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Well, I'm glad to see the back end of Goodwood and their main Festival of the year. It's been a total disaster on my part, with some iffy rides to blame, along with some poor picks and horses not running to form. Today's racing doesn't look great, with just the one flat meeting at Chester, which is also a difficult track to bet at, but I think I've found an angle to get some profit.

Chester 4:00

Tom Clover has some nice 2yo's this season, including ROGUE SPIRIT who is currently rated 91 from his four runs to date which has some good pieces of form.

He finished a neck second behind Chateau on his second run, which now looks like very good form. Chateau has since finished fourth in the Windsor Castle Stakes behind Little Big Bear which has turned into one of the best form lines to follow for a juvenile this year. Chateau then went on to win a Class 1 listed race at Newbury beating Rogue Lightning who is a stablemate of Rogue Spirit. He didn't quite improve again when finishing 3rd in a Group 2 at Glorious Goodwood this week, but it shows the level of horse he is and he only beat today's selection by a neck, even though it could've been more. The Riddler was third in that Beverley race, and he went on to win a Class 1 race at Royal Ascot, which makes that race red-hot.

Rogue Spirit then went on to win a Novice race at Wolverhampton, winning at odds of 2/11 and winning in a way that his odds would suggest. He then went to the Newbury Super Sprint race where he eventually finished 3rd behind Eddie's Boy who has some good form behind Rocket Rodney and Little Big Bear.

Rogue Spirit is drawn in stall 2 which is good for Chester as getting a prominent position is often vital. He has been a horse who has run from the front or close to the pace, so I'd expect Jack Mitchell to make full use of his low draw.

Tom Clover is currently 4/11 with his 2yo's this season on turf, operating at a 36% SR.

12 Comments
  1. jwpepper 3 weeks ago

    C 1350 Kiss N Cuddle 5/2 Evolicatt 6/1
    MR 1410 Dindin 4/1 Raecius Felix 11/2
    C 1530 Red Mirage 4/1
    MR 1550 Rukwa 9/1 E/W Major Snugfit 10/1 E/W 4 Places with sky
    C 1600 Rogue Spirit 5/2
    C 1630 The Nu Form Way 17/2 E/W Lunar Jet 22/1 E/W 4 Places
    C 1700 Cormer 13/2

    3
  2. double carpet 3 weeks ago

    4.10 Downforce 33/1 ew 5 places…….20/1 ew 8 places b365

    Ground is described as soft/heavy on the flat course and this horse just loves heavy ground so the more rain today the better. He’s also 8lbs below his last win mark.

    BOL

  3. elvis parsley 3 weeks ago

    Clairefontaine 🇫🇷
    2-50 any time soon
    100-30 CORAL’S

    3-23 burgarita
    5-2 (boost from 9-4) bet365

    3-58 garrachico
    4-1 CORAL’S

    • elvis parsley 3 weeks ago

      Pierre lapin 4-10 Galway 🇮🇪
      11-1 ew 6 places SKYBET

    • elvis parsley 3 weeks ago

      Raecius Felix 2-10 market rasen 🇬🇧
      5-1 win
      6-4 top 2 finish

    • elvis parsley 3 weeks ago

      Raecius Felix non runner ✖️

    • edgeman 3 weeks ago

      Yes , elvis!! Cheers 👍

    • edgeman 3 weeks ago

      Any time soon, easy winner

  4. azzthewigan 3 weeks ago

    pink stripes 1.50

  5. azzthewigan 3 weeks ago

    pink stripes 1.50

  6. theplug 3 weeks ago

    Saltonstall. 6/1. Galway 4-10
    Got no sort of run Tuesday . Hopefully have better luck today

  7. Shiver7 3 weeks ago

    Wanna say a massive thanks to regulars in particular jwpeppers you’ve won me a shed load recently, as well as all the usual suspects. Thank you

    3

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