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I feel like we should've had a winner yesterday in the form of Sit Down Lucy. She was hampered by a faller, not massively but it definitely checked her momentum, but was also hampered by a loose horse when turning for home. The loose horse pushed her wide and was a big inconvenience, as it put her on the back foot and meant she had to start again. The fact she stayed on as well as she did to get 4th suggested to me that she would've gone close with a clear round. Fury Road was disappointing in the Grade 1 chase, where he clearly lacked the speed to get close to the winner. Bob Olinger was poor, and if you took him on like I suggested, you would've been correct in doing so.

Punchestown 5:20

Sometimes you can overlook races and delve into them a little too deep, when in reality the winner is staring you right in the face. I'm going to avoid delving too far into this as THE NICE GUY is easily the best horse in the race. He sprung a bit of a surprise at the Cheltenham Festival when he won with plenty in hand in the Albert Bartlett (5L). The way he travelled through his race was extremely eyecatching and was done in the manner of a top quality animal. I think you can try and get him beat, but if the same horse who showed up at Cheltenham shows up today, you'll be wasting your time as this lad is in another league, in my opinion.

He's had 40 days to recover from Cheltenham, and I don't think he will have had any adverse effects from Cheltenham, as it appeared to me that he had an easy race, which is baffling to say as it was a Grade 1, but the way he won was so easy. I think Journey With Me is an interesting contender in this. I tipped him up in the race won by Sir Gerhard at the Festival, where he was probably booked for 3rd before falling at the final flight. I think he is a nice horse, and the step up in trip will likely suit, but the ground is a concern and whether he's classy enough to beat The Nice Guy, I'm not so sure. He's a good EW bet in this, if that's your cup of tea.

At odds of 9/4 I am more than happy to take that for this horse, as I think he should be half of those odds, and it wouldn't surprise me to see him backed in 6/4 as 9/4 is simply too big.

Punchestown 5:55

I know it might seem boring to tip up ALLAHO as every man and his dog probably will be doing the same, but it's similar to the previous race, he's the best horse in the race and should win, so there's no point in over complicating things.

People will have doubts over his stamina of 3m, and that's a fair enough argument, but I think he's a better and different horse from a couple of seasons ago, so is worth another chance at this trip. It's not like he didn't stay the trip out when we last saw him over this trip, it was simply a factor of being outstayed by stronger stayers like Minella Indo and Champ, who are strong stayers at the trip. I think he's matured better than those horses, and Paul Townend thinks “he's stronger now”, and it's hard to argue that point. This horse has been electric over the last couple of years, especially during his Cheltenham Festival romps. He is arguably the best jumps horse in training, other than potentially the 2m stars in Shishskin and Energumene. Unlike the previous selection, I think he could drift in the market as the punters will begin to doubt whether he'll stay, hopefully that's the case as it'll mean more money for us.

This race isn't short on ability with last years winner making a return for Paul Nicholls in the shape of Clan Des Obeaux. I do rate Clan as a horse, but every time I've backed and tipped him up, he runs below par. There's no doubting the stable form and the fact he'll be ready to defend his crown, I just think he's not of the same class as Allaho, despite the fact he will be a stronger stayer. I think he is the main danger, and the punters share the same opinion. He is undoubtedly a cracking EW price for you safe bet punters, and one for the placepot if that's what you like doing.

12:00 Southwell - Race: 1
Distance: 2m 4f 88y
Type: Chase
Class: 5
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
2
Do It For Thy Sen
544342-

3
Salamanca School
17241-5

5
On The Bandwagon
5/366PP-

1
Templebredin
753/26-P

6
Diamond Rose
75332-3

4
Chapati
0212P6-

7
Wells Gold
6/0U7P9-

12:15 Bath - Race: 1
Distance: 1m 3f 137y
Type: Flat
Class: 5
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
2
Do It For Thy Sen
544342-

3
Salamanca School
17241-5

5
On The Bandwagon
5/366PP-

1
Templebredin
753/26-P

6
Diamond Rose
75332-3

4
Chapati
0212P6-

7
Wells Gold
6/0U7P9-

12:20 Punchestown - Race: 1
Distance: 2m 115y
Type: Hurdle
Class:
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
16
Ballybawn Belter
1-

1
Ballyquin Bay
8-

14
Vocito
43535-2

10
Red Glory
/-

18
Female Approach
/-

2
Cadatharla

20
No Conscience
8

17
Carbon Zero
5-4

25
Izeo

23
Mont De Pail

21
Poker Night
9

11
Roman Parish

6
Natural Ability

7
Open The Gate
7

24
Lodilomoco

19
Lenebane

3
Elle Dorado Rock
F-0

8
Pharisees
7-0

9
Plough On
00-

12
Sawbuck
70-

13
South East Star
0-

15
Word Of Wisdom
P

4
Lihyan
U6-

5
Luck Of The Irish
0

22
Snugsborough Jc
0

38 Comments
  1. riaz26 4 weeks ago

    Great pick with dawn view yesterday dazzaman 🔥.

