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I thought yesterday was going to be a good day but it didn't quite come to fruition after a good start with the 14/1 shot Silcan Bridge winning in the hands of Hayley Turner. I think Crowley messed about on Mutaasabeq and Potapova missed the break (slow removal of blindfold) and she ran well to finish at close as she did. The last horse Arenas Del Tiempo was the worst selection and looks not up to Class 2 level, I fancied giving him another go as I thought something was amiss last time.
Trainer: F-H Grafford
Jockey: Christophe Soumillon
Though BAIYKARA has a bit to find with the form horses in this race, I have been impressed with her performances to date in her two run career and believe she can bridge the gap and progress to win this Group 3 contest.
She was keen on debut and looked in trouble but fair play to the filly she stuck to her task well and when the penny dropped she picked up in good style of a horse who could be useful. On her second run she got going too late again but ran on strongly over this track where she seemed to handle nicely. That was a much better run than what the finishing lengths suggest as the winner was at least 5-6 lengths in front of Baiykara when she decided to go for home which made life difficult for the selection to bridge the gap, so the 1.5L defeat into 2nd place was a very big effort. In doing so she reversed the form of the 2nd from her debut race and comfortably finishing ahead of her.
This longer trip looks sure to suit on pedigree and her running style so at the prices of around 7/1 I make her good value.
Trainer: George Baker
Jockey: Pat Cosgrave
THE LAMPLIGHTER was a frustrating losing tip for me nine days ago at Brighton where he was given a terrible ride by Pat Cosgrave. Even though he didn't win, I do think he is still on a good handicap mark and considering the form he is in I think he is worth another shot back on a track where he generally runs his best races.
The ground should go soft with the amount of rain they are expecting at Goodwood, and that shouldn't be an issue for him as he has previously got form on a slow surface. There's not much more to say that is different to the reasoning I had at Brighton, if he gets a clear passage he is a major player in this.
Trainer: Harry & Roger Charlton
Jockey: Kieran Shoemark
I was looking through the form of a few horses the other day and I stumbled across DANCING TANGO when watching her 3rd placed run at Ascot. I wasn't concentrating on in specific but she caught my eye when running on strongly down the outside and I instantly thought he could be a smart horse who is worth tracking. She turns up in a Maiden race, which will be her last race before going into handicap company and I think this is a winnable race despite it being with full of unexposed horses. The form of the Ascot race looks solid enough with the front 4 excluding Dancing Tango all look like nice horses, which was on show when the 4th horse Perfect Alibi won a maiden in the past couple of days.
Dancing Tango has a lovely pedigree and she shouldn't be hampered by the rain with the Sire (Camelot) producing many soft ground horses. To see odds of 3/1 is quite surprising as I was expecting shorter, so I do think there is value in back her.