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Yesterday's tips saw us get a 9/4 winner with Zero Ten. Exchange Rate was punted off the boards into 4/1 favourite at one point, and was given a strange ride, where he was at least 5 or 6 horses wide throughout the entire race, which was a big disappointment. Today we head to Goodwood for the first day of their Glorious Goodwood festival, and we're back at Galway for one selection.

Goodwood 1:50

Mark Johnston loves sending runners to Goodwood, especially the Glorious Goodwood meeting, so it's always best to give a second look at his runners. I fancy SKY DEFENDER to hopefully bounce back to form, at a track he handles.

Mark Johnston is in profit of 36.82 to £1 level stakes at this festival, and that is from 530 runners, which has produced 62 wins and a further 104 more places. That might not seem much, but for the amount of runners he has, and he will have multiple runners in each race, that is still a very good stat. Though it's a very encouraging stat, as he aims a lot of his horses at this festival, it's not the reason why I'm siding with Sky Defender. This horse finished 2nd in this race last year, where he finished behind Maydanny, who had a very easy time of things in the lead last year, and he won easily. Sky Defender was giving away 14lbs to Maydanny that day, and today he is receipt of 3lbs, which is a 17lb swing in the weights from last year. Maydanny has obviously been in better form recently, but there are reasons to believe a big run is on the cards for the selection. He's dropped to a mark of 99, which is the first time his rating has dropped below 100 in over a year, with the last time he was rated 99, he won at Epsom. Goodwood and Epsom are compared to be similar tracks, and those specific tracks seem to get the best out of this horse, as he's won at Epsom once, finished runner-up once and he's finished runner-up at Goodwood on both the times he's raced at the track. He recently finished last at Epsom, but there were excuses for that run, as he was making a run up the rail but was impeded, which resulted in Franny easing him down, and rightly so.

The ground should not be an issue, with him running well on slow ground previously. He's finished 2nd in the Sky Bet Handicap at York last year, as well as running a nice race in 3rd in a Group 3 at Windsor, also on soft ground. The forecast is suggesting rain, but the ground might dry out a little so Good To Soft is also fine, with him finishing 2nd in a Group 3 in Germany on GTS.

I'm hoping the race will be run to suit. I'd expect Maydanny to make use of stall 2 and go from the front, or at least get close to the pace. He might be challenged by Cockalorum, who also likes to make the running, which was the case last time in the John Smith's Cup at York where he almost made all. Data Protection who is drawn wide, and is a horse who is always sent to the front, which means it might be best for horses to come from off the pace, especially if they take each other on. From Stall 7, I hope Sky Defender breaks well and sits just off the pace, that way he is in a good position to go and hopefully avoid trouble when/if the front runners start back pedaling.

Advised: Each Way

Goodwood 3:00

A wide stall has done KINROSS no favours, but I still think he can run a nice race despite being drawn in 13 out of 14.

I get the feeling this trip on a downhill track like Goodwood on a slow surface will be ideal for this horse. He seems to have good pace and a good turn of foot, but generally looks to be tiring in the final half furlong. This was the scenario last time at Haydock, where even though he won, and won by 1.25 lengths, he was tiring late on, and that could be due to the fact he might've needed the run, as it was his first run in 107 days, but I don't think it was that as he was well found in the market, which suggests that the yard thought he was ready to strike. The same happened at Haydock in September of last year, but this time over a mile. He had the turn of foot to take the lead, but with about a furlong to go, his efforts weakened and he couldn't keep up with the strong stayers at the trip, which shows to me that he is probably best suited to a fast paced 7f on an easy track, like Epsom or Goodwood, where there is a downhill finish.

The form of that win has been franked slightly, with Njord (2nd) since running a big race in defeat when finishing 2nd to Order Of Australia, who is a Group 1 winner. Glorious Journey (3rd), won next time out in good style in a Group 3 at Newmarket, beating Motakhayyel, who won the Bunbury Cup on his next run.

Being drawn wide hasn't done him any favours, but if you'd want that to happen to any of yours horses, you'd want it to be on a hold-up horse. Thankfully, Kinross is a hold-up horse, so it doesn't make a big difference, as he will be tucked in.

If on song, then it's hard to look past last years winner, Space Blues, but he's not been seen for 122 days. Charlie Appleby is clearly capable of getting one ready on the back of a layoff, but at the prices I'd be wanting to look elsewhere, and I'd be more tempted to back his stablemate, Creative Force, who is a horse on the up.

