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Kimifive ran a decent enough race at Epsom yesterday. It was a little strange as he appeared to be off balanced when making his challenge up the rail. The fact that happened when he's ran well on similar tracks and ran well at Epsom before, was a little odd. Today I've gone for an EW priced horse at Bath who could outrun her odds.
Bath 3:40
A horse who should be better than her current mark of 77 in the future is ROYAL EVENT. She's only raced four times to date in her short career, and though she hasn't shown the same level of ability as some of her siblings, she has shown enough to warrant respect off her current handicap mark.
This daughter of Golden Horn is a half-sister to Group 1 winner, King Of Change, and 10 times winner Century Dream, who is also a Group winner and has been rated as high as 117. Unlike her siblings, there is a high possibility that Royal Even will be better over a longer distance, which is why I think she could improve for today's trip of 11.5F. Royal Event is by Golden Horn, which should mean she'll relish this step up in trip, like most of his progeny do, especially on quick ground. Both the Dam and Sire of Royal Event had their best form on a quick surface, so you'd expect her to appreciate today's conditions, despite the fact her siblings appreciate a slower surface.
Her four runs to date has been a mixture of promise and disappointment. Her seasonal reappearance at this track was a good run, when her odds of 22/1 suggested that she had no chance she ran better than those odds and stayed on well over the 1m trip. The form of that race has actually worked out quite well with the 2nd and 3rd winning since. Her next run at Newmarket was also another good run, only being beat by an impressive filly from the William Haggas stable which produced an RPR of 100. As for her final run, it was too bad to be true, and I'm willing to look past that run, as runs like that can happen to fillies where it's hard to explain, as they often run when being in season, without the trainer knowing.
This is a decent enough race for the grade, with a couple of unexposed horses who will be fancied in the market. My initial feeling is that Royal Event will be overlooked in the market, and will offer good EW value.
FAO SORE POINT
With reference to your dig at me on Tuesdays thread below.
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#elvis where did these prices come from the horse was 28/1 SP yet you say 100/1 and 33/1 for an extra place ??.
NO Point putting prices up that are not generally available to everyone .And that is 4 losing bets on one horse
dosent add up to me#
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those prices I posted on that horse at hexham where with bet365, that’s where ew extra lives.
I don’t comment on your bets winners or losers so I don’t expect any in return.
You have made a few veiled snide comments recently which one poster (bigflu) I think he was called) got quite upset about and the others, one about betting for the sake of it aimed at me again, I got the drift of but didn’t comment on because I don’t generally get involved with others posts unless I’m directly asked to comment.
That donk was my pick, my loser, no one else’s.
No one should feel accountable or have their integrity questioned for any picks they put up, they are personal picks being shared on an open forum.
I posted it about 45 minutes before the off, that was your chance to call me a liar, which you basically did, not 2 hours or so after the race had finished.
I guess I’ve fallen into your trap of looking for a response, and the fact I have responded means I’ve been hooked 🙈
I get the feeling you are more upset about not being lauded for your 9-1 winner, I guess if anyone followed it I would hope they would post their thanks.
That’s all from me on the subject.
Sorry for banging on but that sort of thing does my baldy head in 🏇
Well am back whats going on peoples, hope your all well and dont have the bigflu.,, haven,t done a bet in a week so going try a few yankes not much on 30ps E,w ._theres a few mad races today 3horse races am staying away from them. My first yanke is going to be beholding 1’30 lingfield,,,duc de bourbon 2’20 uttoxeter,,, mews house17’20 hamiltion,,two door saloon 2’40 bath ,GL with your lovely bets
CAME ON PUT MY TIPS UP AND GET THIS
elvis really dont understand this .All I asked was where you got your prices from which bookies . Surely if you put tips up on here basically advising people to look at them even bet them they need to know which bookies give those prices and ask you what you have based your tips on nothing do with accoutability or integrity as you mention just a straight question about your tips surely its what this site is about.Never called you a liar as anyone can see and read.
as for bigflu yeah not seen him on here for a long time and all that was he put over 30 tips up on one day which comes to over 200 in a week so said cant believe you would have that many tips in a day again always remember this is a tipping site and people could be putting money on these tips.So dont know how you can call that snide from me again asked a straight question.
like you say this is an open forum so if you put tips and prices up why shouldnt people ask you where you got your price why you tipped the horse in the first place thats what the thread is for.
Lets move on but its a tipping site and people will follow so questions about any tips to me are sensible.
good luck
LOL just noticed BIGFLU suddenly back after ages. now thats a coincedence .
Bigflu good luck
Can’t wait for the jumps season to get in full swing and you start banging the naps in once again 👍
Well said Elvis, sore point stop your crying you will have a sore hole when I put my boot up it
Just checked the itv7 racing mini league and cathys winning with 238 winners to my 194 ,well done who ever you are ,you sure no your stuff ,,, the code for the mini league is 4BTD63 if yous wanna join feel free it is just for a laugh , am getting my ass wooped lol so join and try and win that free 1’000 pound
See the sea 2-50 uttoxeter
2-1 @ BET VICTOR.
bit of a summer horse, 4 wins over sticks, 1 in June and 3 in August, ok it’s September today but only just.
