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Nick Williams' juvenile hurdler was extremely disappointing yesterday. She is a very big 3yo filly, and dwarved the geldings, but she was apparently very keen in the pre-parade ring, and looked very awkward on the track. I think she could be a decent hurdler, but needs to mentally mature if she is to win a race.

Kempton 1:15

You might not be getting great odds on SEBASTOPOL to win this due to there being three runners, but anything around EVS I think is seen to be value. His recent record and string of 2's next to his form is slightly off putting that he somehow manages to always get beat by one, but based on his most recent run at Cheltenham, that was a taking run to finish runner-up to a very good horse in Third Time Lucki, and if the other two in this race were in that, I am fairly confident that none of them would have gotten as close as they did to that winner.

Skelton has a gauge of how good Sebastopol is as he trained the winner at Cheltenham, and I'm sure he can compare the form with his horse in this race, Rockstar Ronnie. However, as this is a Novices' Chase, and his horse has already won one, it means he is carrying a penalty, so he is giving away 6lbs to the other two horses, but is 8lbs inferior in the handicap (with the selection), so if this was to be a handicap race he would be receiving 8lbs, not giving away 6lbs, so is effectively 14lbs wrong as the weights. Obviously, he could be seen to be well handicapped, but surely he has to be that in order to be giving weight away. He won at this track when making all, and there is a strong possibility he'll get an easy leads of things again, which could be a problem, but I expect Aidan Coleman to actually put the pressure on the leader this race, rather than riding Sebastopol cold out the back, as in a small runner field like this, that would be dangerous.

Atholl Street made an okay return to racing, but I think a big field handicap would see him to better effect. He needs to learn to settle, and in a three runner race, he will probably struggle again. I think he could be backable in a big field handicap where Harry Cobden can bury him in between horses and switch him off, that's when you'll see the best out of him, in my opinion.

Kempton 1:50

My Sister Sarah is the very short priced favourite, and based on ratings and previous pieces of form you can't really argue with it, but DRAGON BONES is still a lightly raced mare, and I believe is better than a rating of 132, and can make the favourite work very hard for this.

I tipped the selection up when she was entered in a Grade 3 handicap at the November Cheltenham meeting, but she was withdrawn due to ‘Self Certificate'. I truly believed she win that race, and at the time I believe she was well-handicapped, so there's no reason to believe she can't win this race, despite the fact that Willie Mullins is sending over one of his runners. I feel like the form of Dragon Bones' last start is strong and the winner is a good quality horse. That was the mares first start this season, so she will have come on for that run, and I think she would've been primed for the run at Cheltenham where she was a NR, so she should be 100% for this.

My Sister Sarah is versatile in the way she has won over multiple kind of trips. However, I'm not sure that this is her best kind of trip, as I think she could be better over slightly shorter. As for the rest of the field, I think they are decent horses, other than Whispering Gypsy who takes advantage of the small field and will complete the round of jumping for a bit of prize money. Even though they are good horses, I don't think they are better than the fav or Dragon Bones'.

Kempton 2:25

With a lot of pace expected to be on in this race, it would probably be suicidal siding with a horse that would be up there, and maybe siding with a more patiently ridden horse could be the answer. With that being said, I am going to be having a small play on MONTY'S AWARD, who will be ridden out the back and hopefully will pick up the pieces late in the race when the front lot have all taken each other on.

Mercian Prince, Vision Des Flos and Gortroe Joe are all known for being front runners, and they have all been ridden that way in their recent races, so it wouldn't be a surprise to see at least two go at each other. Of the three, I can probably see Brendan Powell not getting involved with the pace battle, but the other two, it's hard to see who will back down, so a good pace is likely to be set. Mercian Prince carries 12st 2lbs, so will find this a very tough task in my opinion. He loves this track and is a good jumper, especially around here, but that weight will be a problem. Vision Des Flos isn't the same horse he somewhat used to be, but has been in better form this year, but his current mark and weight make him look vulnerable. Gortroe Joe is another who probably looks in the grips of the handicapper. I tipped him up for his last race at Market Rasen, and he came there with every chance, but looked well weighted, this is an easier task, but if he goes from the front, he will set it up for a closer. As for the others, The Unit has always looked talented, but hasn't really delivered, and his jumping hasn't been great as a chaser. Broken Quest isn't in great form and will definitely prefer a slower surface.

