This tip has expired. Please check our free horse racing tips section of the website to find the most up to date.
Goodwood continued to be a rough week for me with both selections not delivering the goods, with Mitbaahy given an extremely odd ride with David Egan running down the centre of the track where the slowest ground was when he had one of the best stalls to grab the far rail. Let me know how you've done this week, fingers are crossed you've done much better than me!
Shoutout to Cairnzy for yesterday's picks, two winners isn't bad going and I appreciate his work whenever he decides to post his stuff.
I put up CEMHAAN for the Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes Handicap at Royal Ascot where he finished 7th of a possible 18. That doesn't quite tell the whole story as he was far too keen in the early stages, which put the writing on the wall, but he also didn't get the clearest of runs, which is why I think he deserves another chance in a handicap of this nature. His mark of 92 hasn't changed, and I thought he was good enough to get involved last time so there's no reason why he can't today. The form has worked out well from his two wins this year, and I believe is he settles he can improve his mark into the high 90s or low 100s. Hollie Doyle is back on board today, which is a positive in my eyes as she has been riding Goodwood as well as anyone this week, and I don't really rate Pat Cosgrave these days as he comes towards the end of his career.
My EW money in the Stewards' Cup is going on ANAF who is the only 3yo in this race. This lightly raced son of Muhaarar has recorded some good RPRs this year in tough handicaps and most recently in a Group 3 at Newcastle.
To start off with, his 5th placed finish at York behind Harry Three reads very nicely. The winner was well ahead of his handicap mark of 97 that day, and he has since won a Listed race in France by 3.5L, recording an RPR of 117. The runner-up, Lucky Man, flopped at Ascot but then returned to form with a good 2nd place in a 34k York handicap behind course-specialist Gale Force Maya. Lethal Levi back in fourth has since won twice and is now rated 100 when previously rated 85 when running in the York race behind Harry three.
The run in the Group 3 behind Sense Of Duty was a good run despite finishing 4.5L behind the smart winner. The winner looks like a Group 1 horse and has to be respected wherever she turns up next. The fact that Annaf was a further 2L clear of the nearest horse in third says that he is above his handicap mark, and the form of those in behind looks good. Happy Power (fifth) has run a belter in the Lennox Stakes (Group 2) earlier this week, finishing fourth, recording an RPR of 114.
I'm not going to get bogged down with the stall, as jockeys will do whatever they want to and no matter how hard you try and work it out, chances are it'll turn into the opposite. He isn't drawn near the pace, but it's a sprint on a downhill track, so something will make the running, and there is a chance that they might over race on the other side, which could play into the side of Annaf.
William Buick has been firing in the winners all season, but recent, he has shown what a top-class rider he is. It's nice that he'll be riding my selection, TEMPORIZE in this contest, but you could put a regular Mark Johnston jockey on this gelding of Postponed and you should get the same outcome. He is 2/2 from his races in his career and looks like a horse on the up, whereas this field is a lot more exposed. He is carrying bottom weight in this four-runner affair and considering there isn't a guaranteed pacesetter in this, it would be of no surprise to see the Johnston horse going from the front and doing what they do best and be tough to pass.