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It's been a disaster the last couple of days, I'm hoping tomorrow will be some better results.

Warwick 3:05 – Valentino Dancer 5/1 (1pt)

I'd have been tempted to go with Idalko Bihoue who I recently put up at Perth but the meeting was cancelled, I'd have reservations in this lineup on good ground. I think in a race full of novices, where some of them haven't jumped a fence in public, experience could be key and I opted for Valentino Dancer to come out on top.

This horse has his quirks, he has thrown away a lead when having many lengths on the horse in behind, and he tried his best to do it last time out when idling in front, so clearly is a fruit loop. Though his quirks come with an obvious risk, I don't mind it as I think it shows there's more in the locker that we've not seen from him yet, and would prefer a stronger race as he clearly gets lonely in front. I'd say this is a stronger race than his recent ones, even though they don't have much chase experience, but the quality of horses is better, so it might allow Paddy to deliver him much later and give him less chance of thinking about it when hitting the front.

He is at the bottom of the weights and likes the ground. I expect him to travel well into the race, with the track likely to suit him as he is nippy.

Warwick 3:35 – Alexandra Romanov 9/2 (1pt)

It's good to see a decent field turnout for this race as it will allow me to get better odds on Alexandra Romanov, and I am very keen on her chances in this.

Nearly every horse in this race has questions which need to be answered, but the one I believe is open to progress again is my selection, Alexandra Romanov. This mare is 2/3 when running over today's trip with the only blip being a PU run where something clearly wasn't right as she made that wrong a right when winning last time out off a very big break (239 days). She appears to like the quicker ground and she seemed to love Warwick last time out, she travelled like a dream in that race and would've won by a much bigger margin if she didn't jump the last like a snooker table.

What I also like is that Sheena West is running her with a 7lb penalty, normally, I'd say they are running them with a penalty as the penalty is better than the future mark they would get, but this isn't the case with this horse. The handicapper raised her by 6lb, so she is effectively 1lb worse off at the weights, so they must feel like they have a very strong chance of coming away with the win and she must be flying at home, as even though it's only 1lb, you'd want every advantage given to you.

Related Topics: Racing Tips Warwick
Horse Racing Tips
Valentino Dancer
Warwick - 3:05 pm

5/1 @ Bet365

Alexandra Romanov
Warwick - 3:35 pm

9/2 @ PaddyPower

27 Comments
  1. dazzman1979 7 months ago

    15:15 lingfield- timebar 11/2

    2
  2. Gateacre Pete 7 months ago

    Wee Valerie 5.20 Thurles. Not 300-1 like last time but gonna stick with it. 60s top 6 ew extra
    GL

    2
  3. azzthewigan 7 months ago

    kemoon 12.25 ew well done all winners yesterday

  4. azzthewigan 7 months ago

    gushing 2.15 nb

  5. azzthewigan 7 months ago

    Ciara pearl 1.40 nap

    2
  6. azzthewigan 7 months ago

    fanzine 1.07 france

  7. azzthewigan 7 months ago

    fanzone 1.07 ew

    1
  8. azzthewigan 7 months ago

    Houston 1.52

  9. elvis parsley 7 months ago

    Mareska 4-35 Warwick 16-1 ew 4 places SKYBET

    1
  10. heisenberg 7 months ago

    430 Heymaker

    1
  11. elvis parsley 7 months ago

    Flute en sol 4-55 saint cloud 🇫🇷
    8-1 ew 4 places SKYBET

    1
  12. ew thief 7 months ago

    Croesco cynreag 5.02s 15-2☘️☘️gl all

    1
  13. ew thief 7 months ago

    Enochdhuj 5.35s 11-1☘️☘️gl all

    1
  14. recoba 7 months ago

    🇺🇸 Wee Early Trixie

    Thistledown -R1…O Romeo 5/1
    Belmont -R2…Why Waste Words 9/2 ***
    R3..Value Engineering 11/8

    GL all rest of the day and well done winners so far

  15. recoba 7 months ago

    Apologies thats Belmont Races 3 and 4 NOT 2 and 3.
    Also Bargaining Power NOT Value Engineering Race 4?? 🤦‍♂️

  16. recoba 7 months ago

    🇺🇸
    All Coral ⬆️ as is this

    Belmont -R8…Portage 5/2 ****+
    Combo tricast 8-6-7.
    No: 2 be a win/place contender with Ortiz Jnr on board but a year off and 4/1 puts me off.

  17. azzthewigan 7 months ago

    lost in time 6.30 ew well done all winners today

  18. robyn 7 months ago

    just in, so the 1930 race has had a 2 minute look so again betting for interest as usual.

    i had a quickkk look through the runners and not much stood out.

    jim boyle had a winner recently and luke catton is one of his main apprentices, riding many for him.

    the horse has won over 1m2f whilst many rivals although accomplished over 1m, try 1m2f for the first time.

    as a runner, i am sure horses are similar, if the pace is slack, they wont have an issue, whilst some of the 7f/1m horses may struggle if it’s a strong pace etc. so it isn’t too wise to discount them so flippantly… anyway.

    horse hasnt got amazing recent form and very little on the AW but is 1lb below his last win and 11/1 is a nice enough price.

    WILKIE runs off 57, this time last year he was given a mark of 95… yes he has been last in every race, but gotta win eventually.

    ivory and fallen won the previous race, doubt a double but could place.

    will have £2 saver on kt oneil and alice haynes, a very nice combo who will pop up plenty this winter.

    MEADRAM out of form but seemingly capable 6/1 suggest been support at glance and probably a better option that my BOYLE fancy to many. and i guess i’lll mention hogan and feilden just bcz.

    15 mins till off so leave that with u, more free time on the horizon so hope to bring the thread some winners in good time.

    1
    • robyn 7 months ago

      1830….^^

    • robyn 7 months ago

      WILKIE is 12/1 into 3/1.

      1
    • robyn 7 months ago

      waste of 5 mins, few shoddy last minute punts, have a proper go 2moro

      1
  19. recoba 7 months ago

    Belterra -R4…Threewhitesoldiers 6/4 Paddy Power *****
    Won better race on debut then thrown into 88K claimer and this Allowance race is a big drop for only 3rd run.

    1
  20. azzthewigan 7 months ago

    vaikyrain 7.00

  21. azzthewigan 7 months ago

    agastino 7.30

  22. recoba 7 months ago

    USA 🇺🇸

    No good with early stuff and should have posted Boss Logic there at Deleware even at 6/5 but there about a race behind time wise and I thought to close and it was far from.

    Anywho…

    🇺🇸 🫡 👨‍⚖️

    Yankee

    Delaware Park – R7…Eddie The Great 3/1 ***
    Presque Isle -R3……Comedic Timing
    9/2 ***+
    Belmont At The Big A – R8…Portage
    3/1 As above but better price in Acca with Paddy Power ⬆️
    Horseshoe Indianapolis R7..- Endora
    10/3

    1
  23. recoba 7 months ago

    You Must Chill at Laurel Park Race 8 could be added for a Canadian at 10/11. Value went with NR who was closest in betting

    GL yoll

  24. recoba 7 months ago

    One more to go in Yankee and hopefully gets up for 3/4.

    Finally a price up bar Bet365??

    🇺🇸/🇨🇦
    Woodbine -R6…Fedelina. 4/1 Coral. ***+

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