Done on the line last time giving the winner 18 pounds with Hughes on.
10 pound claimer on today Drops him into contention.
Sid hoodie is a danger as he won this in 2019 but is up 6 pound after his recent win.
See the sea normally likes to lead so if he is headed turning for home that will be another bet slip heading for the recycle bin.
I had a look there bud looks good am taking it nice spot , gonna have a shot at the first 4 races ,22p yanke bet pays 20’1 with paddy p,,,ocean wave1’00,,,clay rogers 1’15,,white walker1’50” yagan 2’00 ,,if it comes in ill have play with money for the day if not well its only 44p
Sophie leach got 2 former English trained nags out at auteil.
12-50 Garo de juilley 12-1 ew
16-20 henryville 28-1 ew.
Both @ BET365.
Garo de juilley ran halfway down the field in the coral cup at the cheltenham festival in march and has some decent graded form in the past in england, had a run out in June in a listed race finishing 9 length 9th to the ‘re opposing futbolisto.
Today he gets a 9 pound swing but is still carrying top weight but is maybe an ew shout with reveley on, who is a top jock in the land of the snail eaters.
See what ew extra offers if at all later as it pays only 3 places ew on sp.
Henryville is an old dog now who only turns up once in a blue moon, placed in 2 of 3 runs here in the last year, and even won a race last December.
Again Will see if ew extra have more places later today, if not it will be just be 50p ew for old times sake as the old dog is now 13, which is older than me in horsey years.
Garo 12-1 ew extra 6 places now.
20-1 sp
Garo de juilley came 3rd, took the 12-1 ew last night and not the 20-1 earlier, should have waited but that’s the gamble 🏇
Terrible racing again for the 3rd day running. Well done if you managed to pick a winner yesterday out of that rubbish.
I’m going with these today, very optimistic but you know me! 😁
Alioski @ 100/1 Worc 7.05
Gavin @ 66/1 Worc 6.35
Clatter Bang @ 33/1 Gowran 3.05
Champagne highlife @45/1 Bath 4.10
Akhlaaq @ 22/1 Gowran 3.35
GL with all your bets today
Akhlaaq is a NR so gonna throw in stellar Spirit @ 35s in the same race
Yeah sore took wee break man , yes dazz diffo brain hughes and harry skelton was a great battle between them last year,,bookies have hughes at,1’2 fav to be best jump jockey and skelton is 5’2 and sam twistom davies at 12s .Hes good at 2miles and over ,,,,as for todays flat oisin murphy is well ahead dont think w,buick can catch him ,,there both at lingfield today ,,well be another good battle i think
bigflu yeah bookies dont give anything away with them prices although I think the jockeys work in different ways some prefer to look for the quality races some for the amount of winners so travel more .
Good luck today
1:50 uttoxeter- kendulu – 10/1 e/w
6:05 Worcester imperial knight – 3/1
2:35 Gowran park – Alice Milligan 7/1 win
Yeah I was going to back Colin Keane through the card but three of his rides are too short-priced. That is the one at decent odds.
Sweet dazz ill take a look think am going to be with C.Keane at that meeting today he looks good on 3 and sam t davies at worcester later on ,he allso looks good on 3
Or not 😂
Bath 2.40
two door saloon 10/3
heard the wonders are quietly confident bout this horse think she will run off higher mark than 65 couple of debut winners last week so worth a look
Well said Elvis, sore point stop your crying you will have a sore hole when I put my boot up it
mot me doing the crying if you actually read the comments .Just asking a question about prices and elvis got upset.
After a nice 9/1 yesterday couple of decent prices Each way today for me
Uttoxeter 1.50 GERBOISE BORGET 18/1 bet365
Uttoxeter 3.50 SCARTARE 14/1 bet VICTOR
good luck everyone
Nice one on your 9’1 shot never even seen it but gl today ,hope someone wins a few pennys
Diffo luke m,if your on paddy powers have a look at the jockey specials some good ones mate 15’2 for murphy and keane to ride two winners or murphy to ride 3 is 10’1 not bad ,but 3 is a bit much ill go with 2
And weres are legend recoba , there tips are hot property
coral 2.20
3:35 Gowran Park – Court Of Appeal *each way punt*
Hope by posting it late that it was only me who lost money on that one, sorry, I will just get my coat.
peppermint Bay 4.05 ew flat runner for mullins rare as rocking horse shit must be worth a punt on it
Evening All .
WORCESTER
18.05. .Goa Lil. .7/4
18.35. .Corporal Jones. .5/4
19.05. .Dont Stop Now. .7/1 . E/W
19.35. .Blue Sans. .11/4
GL ALL