Advised: Each Way

Goodwood 3:35

I thought that it was worth taking on STRADIVARIUS at Ascot last time, and I was correct in thinking that, but I don't think it means that he is finished by any stretch of the imagination.

It was a tactical race for the Gold Cup at Royal Ascot, and Joe Fanning took the initiative and gave Subjectivist a cracking ride. He made the manoeuvre to get the lead at around the four furlong point, and he kicked around the bend, and he wasn't for catching. That definitely didn't suit a lot of the horses in the race, especially the ones who were off the pace, and only a handful were actually involved in the race at all. Stradivarius was boxed in on the rail at the time Subjectivist went for home, and you could tell that Frankie wasn't happy being in that position. As soon as Joe Fanning kicked around the bend, Frankie was looking for the room, as he knew he had to go with the leader, but he couldn't get him out. He only had two behind him coming around the bend, but due to his good turn of foot as a staying horse, he managed to finish 4th. It was literally mission impossible from where he was, so he ran well to finish where he did.

Though he has won the Ascot Gold Cup a couple of times before, I think he is better suited over two mile, as he does have that turn of foot which a lot of stayers don't have, and he can put that to use much better over 2m, which is why I think it's daft to write him off. The Gosden's are dead set that he prefers fast ground, but I think he handles any ground, and even though it might be soft, I don't think it will be bottomless ground, so he should be fine. At the time of writing you can get 2/1 with William Hill, but looks like he is drifting.

The money seems to be coming in for Trueshan, who I can't follow, as I think the hype around this horse is mental for the form he has. He won the Group 2 staying contest on Champions day, where Stradivarius finished virtually pulled up. I think the fact Strad has a hard campaign and was aimed at the Arc, to then run in the race at Ascot less than two weeks later on soft to heavy ground, it didn't work out well. The form of that race is ridiculous and to believe that Trueshan is the next big thing on the back of that is a bit daft in my opinion. He beat Search For A Song and Fujaira Prince, who were 1st and 2nd in the Irish St Leger, which isn't a great Group 1. In behind them you had Morando who is a Group 3/Listed horse at best. Spanish Mission was in that race, but hated the ground, so you can't say he ran his race. The predicted slow surface is enough to put me off Spanish Mission again today. Trueshan has since finished 2nd to Japan over 13.5 furlongs, and then 6th in the Northumberland Plate. I'm happy to be humbled if he wins tomorrow, but I think he will need it to bucket down and turn into bottomless ground if he was to win.

Galway 6:45

RAZDAN is a very interesting runner if he turns up in this race today. He raced yesterday, where he ran a blinder to finish third when you consider the trip he had. He was blocked on the inside rail, had to switch very ride around the bend and then ran on strongly. With a clear run I think he would've hosed up, but that's all ifs and buts.

I do think he will turn up in this race tomorrow, as the trainer loves to race the same horse on multiple of occasions at the Galway Festival. He famously landed three wins in the same week at the Galway Festival on One Cool Poet back in 2019, so as long as this horse has returned okay from his race yesterday, I'm sure he'll be racing today.

Off a mark of 74 you'd have to say there's more to come, based on his last two efforts. He didn't go unbacked the time before yesterday, where he ran on strongly again but was narrowly denied at Ballinrobe. This drop back in trip might be a concern, but with the ground being soft and the stiff finish, that should counter the drop in trip, so his strong stamina at this trip will be seen to great effect.

Advised: Each Way

Ante-Post

Goodwood (Saturday – Lillie Langtry Stakes)

With the overnight rain, it has turned the ground to heavy, and with a little more rain forecast, it should keep the ground on the slow side. All of this will suit WONDERFUL TONIGHT, who is a monster on soft ground. She will be fit for this, as she was prepped for the King George, where she was NR due to the ground. This is easier, as it's just fillies, and she is a Group 1 winner, and is the class horse in the race.

She is priced up at 6/4 currently, but will go off shorter if the ground remains slow, which I think it will.