    2
  2. dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

    4:00 – Wolverhampton- Darbucks 6/1 💰

    6:50 – Musselburgh- fleetwood pier 3/1 💰💰💰

    8:25 – Musselburgh- wadacre Gogo 10/3 💰💰

    Good luck all hopefully today’s a winning one 🤞

    1
    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      Punchestown- 19:05 – foxy jacks 12/1 e/w 4 places William hill 👍

    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      Flwewood pier now 15/2 get on before it’s gone ! 💰😜

      2
    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      Main bet comes in ! Ended up being a crap price ! Went from 15/2 – 2/1 so the gamble was on until the non runner which destroyed it ! Oh well 😔

    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      All on foxy jacks now to make today all good 💰💰💰

      1
    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      Crap 😂

  3. jwpepper 4 weeks ago

    P 1720 The Nice Guy and P 1755 Allaho double 8/1 Treble with P 1905 Ciel Du Niege 37/1
    Adding Po 1510 Love Your Work 80/1 Adding B 1840 Lady Elysia instead 100/1 All five 212/1
    P 1510 Love Your Work and Qouteline Direct both to place 2 places 9/2 with sky
    sky doing tenner money back if second or third in the 1645 at Punchestown

    1
  4. double carpet 4 weeks ago

    3.40 Guiri 9/1 ew 6 places
    Won the race last year. 6lbs higher but jockey takes 4lbs off. Looks to have been the plan all season.
    Pipe sends the fav over in the JP colours and screams plot job but is just too short for me in such a competitive h’cap.

    4.15 Sam’s Choice 7/1 (taken last night)
    Has a chance of reversing form with the top 2 on revised terms and with the Elliott yard going so well hopefully that carries on today.

    4.45 Fils D’Doudaries 7/4
    Looks the one to beat based on his 2nd at Aintree

    5.20 The Nice Guy 9/4 NAP
    Won the AB in eye catching fashion on only his 2nd start over hurdles, surely there’s more to come and can win this today.
    I’ve also backed Daily Present to place in the first 5 at 11/8 who has only had the 3 runs and beat Bronn comfortably lto.

    5.55 Galvin 9/2
    Allaho is the class horse no doubt about that and is running here with next season in mind for the stables plans with so many options in the Yard at this trip. If he wins fine but one things is certain he will set a strong gallop and that could play to Galvin’s strengths, something he didn’t get in the GC.

    7.05 Snugsborough Hall 14/1 ew 4 places
    A bit of a cliff horse for me at this time of year as he needs good ground. Was left at the start in this race last year but came out and won nto. Very competitive race but looks a fair ew price.

    BOL

    1
    • postman 4 weeks ago

      Nice NAP DC 👍💰

      1
    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      Well done sir 👍

      1
  5. postman 4 weeks ago

    1st 2nd 2nd 1st 3rd for my yesterday.

    Lets do a few each punts at Punchestown today 😉
    3:40 – Rock Road @ 12/1
    5:20 – Ramillies @ 33/1
    5:55 – Clan Des Obeaux @ 13/2
    7:05 – Annamix @ 11/1

    2
    • postman 4 weeks ago

      Rock Road beaten under two lenths in the opener at Punchestown 👀 I don’t think we can blame Ryan Moore though. 12/1 > 16/1

    • postman 4 weeks ago

      Another 2nd with Clan Des Obeaux. No chance with the winner.

    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      I think we should blame Ryan more for all the bad things that happen to us in life 😂

  6. theplug 4 weeks ago

    Ascot 3-35 Tashkhan 5/1 2nd to Trueshan must have a chance .
    Punch 3-40 Coolcullen 25/1 EW
    Punch 4-45 Fils ‘Doudaires 7/4 2nd to the Langer Dan
    Punch 5.20 Minella Crooner 9/2
    Punch 5-55 Tornado Flyer 16/1 EW I would love to see Alllaho win this ,but i don’t think he will get the 3 miles ,

    1
    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      With you on Minella crooner 👍💰

  7. ew thief 4 weeks ago

    Nayeff road 3.35a 14-1☘️☘️

    1
  8. azzthewigan 4 weeks ago

    whosgotyanow 3.40 ew

  9. azzthewigan 4 weeks ago

    peacefull Sunday 4.15 ew gibraltor 4.45 well done all winners today and yesterday

  10. azzthewigan 4 weeks ago

    daily present 5.20 ew

  11. dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

    Race 1 Tampa bay downs – drills valentine 9/2 💰

    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      Easy as you like ! 💰💰

  12. dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

    Race 2 Philadelphia- eighty eight keys 10/3 💰

  13. Super Wilf 4 weeks ago

    Brilliant double Rizz

    What a performance from Allaho

    Seen them all off

    Well done

    😀👍🐴🐴🏆🏆

    2
  14. dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

    Well done with the double Rizzel . We want a treble from you 2 Moro now 😂

    1
    • lossie jim 4 weeks ago

      Had a wee tenner treble on the two + Facile de Vega, just under a hundred profit!!👍

      1
  15. dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

    Race 2 – Tampa bay downs – it’s fate 8/1 💰

  16. postman 4 weeks ago

    Quick two minute double
    6:30 Punchestown – Facile Vega
    6:32 Keeneland – Federalist Papers
    💰💰

    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      Lovely doubley ! 💰💰

      1
  17. double carpet 4 weeks ago

    Better day today
    Both Guiri and Snugsborough Hall made the frame and the NAP Won.
    I thought Fils D’Doudaries was a bit unlucky and might have won but both Galvin and Sam’s Choice ran stinkers. Allaho was very good and I should have gone with him. Sometimes you can just delve too deeply into races when the obvious is staring you in the face.

    Well done to Rizzle and all other winners today
    Onto tomorrow where another difficult card awaits

    1
    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      Well done 👍 cheers for all your effort you put in

      1
  18. dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

    Couple for 2 Moro

    1:50 Musselburgh- signora camacho 9/2

    8:00 Chelmsford- hexameter 7/2

  19. double carpet 4 weeks ago

    Last year’s winner of the X Country Singing Banjo 16/1 b365 ??????

  20. elvis parsley 4 weeks ago

    Ryan Moore just ran over denzil, my pet osprey in his helicopter, feckin clown

    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      Ryan Moore gave me aids ! 😂

  21. dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

    My nerd has a word for ballymena race 7 Tampa bay downs 17/2 💰

    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      That was nt a bad shout to be fair . Let’s see what misery awaits us 2 Moro !

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