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Flat racing hasn't been too kind to me of recent apart from the 25/1 winner on Saturday and I'm sure David Probert would like to ride De Vegas Kid again in the Brighton race as he couldn't find the gaps and as a result let the eventual winner get a few lengths up on him. Fingers crossed on a change of luck for today's runners.

Ayr 1:00

Trainer: Tristan DavidsonRunner Jacket

Jockey: Gianluca Sanna

Form: 4911-8

The jockey booking of Gianluca Sanna in this Apprentice Handicap caught my eye for ALL THINGS BRIGHT. Gianluca surely would've been booked for Cosa Sora who was much shorter in the market at the time of when the markets opened (has drifted now), having rode that horse to a recent win over C&D for Jim Goldie, boosting his record to 2/2 for that yard, so the fact he's jocked up on this horse suggests a big race is ready.

Ayr is expecting a fair bit of rain from Monday afternoon to the time of racing which could possibly turn the ground to soft from the current going of Good To Soft, which will be an advantage for this horse. He racked up a quick double at the back end of last season on soft ground. Those wins came in sellers and claimer races so the form isn't worth much but he has dropped 4lbs since those wins and the recent outting at Ripon looked like a pipe opener for the start of the season as he weakened with a few furlongs to go and wasn't given a hard time in that race, so it looked like they had a race in mind. Tristan Davidson has a very good strike rate at Ayr, where he has a 27% SR at the track with a profit of +12.68 to level £1 stakes. He has never used Sanna before, but in a race like this it can pay dividends going for the better and more experienced jockey, which this yard have done with getting the services of Gianluca.

He is drawn in stall 3 which is ideal for this horse who was seen to be effect when sitting close to the pace or making the running himself. He did his winning over 10f, but if the ground does get testing the drop in trip shouldn't be an inconvenience as he'll have the stamina advantage over most of these and I think at the prices he is worth a small EW play.

Ayr 3:20

Runner Jacket Trainer: William Haggas

Jockey: Tom Marquand

Form: 112-3

MY ASTRA is the lightly raced filly in the race and based on her runs you'd have to say this trip is probably her best at this moment in her career. She was a strong favourite in a Listed race at Kempton one month ago which was a race I tipped up the winner, Roman Mist. I thought that My Astra would be better over longer (race was over 1m) and I thought she might have needed the run, and I think both of those statements are correct. She struggled with the pace and the course of Kempton where she was tapped for a bit of speed but powered home in the final furlong where she got 3rd and lost by 0.5L. That race has been boosted with the fourth since winning a Listed race over 7f at Lingfield. I think the horse in 2nd (Potapova) will win a couple of nice races at somepoint during this season, so I do rate that form. Soft ground will be best suited for this filly, which we saw when she finished 2nd in a Listed race in France at the back end of last season, so the expected rain is a positive. William Haggas doesn't send many to the Scottish track (3/5 60% SR) so it's a good indicator that they fancy her chances. It is a strong Listed race and she'll have to improve to win it, but she has a lovely pedigree and I do expect more to come.

Related Topics: Racing Tips Ayr
15:15 Chester - Race: 5
Distance: 7f 127y
Type: Flat
Class: 4
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
3
Zainalarab
61

9
Carlton And Co
2

4
Candy Warhol
4

10
Jazz Samba
72

8
Testing Faith
228-5

1
Glory And Honour
87

2
Ri Na Farraige
6

6
Kemerton
0

5
Hoots Toots
077

7
Menelaus
9

15:20 Curragh - Race: 6
Distance: 1m 2f
Type: Flat
Class: 1
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
3
Zainalarab
61

9
Carlton And Co
2

4
Candy Warhol
4

10
Jazz Samba
72

8
Testing Faith
228-5

1
Glory And Honour
87

2
Ri Na Farraige
6

6
Kemerton
0

5
Hoots Toots
077

7
Menelaus
9

15:25 Newmarket - Race: 7
Distance: 1m 2f
Type: Flat
Class: 4
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
3
Chips And Rice
85-61

4
Aryaah
341210

1
Jean Baptiste
05-0241

2
Warm Smile
25-3

36 Comments
  1. FlashPara 1 month ago

    17:45 Warwick – Hillview – 13/8

    18:00 Kempton – Dembe – 6/1

    18:40 Cork – Run The Jewels – 9/2

    20:20 Southwell – Camembert Electric – 7/4

    20:30 Kempton – Ilhabela Fact – 11/2

    3
  2. elvis parsley 1 month ago

    Sir TiVo 5-10 Warwick 5-1 ew (Betfred only firm I see paying 3 places on this 6 runner race)
    Could of been on a 4 timer but for unseating last time, needs to front run to see his best…

