MFT RacingTips Safe 07

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I've had a terrible week, nothing has been landing or sticking, horses have been pipped for places/wins and yesterday was horrendous. Wonderwall didn't seem to stay on the soft ground over 2m at Chester, which was surprising considering they went a slow gallop and War Rooms just couldn't go the gallop at Doncaster, looking like a proper boat that is in need of a couple more furlongs.

Doncaster 1:50 – Sunway 16/1 (0.5pt EW)

I think it's easy to go for Rosallion in this contest, he is 2/2 and won a Listed race in emphatic style last time around. The form of the win looks very strong with many horses in behind franking the form, none other than Dancing Gemini who won at Doncaster yesterday in a Listed race, doing it very easily. However, Sunway was touted to be the best 2yo from David Menuisier's yard and was well-fancied for the race Rosallion won at Ascot, going off at 5/2 second fav. He was hanging to the right and went out like a light that day, and I think you've got to give him another chance, as he was impressive on his debut where not everything went to plan. He was slowly away at Sandown and was ridden quite early, but he picked up very nicely and when he hit top stride he went many lengths clear, doing it in the manner of a horse who has plenty of ability. Connections could've easily gone down the nursery route off a handicap mark of 93, but instead, they've gone back into the deep end and are taking on Rosallion as well as some other good juveniles. I think we didn't see the true Sunway last time around, and with a bit of a break, we will hopefully see a better performance.

Doncaster 2:25 – Tees Spirit 12/1 (0.5pt EW 6pl)

I love this Portland Sprint Handicap, it's always a cracking race even if you're not having a punt on it, but I will be having a few quid on Tees Spirit.

You can make a claim for plenty in this race, but Tees Spirit sticks out like a sore thumb off a mark of 86 when you take Mia Nicholls' 7lb off his current handicap mark of 93. That makes him ridiculously well handicapped on old pieces of form and when you see his recent run at Haydock just seven days ago, you can argue that he is peaking at the right time for this race. He ran a belter to finish 2nd last weekend behind Raasel who is a smart horse on his day, he was 3rd in a Group 2 behind Highfield Princess the time before, so to finish as close as he did to that horse is big run.

This horse won twice in August last year, winning a handicap at Doncaster off a mark of 89 (producing an RPR of 104) and then won a Listed race at Tipperary, producing an RPR of 106, so if it all goes right, he is on a very dangerous handicap mark. I think he would like faster ground, but the ground should be drying out all the time from now to the start of racing so I don't think it'll be particularly slow. I think being up with the pace will be an advantage is this race and he is drawn next to The Big Board who is an out-and-out front-runner, so Mia should have the ideal spot to track the pacesetter on her side.

Doncaster 3:00 – Spycatcher 6/4 (2pt)

If the ground does stay relatively slow then I think this can go the way of Spycatcher.

This is a Group 2 in name only, and is such a terrible renewal and it makes you wonder why trainers and owners who have suitable horses aren't taking advantage of this. If the ground was rapid then Audience would take some beating, it would also bring Jumbly into consideration, but on slow-ish ground, I think Spycatcher might be able to bag a Group 2.

He's always had ability, but for most of his career he's been better known as a high-level handicapper but he has transformed his form and is borderline Group 1 worthy. He nearly won a Group 1 in France last time out on very soft ground over 6.5f, he was nabbed on the line, and it is decent enough form. He was ahead of Sandrine by 3.25L that day, so I find it hard to see a reverse in that form, he was ahead of Art Power who is dangerous on his day and was ahead of Gold Case who has been a solid sprinter this year. We know he stays 7f, he will sit handy, probably just off Pogo and Audience who both like to set the pace and I think he is the most likeliest winner of this.

Horse Racing Tips
Sunway
Doncaster - 1:50 pm

16/1 @ Bet365

Tees Spirit
Doncaster - 2:25 pm

12/1 @ Bet365

Spycatcher
Doncaster - 3:00 pm

6/4 @ Bet365

28 Comments
  1. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 1 year ago

    Blue Collar 7/2 2.15 bath NAP

    Has been running in much tougher races than this and should prove to be better than a 75 rated horse.

    Toto Too 5/2 1.35 navan NB

    Makes Hurdle debut but won his bumper so easily at Killarney he should be tough to beat here.

