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Goodwood has been a total cesspit this week, and if you're in profit this week then well done as though I've not been too involved it's looked a tough one.
Yesterday's sole selection would've won if getting a clear passage. She hit her usual flat spot, but in her previous races once she gets past that point she gets into overdrive and power away when eventually hitting top gear. The French jockey didn't have a clue how to ride the track, he went for the gap up the rail which was never there and from that point on it was curtains. Painful one to take with 3pt being on the line, but that's horse racing, and I'm sure connections wouldn't have been happy with him.
Goodwood 1:50 – Temporize 14/1 (0.5pt EW Bet365 5pl)
This race is always a strange one in the flat calendar as it's one of a select few which has no starting stalls and is a flag start which is what we get over the jumps. It's a nightmare to start the race more times than not as the flat horses aren't trained for this scenario, so the ones who have experience over the jumps are normally the best behaved and get a good position after a good start.
My fancy in this has no experience over the jumps, so could be last when they set off if he doesn't get the best of starts, but I think you need a strong stayer with the ground being as it is at Goodwood and I think Temporize will appreciate the extra 4f he faces for the first time. This is without a doubt the hardest race of his career, and the race last time out did fall apart with the front two pulling miles clear of the rest, but I liked the attitude that Temporize showed. He was headed 2f from home but he stuck to his task very well and powered home to nearly take it off the idling winner. That was on testing ground at Ascot and he handled it no problems, it was a tough race which is a concern with him just having 7 days off, but they wouldn't be coming here if he wasn't in good condition.
Light weights have been favoured over the years in this contest and Temporize gets in off 8st 5lbs, and I'd argue he's still unexposed, especially at staying trips now he's being trained by jumps-trained Syd Hosie, who will probably give him a spin over hurdles at some point in the winter. But, his current handicap mark of 82 is too tempting not to race him in races like this for big pots, and I think he has a solid chance of winning with a previous winning jockey Luke Morris taking over.
Goodwood 3:00 – The Wizard Of Eye 20/1 (0.5pt EW William Hill 5pl)
The draw has been key to success for this race over recent years, with the general consensus that if you're drawn high you've got virtually no chance with all of the last 9 winners coming from stall 1 – 10, and normally this is a big target race for David O'Meara, so his horses are often well fancied for this race. However, I'll be giving a chance to an old selection of mine, The Wizard Of Eye.
This horse is making his handicap debut at the age of 4 and off a mark fo 105. He was a good juvenile a couple of years ago, he has always had the ability to be a very good racehorse but it hasn't always clicked with him for one reason or another, though he's running off a big weight on his handicap debut I think he could be the class horse in the race and a mark of 105 could be a tad low if it all clicks for him. He is a front runner or likes to sit close to the pace, which is ideal as you want to avoid all of the trouble, like I found out yesterday. He is drawn in stall 6, he has a decent pedigree for the soft ground and run okay on it in the past. He stays a mile, so there are a lot of positives for him. He seems to handle the track, as we saw him finish 2nd in a Group 3 last year over today's C&D.
His recent form looks patchy, but if you look at the Newcastle race in a Class 2 race the winner went on to run well in the Lockinge and the runner-up went on to win a Listed race. With extra places on offer and a stand-out price of 20/1 with William Hill I think he is worth a few quid EW.
Goodwood 3:35 – Nymphadora 14/1 (0.5pt EW)
The ground has been soft over the last couple of days at Goodwood, but they aren't expecting further rain so the ground will probably dry out slightly, making it quite tacky I'd imagine so this trip of 5f might take some getting for these quick horses.
Nymphadora has been improving nicely on the slow surfaces this year, grabbing two wins along the way and thought this ground might be good to soft come the time of racing I think she is still being massively overlooked. I thought she was impressive last time at York when she smoked them in that contest, she is a very smooth traveller which should suit her on this speedy 5f, which is what we saw from her at Chester as well when winning on soft ground, ahead of Kings Lynn, who is no mug.
She is drawn low, which has been the place to be for the races on the straight track and she is drawn next to Highfield Princess who likes to run from the front, so hopefully she'll be positioned to get a nice pull into the race and if she's good enough she'll come with her winning run. I'm not deluded, I know this is a very tough ask to beat Highfield Princess, but I expected her to win at Ascot and she didn't, so maybe she is regressing, and with the odds of 14/1 floating around on my selection, with not many of the others in the race having outstanding claims, she is the play against the odds-on favourite.
Goodwood - 1:50 pm
14/1 @ Bet365
Goodwood - 3:00 pm
20/1 @ William Hill
Goodwood - 3:35 pm