. azzthewigan 8 months ago

    one for bobby 2.50 ew. deauville

  7. azzthewigan 8 months ago

    excel in space 2.30 ew

  8. azzthewigan 8 months ago

    sajir 3.25 ew deauville

  9. azzthewigan 8 months ago

    well done all winners yesterday

  10. Gateacre Pete 8 months ago

    Benerville 5.35 Curr @ 50s top 5
    Trusty Rusty 4.15 Sand @ 35s ew extra top 7
    GL

    2
  11. azzthewigan 8 months ago

    aricabo 3.45 ew well done all winners today

  12. azzthewigan 8 months ago

    crooked crown 3.45 ew soz

  13. azzthewigan 8 months ago

    4.15 aricabo ew

  14. dazzman1979 8 months ago

    4:35 curragh – dawn rising 4/1 💰

    2
    • dazzman1979 8 months ago

      Worth a go at the price !

      1
  15. azzthewigan 8 months ago

    wind river 4.45 ew

  16. azzthewigan 8 months ago

    wisper 5.15 ew

    1
  17. dazzman1979 8 months ago

    4:45 sandown dark tornado 10/1 e/w

    1
  18. dazzman1979 8 months ago

    Race 9 gulfstream- partner tours 5/1

    2
    • dazzman1979 8 months ago

      And that’s how it’s done 💰💰💰😂😂 hope you were on recoba at the bigger price of 15/2

    • recoba 8 months ago

      10/1 thanks 😉 👏

      1
  19. recoba 8 months ago

    Well done the winners today.
    Rizzle and Shamila tip just about saved the UK n Ireland betting day. France was good watch. 👀 🐈 🦨

    🇺🇸 / 🇨🇦
    🫘
    Gulfstream -R3….Nelida 6/4 ****
    R6…Dear Dad 7/4 ***+
    Saratoga -R4…Amidst Waves 11/8 ***** Coral
    Woodbine -R7…Patches O’Holloiham 3/1 ***** Bet365 crazy price from them win or not!
    R9….Moira 5/2 Coral ****. Best price but coming in with most was 11/4
    R10…Kalik 5/2 Skybet boost ***. OF likes the synthetic then should take all the beating of it was on turf at 5/2 be odds on for sure!

    GL all 🫡 🇨🇦 🇺🇸 👨‍⚖️

    • recoba 8 months ago

      First at Gulfsteam and the Saratoga pick be good for a double or 2x singles and a double.
      Well I’ve done that is what I mean but I’ve ZERO patience I want to lose my money early and fast! 😋
      Dear Dad at Gulfstream is an open race but he’s by far best form so far.

      There’s a winning Yankee or fittingly a Canadian in and about there tonight!
      A Heinz even which really ain’t my thing but shoot for the moon!

      NOT saying with my picks but…it’s out there! 😉

    • dazzman1979 8 months ago

      Dear dad beaten by a 16/1 shot 😂 this is why we all lose 😂

  20. azzthewigan 8 months ago

    zarga 6.15 nap

  21. azzthewigan 8 months ago

    zarga .marinara rev fc 6.15

  22. recoba 8 months ago

    Just for a watch! 👀
    🇬🇧/ 🇺🇸
    Just notice Lion Of War that won Stakes race at Newmarket last year is making USA debut Saratoga FIRST race .
    11/4 and fine jockey.

    • dazzman1979 8 months ago

      You don’t stand a chance when a 20/1 winner wins . You can usually tell a few races in on all the cards what kind of night it’s going to be and whether to leave it alone and try another day but as we all know the longer you play over time you will always end up losing lucky for me I love the buzz of losing so much I feel like a winner even when I’m not 😂

    • recoba 8 months ago

      Monmouth ..8.55. Wine on Tap 6/4 Skybet ****

      Not sure you mean Dazzman? I didn’t bet that race?

    • recoba 8 months ago

      Keep it level stakes we all be fine Dazzman…as i do! 😂 😋

      Better night so far with singles and double early there . Moira was a fine effort it looked for all it was going to be swallowed up and passed but some rally!

      Dear Dad you speak of just couldn’t get a run then it was to late or been 4/4 and I swear (proofs here!)
      I had 75p on the 16/1 winner just as it was a Godolphin horse and had past form along with the £5.75 in my account thinking leave yourself £5?? 🤦‍♂️

      Woodbine -R8…Please Advise 9/1 Ew Paddy Power
      Forgive last run and must have chance

      Here’s hoping with later picks at Woodbine

      Race 10 ‘King Stakes IF Kulika doesn’t fire Elysain Fields looks big at 13/2

      See nearer the time for forecasts etc

    • recoba 8 months ago

      Patches O’Hollohan I meant that won well.
      Moira still to run

    • dazzman1979 8 months ago

      Partner tours 👌💰

      1
  23. elvis parsley 8 months ago

    UnLucky last 6-45 sandown.

    Crescent lake
    3-1 top 2 finish SKYBET
    6-5 top 4 finish @matchbook

    • elvis parsley 8 months ago

      20-80 stake ⬆️

    • dazzman1979 8 months ago

      Mmmmmm steak 😋

    • recoba 8 months ago

      Dining with steak and meatballs Dazzman.

      Great shout at Gulfstream had a wee play while watching. 👍

      1
    • dazzman1979 8 months ago

      Yeah that paid for a coffee on the way into work in the morning 😂

  24. dazzman1979 8 months ago

    Race 7 Hawthorne- dark solution 10/1 e/w night cap throw away stakes 😂

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