The selection had a run out 17 days ago, and that would have hopefully brushed away the cobwebs from his 140 day break. He is now running off a mark of 114, which is 3lbs lighter than his win in April. The good ground should be perfect for him, and even though this is arguably the toughest race he's seen in a year or so, he gets a low weight and the his run style should suit how the race pans out. The form of the stable is a concern, but with that comes a bigger price on offer, which I'm willing to take.

19:00 Wolverhampton - Race: 7
Distance: 7f 36y
Type: Flat
Class: 6
Track: AllWeather
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
9
Beryl The Peril
698432

8
Desert Dream
567754

5
Jack Ryan
742535

1
Peachey Carnehan
784014

6
Hoofs Happy Now
444057

12
Lady Monica
305105

7
Outtake
163005

10
Rockesbury
845680

11
Broughtons Peace
0-700

3
Professor Galant
876598

2
Maylah
859056

4
Million Reasons
580340

19:30 Wolverhampton - Race: 8
Distance: 7f 36y
Type: Flat
Class: 6
Track: AllWeather
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
9
Beryl The Peril
698432

8
Desert Dream
567754

5
Jack Ryan
742535

1
Peachey Carnehan
784014

6
Hoofs Happy Now
444057

12
Lady Monica
305105

7
Outtake
163005

10
Rockesbury
845680

11
Broughtons Peace
0-700

3
Professor Galant
876598

2
Maylah
859056

4
Million Reasons
580340

11:40 Lingfield - Race: 1
Distance: 1m 7f 169y
Type: Flat
Class: 6
Track: Polytrack
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
13
Owen Little
00421

2
Smith
253321

6
Global Wonder
36-9441

10
Hannalite
985732

5
Letter At Dawn
865304

3
Some Detail
069

7
Celtic Classic
81-6000

4
Severus Alexander
368773

9
Affair
637648

11
Miss Pollyanna
740346

8
Leroy Brown
7597

1
Cuillin
6/5350-9

12
Tilsworth Sammy
9054/68

14
Blue Galaxy
05797P

39 Comments
  1. dazzman1979 1 week ago

    15:25 Kempton – timber man 7/2 💰

    6
    • dazzman1979 1 week ago

      3:05 Ludlow – staple head. 5/1

      1
    • dazzman1979 1 week ago

      Shlaaaaaaggg! 💰

    • recoba 7 days ago

      Well in Dazzman I didn’t even see you had posted it too.
      Sees to be good when a few agree on the one horse lately? Either that or there’s obviously no grumbles in the background.

      1
    • Thebigflu 7 days ago

      Nice dazz cheers went with ya on that it looked dead 2 out came hammering home w d

      1
    • dazzman1979 7 days ago

      Haha I always lurk in the shadows ! No it’s good if a few agree on the same bet prob helps others make a decision more easily it’s all good we’re all posting with good intentions otherwise we would just bet on our own keeping things to ourselves . Share the love !

  2. Davyboy123 1 week ago

    Heartbreak kid 3,15 ayr 11/4

    4
  3. Thebigflu 1 week ago

    Am following theses tomorrow looks a bit mad racing and good mixed in,,,rumble west,,,,barney stinson,,,,lock down luke,,,,dreams of home,,,,east Harlem,,,,and davyboys^^ all ayr,,,

    • Thebigflu 1 week ago

      This is a day for pete and Elvis some good money on extra places

  4. Thebigflu 1 week ago

    Stream the stars,,,brief ambition,,,,our ldic boy,,,,on the front foot,,,,,white church,,,,sergeant,,,all ludlow,,,,

  5. recoba 1 week ago

    If anything round EVS for Sebastopol is good Rizzle ive 5/2 with Paddy Power boost so my £10 free bets on it regardless of the drift it looks to have the best form to me?

    Add for a £1.25 Yankee….

    Our Indic Boy….12.30 10/11
    Dragon Bones…1.50. 9/4
    Be the Difference…2.45. 4/5(boost or its around 8/11)

    GL all

    1
    • recoba 1 week ago

      Sorry that should be RAMBLE WEST …12.30
      and Our Idic Boy …2.00 instead of Be The Difference.

      1
    • recoba 1 week ago

      Probably to late but if so the 4 ive put up will get you at least ONE winner!!

