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Dream Final ran a total stinker, whether connections knew or not, I'm not sure but when the horse drifts from 9/2 to double figures, and drifts a few points before the off, it tends to leave a horrible taste in your mouth. He was first off the bridle, miles away from the finish and finished virtually pulled up.
Ayr 3:22 – William Dewhirst 11/2 (1pt EW Bet365 3pl)
At this time of the year, the younger horses don't get the best of weight allowances, but that won't stop me from having a bet on William Dewhirst.
Ben Haslam's horse runs in this contest at the bottom of the weights, which will be ideal on today's very soft ground at Ayr. The Haslam yard isn't one I'd like to put my faith in, as they aren't the most reliable lot, but this horse has been running well in defeat on his two runs prior to his most recent win which came last time out on his first attempt over 7f. I don't understand why it took connections as long as it did to make the decision to put him up in trip as he was crying out for the extra furlong, and when he got it, he won shock horror. He didn't win by a great margin last time out at Carlisle, but his stamina came to the fore and I think we'll see more of an improvement today now tackling even softer ground (was good to soft at Carlisle).
You have horses in this race who are running off very tough handicap marks and would have to put in career bests to win, so I think my fancy comes into this race with a very strong shout of winning despite the rise in grade. I can envisage him being bustled along earlier than most, but that will to try and get him into top stride and if he's still pitching there with a furlong or two to go, I think we will be counting our money.
Sedgefield 2:00 – Latin Verse 8/1 (0.5pt EW Bet365)
Juvenile hurdle races aren't exactly the best way to make money as a punter but I do think Latin Verse will be heading up to Sedgefield with a nice chance of winning on hurdles debut.
Milton Harris has been one of the trainers who has proved himself massively over the last couple of seasons, he has shown when getting the ammunition he will deliver. The most impressive thing about the Harris yard is there decision making on which races to go for, especially when sending his horses up north. It takes a risk to go for a hurdles debutante as you don't know how well they've trained over the obstacles at home but I think it's of notice that Milton is sending this horse to this race which he won with Knight Salute in 2021, who then went on to win a Grade 1 later in the season. Knight Salute won this race at odds of 18/1, I can't imagine this horse will be anywhere near that.
Latin Verse had a decent career as a flat horse, he didn't hit great heights but he managed to win a race and was rated as high as 82. It's a positive sign that he stayed 12f on the flat, as it gives me plenty of optimism that he'll stay this new trip. He is related to a jumps winner who came from the flat scene, so there should be plenty of scope to jump an obstacle.
Milton has a 21% SR at this track, equalling a profit of +22.48 to a £1 level stake.
Ayr - 3:22 pm
11/2 @ Bet365
Sedgefield - 2:00 pm