    3
    • uncle pom 1 month ago

      Heard a big race is expected of leap away in the 5:10 Elvis

      7
    • Gateacre Pete 1 month ago

      Good call there uncle pom and good drift too

      1
    • postman 1 month ago

      Cheers Uncle Pom 👍

  3. uncle pom 1 month ago

    -5 pts

    Wasn’t a great day back for me yesterday 😭

    Ayr – 13:00 Pallas lord 7/1 2pt win

    15:20 – achelois 2/1 2pt win

    2
  4. dazzman1979 1 month ago

    1:25 yarn mouth – voi 11/2

    6:00 Kempton – encouraged 10/3

    8:00 Kempton – billy mill 8/1

    2
    • dazzman1979 1 month ago

      Encouraged was good value in the end as it went off 13/8f just waiting on the lady now to make me happy 😃

      1
  5. dazzman1979 1 month ago

    1:25 yarn mouth – voi 11/2

    6:00 Kempton – encouraged 10/3

    8:00 Kempton – billy mill 8/1

    2
  6. jwpepper 1 month ago

    Y 1435 Global Art 8/1
    Y 1652 Spanish Mane 13/2
    K 1800 Uzinsco 9/1 E/W 5 Places
    S 2020 Beat The Heat 17/2
    sky doing tenner money back if second or third in the 1520 at Ayr

    2
    • Sore point 1 month ago

      JW .didnt get back on yesterday but cracking forcast if you did it.

  7. Sore point 1 month ago

    Southwell 7.20 LUNAR SHADOW 5/1

    Southwell 7.50 HIGH GROUNDS 8/1

    Done e/w and e/w double myself

    Good luck eveyone

    10
    • dazzman1979 1 month ago

      Nice start hopefully you land the double 💰

    • dazzman1979 1 month ago

      Unlucky not to get the double there good shout anyway

  8. recoba 1 month ago

    Single and double..

    My Astra…3.20. 7/4 *
    Percys Word…4.40. 11/10

    GL all and well done the winners yesterday.

    1
    • postman 1 month ago

      That was some performance by My Astra 😮🕶🤏

      4
    • recoba 1 month ago

      Sure was Postman and just seen you being right unlucky to not get a double there with Firona! 👎
      Good winner in Tamaska but day of almost myself although no harm done.

      Few £s won on USA Yankee but all about the football really and like a fool I’ll be with my good RFC supporting mates watching as a Celtic fan.

      Thistledown-R5….Bay Magic. 9/4(*)
      R6…Lionistic. 5/2
      Will Rodgers -R4…Sexy Socks 7/4 (*)
      R7…. Hallowed River. 2/1

      GL all and well done the winners.

      1
  9. postman 1 month ago

    Morning …. Just

    3:20 Ayr – Achelois **NB**
    4:17 Yarmounth – Tamaska *each way punt*
    5:30 Kempton – Fiorina ***NAP**

    💰😘🤞

    4
    • dazzman1979 1 month ago

      Well done with tamaska , keeping the winner streak alive 💰👏

      1
    • dazzman1979 1 month ago

      Unlucky with the nap but your clearly on the right track with your picks you won’t win them all nobody will 😂

      1
  10. recoba 1 month ago

    Happy Valley…12.15. Happy Daily. 5/2. Skybet
    Purton on class dropper who wasn’t far away last run.

    GL

    • recoba 1 month ago

      Tim Carrol Ew value tip lands in Hong Kong here’s hoping his NAP and Nb can follow it in for a Trixie with some ‘stank’ on it!

      Great De’ange ..4.05. 11/4. On the drift quiet heavily but with such little racing v these horses and good ground I fail to see why. 6lb rise looks fair with improvement on 11/4 looks good.

      GL

    • recoba 1 month ago

      Lovely from My Astra..one to keep an ear on!
      Shout Rizzle you made my mind up 👍

      1
    • recoba 1 month ago

      F#@kin jumps racing!! 🙄

      Not so Great De’ange 1/12 In running and down like a ton of feathers!

      Onwards…

  11. postman 1 month ago

    Tamaska not for catching 🏇💰

    1
    • dazzman1979 1 month ago

      💰🤪

  12. azzthewigan 1 month ago

    Rico boy 5.10

  13. azzthewigan 1 month ago

    ribaree 5.05 ew well done all winners today and yesterday

  14. dazzman1979 1 month ago

    Well done rizzler few winners above hopefully someone managed to get the right combination together

  15. elvis parsley 1 month ago

    One bet 5-1 ew came 3rd.
    I giveth and geteth back the same amount 😆

    Feel a bit for uncle pom, the winner leapaway would have seen his points deficit wiped out in one foul swoop 🏇

    • dazzman1979 1 month ago

      He will turn things around . We all kick ourselves most days on ones we were going to pick that come in but you can’t bet on everything unless it’s like 1p a bet ha

  16. Sore point 1 month ago

    Cracker LUNAR SHADOW wins by 6 length

    2
    • dazzman1979 1 month ago

      💰👍

      1
    • elvis parsley 1 month ago

      Great pick SP

    • Sore point 1 month ago

      Cheers guys

      HIGH GROUNDS just got beat by a neck jockey left it a bit to late .

      But cracking e/w double as well as nice win ,Another very good day.

      Good luck everyone

      2
  17. dazzman1979 1 month ago

    Going all in 💰💰💰 on do no wrong 8:20 Southwell 11/2 – ooosh !

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