      1
    • Thebigflu 7 days ago

      Well in recoba hope you left it as it was

  6. postman 1 week ago

    12:30 Ayr – Cancan / Ramble West (RFC)
    12:50 Ludow – Stream of Stars
    1:50 Kempton – Dragon Bones
    2:00 Ludlow – Our Idic Boy

    2
  7. theplug 1 week ago

    TIMBERMAN 3-25 KEMPTON 11/4 NAP

    6
  8. elvis parsley 1 week ago

    Bathiva 2-35 Ludlow 6-4 🏇

    5
    • elvis parsley 1 week ago

      Nice wee drift to 15-8 😄🏇

      4
  9. Sore point 1 week ago

    my one bet won yesterday and had a trixie up with busses

    Sorry not like me but gone mad today with 4 bets

    Kempton 2.25 GORTROE JOE 11/4
    Kempton 2.55 INCA ROSE 10/3
    Kempton 3.25 TIMBERMAN 11/4

    Ludlow 3.35 ORCHARD GROVE 11/4

    Good luck everyone

    9
  10. Sore point 1 week ago

    GORTROE JOE WINS NICELY 11/4

    Day paid for and 3 to come

    7
    • recoba 1 week ago

      Superb Sore Point! Took 2 x singles and a double on your last 2. Well done that’s some nice shooting n ThePlug too.

      My certain winner in Sebastopol crumbles at the last then 2 no where.
      Be The Difference saves the day but I couldn’t advise that as a single.

      Onwards to the USA with 2 from my tracker…

      Zia Park -R6…Country Club Cutie EVS
      (***** tracker = backed this a while ago then long absence of nearly 3 years he comes back and wins by 4l. 2-2 at this track and sets the standard)

      Mohaning Valley-R8…Baby Yoda..11/10(Skybet boost ****. Last seen in G2 and far from disgraced and really should be winning this now in with a big class drop)

      GL all

      1
  11. ew thief 1 week ago

    Full aux rois 3.35l 25-1☘️Gl all

  12. theplug 1 week ago

    NAP WINS EASY AS YOU LIKE 11/4
    TIMBERMAN

    7
    • postman 1 week ago

      Cheers Plug 🍻 Great Nap

      1
  13. cairnzy1878 1 week ago

    I seen a lot on here mention Timberman in the 3:25. Watched the race for the interest. Strange strange ride from jockey but it worked in the end!

    I’ve seen them sort of tactics go horribly wrong and punters absolutely jump on the band wagon and hammer the jockey for it.

    Well done all winners today.

    Catch you all at the weekend and good luck Rizzel for rest of week!

    3
    • Deb2000 1 week ago

      He was obviously told to drop it out Cairnzy the front 3 were going far to fast and cut each others throats hence he probably looked further back than he wanted to be.
      Trainer was interviewed before the race and was pretty confident he had a well handicapped horse race probably couldn’t have went any better for them.
      Great tip by theplug and Sore point 👏👏

      1
  14. azzthewigan 1 week ago

    viyarig 4.00 ew invincbly 4.30 well done all winners yesterday and today

  15. theplug 1 week ago

    Great Tipping from Sore Point well done

    1
    • Sore point 1 week ago

      Thanks Theplug and well done with Timberman yourself.

      2
  16. Sore point 1 week ago

    Cracking day 3 WINNERS

    got 11/4 for all 3 plenty cash gone in the account

    Good luck everyone

    6
  17. elvis parsley 1 week ago

    Well done everyone, looks like plenty of Dosh heading punters way.

    2
  18. theplug 1 week ago

    Nap for tomorrow Saga Aravis 3-05 Punchestown 11/2

    Busselton 12-00 Punchestown 15/8
    Protagonist 1-35 Punchestown 5/2
    Four Country Roads 12-30 Punchestown 10/1 ew

  19. theplug 1 week ago

    Dazzman 1979 well done with Timberman thought he was the bet of the day.

    1
    • dazzman1979 1 week ago

      Thanks mate 👍 glad I got the 7/2 now . No doubt the bookies will have it back in there pockets by the end of 2 Moro 😂 also well done everyone else above who managed to score today 👏

      1
  20. Davyboy123 1 week ago

    Secret glow ew 6.0 ch worth a wee punt

  21. recoba 1 week ago

    🇺🇸🐎
    Finger Lakes-R4…North Coast
    Philadelphia-R6..Outworkable

    Double pays 4/1 Paddy Power boost or around 3.4/1 most others.

    GL

    • recoba 7 days ago

      Pi$$.

      Mahoing -R4…Make Me Crazy. 5/2(***)

      Well behind on ye off so 15/20 to go.

      Last bets till the main ones posted above.
      GL

    • dazzman1979 7 days ago

      Go and have a cup of tea and a penguin recoba

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