    Leger

    Chesspiece 12/1 ew 3 places

    Not the strongest renewal we’ve ever seen but a bit of a puzzle nonetheless.
    Obviously Frankie switching to Arrest has shortened him up and Gregory has been on the drift.
    But even though Arrest will enjoy conditions I just can’t have him. He’s flattered to deceive every time he’s raced above group 3 level and this is group 1. But I’ll take the switch from Frankie as a negative for Gregory who had a hard race lto and it wasn’t Frankies finest hour in the saddle having gone off way to hard.
    Continuous was impressive at York but he’s Japanese bred and there has to be doubts as to whether he’ll handle the softer surface. There are bits of soft form on the dam side but I’d prefer if he had already proved himself on the surface.
    Desert Hero ticks a lot of boxes. He’s 3-3 on soft going and beat my selection well at Goodwood but I just think Chesspiece was beaten by a quicker horse over that trip. The only negative for DH is he’s by Sea The Stars who has yet to Sire the winner of the Leger so because of that I’ve left him alone.
    Chesspiece will enjoy conditions being by Nathaniel and I also think the step up in trip is what he’s been crying out for.
    He may not have the class to actually win but I think he’ll at least be in the 3 and at 12/1 it’s a fair bet.

    BOL

    1
    • Avatar of Double carpet
      double carpet 1 year ago

      Happy Romance 14/1 ew 6 places 2.25 Don

      Last ran in the group 1 Kings Stand. His 3 runs this campaign have all been at Listed or Group level.
      Been dropped 4lbs by the h’capper and drops into class 2 company. Jockey takes a further 5lbs off his back.
      Obviously very competitive race but can see him going well

      1
  2. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 year ago

    5:35 Chester – page 3 – 6/1

    3
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 1 year ago

      6:00 Musselburgh- bowood 14/1 e/w

      2
  3. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 year ago

    Race 4 flemington – arkensaw kid 10/1 e/w if your up and about then ?

    4
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 1 year ago

      04:50 am sat morning

      3
  4. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 year ago

    4:45 Doncaster- AT VAMEIRO 7/1 ?

    3
  5. Avatar of Gateacre Pete
    Gateacre Pete 1 year ago

    Ew Lucky 15
    Alia’s Rose 4.10 Chantilly @ 40s
    Dusky Lord 2.25 Don @ 25s
    Spioradalta 5.20 Don @ 25s
    Ace Aussie 5.05 Nav @ 50s
    GL today

    • Avatar of Gateacre Pete
      Gateacre Pete 1 year ago

      Ace Aussie Nr. Replaced with Endofastorm Bath 3.25 @ 33s

      1
  6. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    lady straight 11.20

    5
  7. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    DeVille 11.50 ew well done all winners yesterday

    5
  8. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    jussey 12.22

    6
  9. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    mountain bear 1.50 ew

    5
  10. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    get it 2.25 ew

    5
  11. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 1 year ago

    Saint cloud ??

    2-15 O trasno
    5-1 win
    11-8 top 3 finish
    20-80 stake

    2-50 laulne
    7-2 win
    11-8 top 2 finish
    20-80 stake

    2
    • Avatar of Elvis Parsley
      elvis parsley 1 year ago

      4-10 left sea
      7-1 win
      11-8 top 3 finish

      All at bet365
      And it’s Chantilly not saint cloud ??

      2
    • Avatar of Elvis Parsley
      elvis parsley 1 year ago

      20-80 stake left sea

  12. Avatar of Wildhorse
    Wildhorse 1 year ago

    Hello ALL

    St. Leger Day

    Doncaster / Trixie EW

    R. 4 – Arrest

    R. 6 – Bellum Justum

    R. 7 – Sonny Liston

    G. luck & Nice Weekend !!

    1
  13. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    Sandrine 3.00

    4
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 1 year ago

      I was on sandrine as well thank god ! . Thought it was pretty obvious never to back a favourite on a Saturday! Stay well clear ?

      1
    • Avatar of albert rose
      azzthewigan 1 year ago

      yup not wrong dazzman1979

      1
  14. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 1 year ago

    Well got to go on the St Ledger tough or not with many they say capable of winning. Chess piece Ew was something I was into then almost Arrest with all the Dettori chat but continue on with Doncaster 3.35…Continuis 3/1

    Well named as all he’s been doing with last run catching the eye staying on

    GL all and well done winners

    it’s all eyes look to America ” ?

    3
  15. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    middle earth .3.35 ew

    2
  16. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    imperial class 4.30 ew. was second in a points race

    2
  17. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 year ago

    2 Moros nap – sacred falls 2:50 Musselburgh

    But at 10/11 hardly working man’s odds hopefully you can double it up with something

    Also going to do AMERRONE 9/2 on the same card at 5:45

    Loads of hooker tokens on that one potentially ??

  18. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    tee at one 8.30 ew Delaware park

    1
  19. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    stage left 8.35 usa nap

    1
  20. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    mayfly 8.42 nb

    1

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