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Haveyoumissedme was a winning tip for the second time this month which was good to see as he was the only selection of Sunday. Today, I've opted for just the one selection again, and I think he is overpriced on old form and shouldn't be underestimated.
Warwick 3:00
There is a chance that TEMPLEHILLS will get an easy lead, and if so, that will give him a good chance in my opinion. He is starting to become well weighted off a mark of 122, and today's conditions would probably be deemed as ‘ideal'. 2m 4f on good ground and around Warwick is a good combination for this horse, and those conditions is what saw him run to a career best RPR of 146.
He was a decent horse when he was first trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies, but he lost his way a bit when he moved yards to Jonjo O'Neill, which saw his chase rating drop from 135 to 120. His first run back for Nigel saw him win on the back of a 291 day break, winning at Stratford. At the time the form probably wouldn't have been deemed to be that strong, but in hindsight he beat a well-handicapped horse in Francky Du Berlais. That horse has since improved from a 117 rated chaser to 147, which recently saw him win the Summer Plate Group 3 at Market Rasen. Since that win over Francky, his form dropped off, as he was tried over 2m and 3m trips, which I don't think suits him at all. This season he has fell and finished 7th over hurdles, but now he is back on a low mark of 122 and over fences. The time off the track isn't a worry as he has previously won off a break before, and like I mentioned previously today's conditions should be perfect for him.
My main concern is the form of the stable, who have started this summer jumps season below par. Nigel Twiston-Davies has only had 6 winners from 111 runners, but has had 23 placed horses, so he might be slightly unlucky with the amount of winners he has had.
As for the opposition, I think Vinnie The Hoddie will be one of the main rivals, as he generally runs well on his second run after a break, but I'm hoping he doesn't challenge us for the lead, as that would be a pain. Lock's Corner arguably looks in the grips of the handicapper now, and will take a big run to win off 12st, and the same comments apply to Pink Eyed Pedro. Vision Des Flos and Zoffee are closely matched, and I'd say Zoffee might be better over shorter, and Vision Des Flos struggled to beat that rival, so I'm not totally convinced on that form. Templehills could be the value of the race.
4:20 Leicester- plastic paddy 10/1 e/w
4:50 Leicester – mostallim 8/1 e/w
4:25 Listowel- fierami 8/1 e/w
4:55 Listowel – buddy rich 14/1 e/w
Was nt a million miles away but still a complete and utter game of torment
Well done rizzles on Sunday and special mention in dispatches for AZZ who“Knocked it out of the park ” with a 100-1 ew shout that placed 3rd no less 🏇.
As Paul Daniels used to say “that’s magic”
Bet of the day that one 👍
cheers elvis
Yeah well in lads wast on but nice tips
Zoffee 3-00 Warwick 3-1 @Bet365.
————————————————
Canfords joy 3-55 Hamilton
6-1 top 4 finish @betfair.
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Basic beauty 7-00 wolves 3-1 @betfair.
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1:30 Leicester ~ Mr Stanley
2:00 Leicester ~ Hurricane Helen
2:17 Hamilton ~ Stallone
5:35 Hamilton ~ Temper Trap
HAMILTON 3.55 CHINESE SPIRIT 9/2 LABROKES MAX E/W
LEICESTER 4.50 FIRMDECISIONS 10/1 SKY BET 4 PLACES MAX E/W
MAX E/W DOUBLE
3:50 Listowel – Palace Rock ***NAP***
4:20 Leicester – Plastic Paddy **NB**
6:45 Fairyhouse – Nibiru *each way punt*
Good morning ladies,
Just the one selection from myself today which runs in the 6:30 at Wolverhampton.
As most people know George Boughey normally does pretty well with his young 2/3 year olds. Didn’t finish out 7f last time out and dropped back to 6 at the end of June where she finished 4th. I’m hoping the combination of wind surgery and a will ease out more improvement from this one. Ben Curtis rides and there doesn’t look like much talent in the field that I can see besides maybe Ruth Carr’s freedom flyer who’s down 13lb this year.
2/1 currently with 365
BOOM! Another dawn glides past with ease. Small drift out to 9/4 as well!
Beautiful ride by Ben Curtis and race winner planned out exactly as I expected!
Nice to be back with a bang!
Well done all winners 🙌
Well done good work sir 👍
Davy Russell to ride a winner at Listowel 4/6 – PP special
He’s on the 4/5 favoring 1st race and rides another 3 at today’s meeting
—
Colin Keane to ride 2+ winners 7/4 & 3+ winners 10/1 at Fairyhouse
He’s on 4/11 favourite the 1st and has another 4 runners who all have a chance
—
Also on Jonjo O’Neil doubles and EW treble at Warwick
15.00 Locks Corner 7/1
15.35 An Tailliur 6/4
16.45 Bean in Trouble 6/1
Gota love them specials easy money
palm Beach 3.50 ew well done all winners yesterday
Well done the winners yesterday!
