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Yesterday was a frustrating day for the first day at Royal Ascot, with M C Muldoon losing by small margins, and King's Lynn getting no run whatsoever. Hopefully, today we'll have a little more luck.
KYPRIOS is a horse who I tipped up before, and flopped before, but I'm willing to give him the benefit of the doubt.
I backed this horse for the Lingfield Derby Trial last month, where the ground was described as soft. I thought that he would've handled the soft ground when the others in that race wouldn't have, but I was extremely wrong. He had previously won on heavy ground on his debut, which gave me the impression he was a soft ground horse, but his two runs since on soft ground since then have resulted in poor runs. Matt Chapman said on the ITV Opening Show on Lingfield Derby Trial day, that even though Kyprios had won on heavy ground, it doesn't necessarily mean he likes it, as horses in Ireland don't have a choice but to run on that kind of ground at the back end of the year, as it's either run on the ground or not run at all for the majority of the year.
With that being said, the ground at Ascot is currently very quick, and I think that will suit this lad much better. His pedigree suggests the quick ground will be better for him, as his siblings generally have their best form on good ground. Also, the longer trip should bring out further improvement, as his pedigree does suggest that he will be much better at the stamina sapping trips, like his two siblings, Search For A Song & Falcon Eight who are quality animals over 14f and further.
I think he is being overlooked in the market, because of his poor run in the Derby Trial, and I'm more than happy enough to take the odds which are on offer. Aidan must've fancied his chances for the Derby at one stage, as otherwise he wouldn't have entered him in the race. The form of his race before the Derby Trial now looks quite strong now, as the 2nd horse finished a close 3rd in a Listed race at the Curragh, with Patrick Sarsfield finishing 2nd, who finished runner-up at Royal Ascot yesterday.
Aidan O'Brien has a very good record in this race, so it's not a surprise to see the Ryan Moore ride being backed in, however, I'm not too keen on his form for the price which is on offer.
Advised: Each Way (4 places most firms, 5 with WHill)
Lady Bowthorpe will be heavily back, and you'd have to say rightly so, based on the fact she recently finished second to Palace Pier. However, I think AGINCOURT is overpriced, and is being overlooked.
David O'Meara's 6yo finished second in this race last year, when finishing behind Nazeef, who then went on to win a Group 1 at Newmarket. She was overlooked that day as well, going off at odds of 28/1, so the fact that she is being overlooked again isn't a problem for me.
This is Agincourt's second race of the year, so she should strip fitter than she did when finishing a close second at Goodwood. Though the form on first look doesn't look amazing, I think it's quite good. The winner, Illykato, could be a nice horse to follow this season, as she ran in some tough races last year and wasn't totally disgraced. Back in third was Lilac Road, and she has since finished runner-up to Godolphin horse, Creative Flair, who is highly regarded.
I think this straight track at Ascot will suit this Mare much better than the round course, as she is likely to be held up, and the straight track allows her to weave through the field. She went off a relatively short price last year for a race at Ascot, which was won by Lady Bowthorpe, and Ryan Moore had a double handful with Agincourt who was travelling very well, but had no where to go at the back of the field, whereas she was much better on the straight course when finishing behind Nazeef.
Advised: Each Way (4 places)
BEAT LE BON is a horse who looks like he'd enjoy a big race handicap, and is tailor made for a race like the Royal Hunt where he will definitely get a strong pace to aim at.
On his day, he is a very good horse, shown when he was 110 rated and was running well in Group races behind the likes of Regal Reality. Since then, his rating has been slowly dropping, as he's been running some good races in defeat.
His run last time out was a good prep for a race like this. He was held up off the pace and made very good late headway but didn't get there in time, but it was still a good run behind a horse who was carrying 10lb less, and looks like a horse who was well handicapped.
The last time he ran in a big race handicap like this, he won at Goodwood off a rating of 104, and he appreciated a strong pace. He's drawn low, which has a few pace angles nearby, and although the main pace is on the other side of the track, there should be enough pace on that side of the track to bring him into the race. The fast ground will suit, and the stiff finish will bring out his stamina at this trip. He could run a nice race, with Hollie Doyle doing the steering.
Advised: Each Way (7 places PaddyPower)