12:00 Newton Abbot - Race: 1
Distance: 2m 2f 110y
Type: Hurdle
Class: 5
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
8
Masterdream
8694-7

7
Gibraltarian
9-89315

3
Magical Thomas
8-26474

1
Dora's Field
47/7652-

5
New Zealander
5-55684

2
Arty Campbell
4330-87

10
Bullion
9/69395-

11
Lightning Blue
486-75

6
Ingenuity
80-9D66

12
Big Business
6-9505

14
Bullsempire
0P-P085

4
Snow Leopard
56-59P

9
Watchman
476-8F0

13
Control Me
F37/9PP-

12:10 Hamilton - Race: 1
Distance: 5f 7y
Type: Flat
Class: 4
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
8
Masterdream
8694-7

7
Gibraltarian
9-89315

3
Magical Thomas
8-26474

1
Dora's Field
47/7652-

5
New Zealander
5-55684

2
Arty Campbell
4330-87

10
Bullion
9/69395-

11
Lightning Blue
486-75

6
Ingenuity
80-9D66

12
Big Business
6-9505

14
Bullsempire
0P-P085

4
Snow Leopard
56-59P

9
Watchman
476-8F0

13
Control Me
F37/9PP-

12:20 Roscommon - Race: 1
Distance: 1m 7f 89y
Type: Hurdle
Class:
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
16
Trebizond
47-22

4
Boom Boom Boom
/638-33

14
The Goffer
3-

13
Stumptown
2-

2
Andys Flame
14

15
The Waltzer

8
Figurehead
/-83943

9
Heronord
06525

18
Some Dove

6
Custers Mistake
-F84

11
King Lenox
/-38

3
Boola Boola
59-04

7
Darkest Hour
/-57

17
Walnut Beach
-

19
Banada Bridge
P6

1
Aghinagh
8

5
Calcite
-

21
Gregory's Gift
-0

10
High Five Milan
09

12
Run Like Fada

20
Saved By The River
0970

45 Comments
  1. Luke M 2 months ago

    Well done EW Thief yesterday. 33-1 winner landed then I had to start work with 3 runners on my lucky 31 left to run (all your selections.) Two more placed and very almost won. Plus the other one was a neck or two away from placing! Great work. Thank you. Made a tough shift so exciting!

    6
    • ew thief 2 months ago

      Cheers Luke 👍

      2
  2. postman 2 months ago

    Quality tipping once again by EW Thief 👍 Always worth following.

    5
    • ew thief 2 months ago

      Cheers postman 👍

      2
  3. postman 2 months ago

    2:25 Goodwood – Berkshire Shadow ***NAP*** 9/4
    4:45 Goodwood Harb **NB** 2/1
    6:35 Worcester – Perci Pi *each way punt* 14/1

    2
  4. recoba 2 months ago

    Creative Force..3.00 for me tomorrow at 3/1(****)
    Love Space Blues but he’s going backwards and was very impressed with CF.

    GL

    • recoba 2 months ago

      Yankee and the above mentioned single…

      Berkshire Road…2.25. 2/1
      Creative Force…3.00. 3/1
      Scattering…4.45
      Never Dies..2.00(🇫🇷). EVS.

      GL all

    • recoba 2 months ago

      *Berkshire Shadow

      1
    • edgeman 2 months ago

      Paddy power doing money back as a free bet on all losing bets on the 2.25 Goodwood. 10max. Basically a hit to nothing.

    • recoba 2 months ago

      Got Mansion bets free £5 bet on it mate and I’ve not used PP in ages but cheers an here’s hoping.

      Good start to my Yankee. Nice horse that in France with M.Barzalona winning easily under hands n heels as they say.

  5. ew thief 2 months ago

    Morning all well done winners yesterday
    Major snugfit 1.30b 11-2
    Cockalorum 1.50g 12-1
    Dick datchery 2.40b 33-1
    Real appeal 3.00g 14-1
    Nayef road 3.35g 33-1
    Blue de vega 4.10g 14-1
    Monets sunrise 4.45g 10-1
    Ew singles & ew super hienz ☘️☘️Gl all

    3
    • butterbean 2 months ago

      Nicely in with major snugfit and cocalorum place. Had both marked down as well. Gl with rest!

  6. Baggy6870 2 months ago

    BERKSHIRE SHADOW 14.25 5/4 NAP
    SPANISH MISSION 15.35 7/1 NB
    BERKSHIRE SHADOW has got to be the banker of the day, now LUSAIL is a Non Runner..

    1
    • recoba 2 months ago

      Hope so Baggy and looking at his last run any improvement will see him win I think.

      GL

    • Baggy6870 2 months ago

      Not to be recoba, I know others will probably disagree. But I thought it was a bad ride from Oisin, or should I say ” not one of his best”.. 🤔

  7. Sore point 2 months ago

    Yarmouth 1.10 HI HO SILVER 8/1 each way

    Good luck everyone

  8. Rizzel Tips 2 months ago

    I’ve added an Ante-post selection this morning, due to the heavy overnight rain which has made the ground Heavy. There is further rain expected to fall, which should keep it on the slow side, and will suit the selection.