Didn’t fancy much in the USA last night but should have backed Dettori again in the G1s!
At the double again!!
Anywho…
Thistledown-R8…9/4(**** on a 5 timer and came from a bit back and had to swing wide round the corner to get up nicely in the end. Jockey obviously knows the horse well now)
GL
Sweet ill put it in with these 3 panamaniac 6’20@ thistle,,,,ringgood 8’06@ fingerlicks,,,chardon 6’50@ thistledown,,,,,awswer the belle,7’15@ Delaware
Do you mean favourite??
Odds have shortened so probably just the treble and the above single
Add..
Finger Lakes-R4…Lady’s Golden Boy. 6/4
R7…Flying Emporer. 4/6 Was EVS.
Bet365.
GL all
HaHa… YES TheBigFlu it’s Beverley Park.
Oops
Hi all
Not been on for some time, I just can’t warm to the flat this season, so just took a break.
It will probably be a while before I’m back on more regularly when the NH gets into gear, but there’s a fairly decent card at Listowel today for the time of year, and I thought one in particular looked overpriced in the 3.50.
Perry Owens 33/1 ew 5 places pp.
The price has shortened a bit since this morning but is still 25s with some firms.
I’m willing to put a line through his last run over this distance as he was never going well and was pushed along from early.
Prior to that though he was 3rd to Druid’s Alter with Dark Voyager 10L back in 4th and Flying Scotsman a further 9 1/2L back in 5th.
He also gave them 7lbs that day. If you look at the weights today, you will see a significant weight advantage for the selection which must give him every chance.
2 previous runnings of the race the winners carried 10-9 and 10-3, so also falls into that bracket.
BOL
3rd…👍
Given a bit too much to do but doubt he’d have won anyway.
Nice shout
Good work dc 👍💰
Great to see you back DC. Please contribute more often. We have missed you.
Cheers guys
I’m going on hols next week, so back in Oct. all being well. Hopefully the NH will be into gear by then.
Until then, stay safe and happy punting.
Great pick 🇮🇪
Afternoon all
Mashkoorah 2.00l 14-1
Rose bandit 2.17h 13-2
Glan y gors 3.22h 20-1
Blades equal 3.45l 7-1
Chinese spirit 3.55h 6-1
Winkleman 4.20l 14-1
Ew singles & ew lucky63 ☘️☘️Gl all
This Leicester is bad
You don’t think the 40/1 winner was a good horse, considering it won?
L15
War 2.25 Lady Reset
Ham 2.50 Ventura Flame
War 3.00 Coffee
Ham 3.22 Daawy
Street life,,,rose bud,,,another dawn,,,big boy bobby,,,Scheherazade,,,,bet @ wolver
Welcome back DC. Great shout
Never saw it as i dont follow you bud but nice tip ill watch for you next time
5:35 Hamilton – hot team 9/2
Nice tip dazz
Cheers think I’ll leave it now for today as i usually go a few bets to far and undo my good work haha 😂
Ew extra
Chorus girl 10-1 for 7 places
Al tilal 45-1 for 7 places
Just a wee dabble for interest as I wait for my last loser of the day to lose at 7pm (basic beauty) 😆 and the Mrs has grabbed the remote control and is watching neighbors f.f.s.
6-00 at wolves those 2 camels are 🐫🐫
Neighbours? Bloody hell ! Old school neighbours was alright rather watch take the high road than any of the new stuff unless there is scantily clad women walking about in the scenes obviously 🙄
6:00 Wolverhampton- washraa 12/1 e/w
6:30 Wolverhampton-?toms half brother 14/1 e/w
Davy Russell to ride a winner at Listowel 4/6 – PP special
He’s on the 4/5 favoring 1st race and rides another 3 at today’s meeting
—
Colin Keane to ride 2+ winners 7/4 & 3+ winners 10/1 at Fairyhouse
He’s on 4/11 favourite the 1st and has another 4 runners who all have a chance
—
Also on Jonjo O’Neil doubles and EW treble at Warwick
15.00 Locks Corner 7/1
15.35 An Tailliur 6/4
16.45 Bean in Trouble 6/1
Davy Russell wins opener at 4/7, Colin Keane gets 2 winners to bag the 7/4 shot but in the last race can only grab 2nd to let down 10/1 special. Only 1 winner for Jonjo O’Neil
Yeah i have a look everyday you can steal money , got 2 up last week with holly Doyle, got 12pound odds back ,,will be looking tomorrow again
Couple of picks for 2 Moro
4:30 Warwick – jony max 6/1
5:10 Listowel- snapius 5/1
Ya wee champion Beverley Park!! 🇺🇸🐎
5 wins ‘on the trot’ but won by the thinnest of margins there!
Odds on favourite that I got at 6/4 for the Trixie or treble is 2nd after going off at 1/5!!?? 🙄
Onwards and well done the winners today
Nice one recoba, didn’t watch the race but my pp Balance has gone up. Cheers mate