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Epsom was a profitable day on Saturday, even though the Derby hope was very poor and the Epsom Dash selection was very poor as well. Regal Reality stayed on well late in the race to grab us a win in the first, and Prosperous Voyage was given a similar ride and delivered the goods as a 3pt Win selection.
In other news, the Epsom Dash was a farce. I've seen pictures on twitter that not all of the starting gates opened at the same time, with those drawn high being the ones who were massively hindered. In the fastest race on turf, this cannot be done, horses getting a fractional advantage out of the gates is a HUGE benefit. I'm not blaming that as to why my horse ran so badly, as he was one of those who were affected, but it shouldn't be happening and the race should've been void. Check the image below (our selection was drawn in 20).
Chantilly 5:00 – Demain 3/1 (1pt)
It's the French Derby today, but it looks a tough race to call, so I've opted for some of the later races on the card and the first selection is the French horse, Demain, trained by F-H Graffard.
We have some UK raiders in this race, whose form is fairly decent, but I think they are prone to a progressive lightly raced horse, which I think Demain is. He is 2/2 as a sprinter and the win last time out over today's course and distance is the best performance shown by any horse in the race. He made an encouraging start to his career on debut when winning by 1L on the AW, but the run last time out took his form to a new level and that run produced an RPR of 109, which is by far the best shown.
It's a bit tricky with French racing as you get conflicting weather and ground reports, you can check multiple sites for what the ground is and you'll get different answers every time, but the pedigree of Demain suggests the good ground which they should encounter at Chantilly will be perfectly fine for him.
Chantilly 5:35 – Marshman 9/4 (1pt)
I avoided the UK runners in the previous race, but I am siding with Karl Burke's Marshman in the last race of the day.
This horse has always had a lot of ability about him, and I think you saw glimpses of that last time out at York, even though he didn't manage to get the victory. He was quite a headstrong horse as a juvenile, and always showed plenty of pace. Last time out he looked to be swinging coming alongside the leaders 2f from home, but his efforts did weaken slightly in the final furlong and I think the drop to 5f will be perfect for him today.
We already know that he handles the track as he won on seasonal reappearance over 5.5f on soft ground in a Group 3, winning by 1.25L. I think the form of the York Group 2 race looks strong, the winning filly is a progressive horse and those in behind would be strong in the market if they turned up for this race today.
Go to work 2.15 Nottingham @30s top 4 ew extra
GL
Back to work 2 Moro ☹️
dus..dream of love 1.00
Chantilly 🇫🇷
1-43 kertez
2-1 (Betting without simca mille) bet365
2-23 gaidar
8-1 ew 4 places bet365
FRENCH DERBY
3-05 Epictetus
12-1 ew 4 places SKYBET.
can’t believe gosden/dettori would bother sending this over if it was an also ran !!!
3-50 spirit gal
8-1 bet365 ew extra 5 places.
4-25 trust the stars
9-2 win
13-8 top 2 finish SKYBET.
5-00 zooom
8-1 ew 4 places SKYBET.
5-35 marshman
9-4 PADDY POWER …NAP 🏇.
Nice run by kertez in 2nd, better value than backing the winner.
He will win soon enough, consistent horse but not quite top drawer.
Drop to group 3 or listed is his level
🇺🇸 /🇨🇦
Just caught end of Woodbine G2 last night and ‘Millie Girl’ at 14/1 Ew was a very close 3rd,right to take favourite on it was no where .
Anna Karinna 5/1 managed 3rd at Belmont but was straight win when a place would been best bet. 🤷♂️
Small stakes early Yankee was 1/4. 👎
Its definitely a Globetrotting day today.
Lot of short prices and couldn’t get on to post 4 fold, had Lucky Sweynesse from Hong Kong there in 12.05 (supposedly best sprinter on the globe) an did stroll the sprint giving over a stone to some good types.
Treble still decent odds.
🇮🇪 Ashwiyaa…1.35 11/8
🇫🇷 Simca Mille…1.33. 4/6. Long gone but
8/15 or 1/2 various for the treble will do
🇬🇧 Reach…4.45. 4/5
Pays just under 6/1 or SAFER option (?) as can’t trust Listowel with newcomers go with Ashwiyaa to place top 2 pays just under 3/1. 👍
🇫🇷
Paz….3.25. 13/2 Ew.
Like Zarinsk but not at 15/8 so just an Ew interest for me
Boogie Woogiee …4.25. 7/4 Skybet boost
Stick with Moore/O’Brien they seem to be going ok
GL all today 👌
🇭🇰
Also took my £3 free bet from Skybet on..
California Voice In 1.15 Sha Tin 10/3
Worth £3 real money too I say so £6 on the nose.
GL
ashwiyaa 1.35 well done all winners yesterday
Zona Verde @ 8/1SP
Win – 13.35 Listowel
Ch 4.25 Boogie Woogie 15/8 Nap
Good old Ryan 😂
Good old Ryan 😂
ooooooo heyup
enough make you do a war chant pmsl
alagalair 3.45 nb
princess Sophia 3.50 well done all winners today
Expect demain will win and marshman will lose or vice versa there’s always one . How they are lingering as fav feels like a trap to me hopefully I’m proven wrong as I’m on the double myself but my spidy sense is tingling they don’t like giving up money that easily looking at all the results today only time will tell 🤞
Would nt supprise me if pillow talk wins and then believing in the next race true bender style 😂
Yep even with the classic late money supposedly coming in 😂
Race 1 Pimlico – ask him Oakey NAP 💰💰5/1 bet 365