    I understand Ante-post is risky, and some people aren’t really into it. But, if done correctly, you can get some good value.

    3
    • recoba 2 months ago

      I would put Audraya in with Wonderful Tonight for the Naussa Stakes.
      See how today goes first but Rizzle.

      GL

    • Thebigflu 2 months ago

      Took your 4 in yanke rizz 1pound pays 130back now that wholud be nice .Thanks for the tips

  9. Thebigflu 2 months ago

    All beverley ._golden sands,, le beau garcon,,, ava go joe,,,crown princess,,lagholm

  10. Thebigflu 2 months ago

    Klopp of the kop,,,power of beauty,,, summers night,,,,,villanelle,,harlequin rose,,ALL Yarmouth

  11. Thebigflu 2 months ago

    Island mahee,,, onthefrontfoot,,,ailie rose,,,,,amalfi doug,,,,,putting green,,,,pardon me,,,,all PERTH

  12. Thebigflu 2 months ago

    Ill pick a bet outta them and use yous guys tips at goodwood i think..Bit hard this goodwood GL ALl

  13. theplug 2 months ago

    8-15 Galway Crowns Major 4/1

    1
    • theplug 2 months ago

      6-55 Perth Dakota Beat 2/1

      1
  14. butterbean 2 months ago

    2.40 Ava go Joe 9/4

    3..00 Creative Force 7/4

    3.50 Harvest Day EW 7/1

    4.10 El astronaute ew 8/1

    6.15 Njord 4/1

    BEst of luck to all.

    • McCririckss Ear Piece 2 months ago

      Gl in the 3.00 …. ;)

      1
  15. recoba 2 months ago

    F’off Berkshire Shadow!
    Best horse lost 😞

    1
    • butterbean 2 months ago

      got going far too late!

    • recoba 2 months ago

      Yip an even start it would have won and Creative Force can f’off as well! 🙄🤣👎

  16. McCririckss Ear Piece 2 months ago

    3.00 Space Blues NAP/NB

    • McCririckss Ear Piece 2 months ago

      What’s gone on here?

      My post was:

      3.00 Space Blues NAP/NB

  17. busstop.2018 2 months ago

    Evening All .Big fill the bookies satchels meeting this week my only advice would be enjoy the racing but avoid betting there.

    Not that its easy at the jumps meets tonight but least you have a chance.

    WORCESTER

    18.05. .Elios D,or.. .11/10

    19.05. .Tayzar. .16/1. .E/W

    20.35. . Dorking Rogue. .11/2 . .E/W

    PERTH

    19.25. .Amalfi Doug. .7/2

    19.55. .Pammi. .7/2

    20.25. .Pardon Me. .7/2

    GL ALL

  18. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    urban violet 5.20

  19. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Nebulosa 5-20 Goodwood 11-4 🏇

  20. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Ailie rose 6-55 Perth
    7-2 win
    11-8 top 2 finish
    Evens without Mr Jackman and Dakota beat.
    ————————————-
    Juge et parti 7-25 Perth.
    5-1 ew
    2-1 without Amalfi Doug and get out the gate
    ————————————–
    Pammi 7-55 Perth.
    7-2.
    11-8 top 2 place.
    ————————————–
    Printing dollars 8-25 Perth
    2-1 without pardon me.
    ———————————–
    Timetoroe 8-55 Perth.
    8-1 ew
    6-4 top 3 place
    ————————————

  21. D man 2 months ago

    Didnt cash out lastnight let it run. Goes 1/7 in the run in and gets caught.. mother f

    • edgeman 2 months ago

      Bad luck Dman. I was wondering if you’d cashed out or not. I tend to never cash out either, because almost every time I do, the next one wins. If only we had hindsight!

    • D man 2 months ago

      Bloody nightmare bud honest to god

  22. recoba 2 months ago

    Pi$$ in UK today! 👎

    Trixie for the US of A and a single.

    Philadelphia-R2….Captain Fofo. 10/3
    Finger Lakes-R7..Whispering Rose. 10/3
    Thistledown-R5…Trueamericanbeauty 7/4(****)

    GL 🇺🇸🐎

  23. recoba 2 months ago

    Sorry that should be WHISPERING ROSE as the single

  24. D man 2 months ago

    Printing dollars 8.25 gliyf

    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Data, what is gliyf ?
      I’m not up to speed with with this phone speak lark 🙃

  25. D man 2 months ago

    Good luck if you follow🤣

    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      👍🏇😆

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