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The trip to Huntingdon for team Kirby was a total waste of time. Considering he was 2/2 with his chasers at the track in the last five years, the performance of his horse was horrific, almost as horrific as Nico De Boinville's attitude. Why he turned up to ride Ialous Du Mer I'll never know, looked totally uninterested and didn't even try on the horse when you'd like to see the jockey try and get a tune out of a horse. I'm not saying he was going to go on and win, but as a punter, you'd like to see an effort and he did the opposite.
Chepstow 1:30 – Minella Bobo 8/1 (0.5pt EW Bet365)
If it wasn't Planned Paradise's first run of the season I think he would be a big player, but the way Christian William's horses have been running first time out I think this will be a run for fitness for some better races in the near future. Jamie Moore travels to Chepstow for this one ride, so still has to be respected, but based on the other horses in the stable I'm siding against him today, although I'm a big fan of this horse.
My arrow landed on Minella Bobo who is also making his seasonal return and coming on the back of a long layoff (303 days), so fitness is going to be a question but Rebecca Curtis' horses have been running quite well recently and she got a winner the other day, plus the other horse was running a big race at Cheltenham at big odds (Wayfinder, who I think DC tipped up?). Both of those horses were running off some big layoff and the winner was returning from 433 days, so that gives me plenty of encouragement that she has her horses in fine fettle.
This horse is best seen to effect when running from the front so I'll be having my fingers crossed that James Bowen goes from the front and that no one takes him on for the lead. He is a 10yo but is lightly raced for his age with just 15 career starts. He's back on a decent mark again after going miles up in the handicap from his 11L win back in 2021, which saw him go up a decent chunk. His form tailed off, maybe because he was too high in the weights, but I think the stable form was very poor last year and Rebecca really struggled for winners, but seeing her horses returning this season in good form is a good indicator that this lad can also bounce back off an 8lb lower handicap mark from his last win, and 20lbs lower than his peak.
Chepstow 2:05 – Jasmiwa 10/3 (1pt)
You don't need telling twice about the good form of the Twiston-Davies yard, they're flying at the moment. So with that being said I think Jasmiwa can definitely bounce back to form.
This 5yo mare has more progression to do this year, and I highly doubt we've seen her ceiling already. She is 2/4 at staying trips over hurdles and will definitely make a chaser whenever connections fancy the switch, she is a great jumper for most of the time and is definitely seen to be effect on testing ground so the hiccup she had on good ground at Hereford in between her two runs can be forgiven as can the run in the Class 2 race at Ayr where she suffered an overreach and that was a tough race anyway.
Fitness is always going to be a question mark for every horse's first run of the season but the way Nigel has his horses at the moment I have full faith that she'll be fit and ready to strike first time out. Back at Chepstow is a positive and the ground will be testing even though it won't be bottomless and I think that will suit this mare.
4:16 Chepstow- Dartmoor pirate 16/1 e/w
4:45 Newcastle- en passant 13/2
I will be disappointed if Masaccio can’t win the first at Chepstow.
Bumper form is far better than the bare results.
Currently 5/2
BOL
I would say that could prove to be a pretty strong race that Masaccio won there and the fact the front 2 pulled 7L clear of the third they both might be worth following nto too.
Edie g 12.20 ew
mister bo 12.25 ew well done all winners yesterday
tsumani spirit 1.07 nap
don’t tell su 12.55 nb
Burtonlodge Beauty 1.42 Catterick 18/1
This horse is known to perform better in the mud but hasn’t had those conditions often. Today is the first run on heavy. Terrible record with only 1 win from about 25 runs. But look at the comments under its only win at 50/1 last August off a mark of 47 ( today runs off 42)……
“In touch with leaders, pushed along 2f out, ridden over 1f out, led inside final furlong, kept on well (trainer said, regarding the apparent improvement in form, that filly appreciated the soft ground and benefitted from being ridden more patiently on this occasion) (op 33/1 ”
Really interesting comments about the ground showing the improvement in form. Yards horses are flying with 4 from last 6 winning and she does especially well with her 4 years olds, which this is.
I just have the mornings coffee money on it as it will likely do nothing but at almost 20/1 it’s hard not to have a little bet.
Things looking good for Thursday , see you all then best of luck everyone today with their bets
lost in music 12.05 France
Sunday sovereign 12.50c 25-1☘️☘️gl all
lassue 2.05 ew
Very nicely done azz 👍
cheers dc great tipping from yourself keep up the good work
breezy zof 1.57
couldn’t believe the price of lassue it was eased down when it won a maiden last time out
Albie Littlewood 4-16 Chepstow.
14-1 bet365 ew extra 8 places.
And
33-1 ew 4 places SKYBET
🇺🇸
Philadelphia-R8…Doctor Abbie 5/2 ****
Side bet ….. 2 -7 -9 tricast and combo tricast
R9…Disco Ebo 6/5 *****
Finger Lakes -R8…Inouainttalkintome 7/2 ***+
9-5 Reverse forecast
Fairmount -Race 4…Hullabory 6/5 ***
Horseshoe Indianapolis-R3…Azure Steel 5/2 ****
GL all and well done any winners today
Philadelphia -R7..Jeepers 9/4 ***
Gets in as reserve and better than stable companion that’s been pulled out.
A nose ! 😡
7:15 Newcastle- crown board 8/1
1945 Newcastle – Athollblair Boy 25/1
2015 Newcastle – Blackcurrent 6/1
Snash will win the 7:45 !
I think my heart got the better of my head there 😅
8:15 Newcastle- Churchill bay 16/1 e/w
Smashed into 4/1 now 💰💰
5/2 😂
After all that did nt even place 😂😂 what’s that all about then !!! 😡
Well done Recoba! 🇺🇸 🫡 👨⚖️- 🖕