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Fair to say it's been a good couple of days in the thread for me, with back to back days of landing 2/2 selections. Once again, hopefully some of you got on yesterday's double as that returned around 11.5/1 after the rule 4's. Finger's crossed on another good day, it'll be hard, but definitely possible.

Punchestown 6:00

Though it might not seem a risk on backing STATE MAN as he was impressive at the Cheltenham Festival, I do think it is still a risk backing him in a Grade 1, but what I will say is that he's clearly a Graded level horse, and I'm willing to put my money on the line to find out whether he's Grade 1 level or not.

There were whispers around the Festival that State Man was a certainty in whatever race he turned up in, and they weren't wrong. The way he travelled through his County Hurdle win was very impressive. He was positioned quite wide, but that didn't cause any problems as all Paul had to do was keep him out of trouble and he would win, and that's what he did. The form of that race hasn't worked out at all with the horses in behind not running well since, but that doesn't really bother me as he won that race with ease and was clearly well ahead of the handicapper of his mark of 141. The trip is an unknown, but he stayed up the hill at Cheltenham well enough to suggest that a step up in distance will be within reach. Punchestown isn't as much of a stamina test at Cheltenham, so his speed will come into play in this and you better believe he'll be on the bridle turning for home.

I think Three Stripe Life is a very good yardstick, he's been racing in good company for most of the season and has seen the backside of Sir Gerhard for the most of it. He eventually got his day in the sun last time out at Aintree where he got his deserved Grade 1, but it was a fairly weak race in the grand scheme of things, and the fact a 135 rated horse finished runner-up would suggest that. He's had a long campaign, so might struggle to be 100% for this race, and even though he is priced up at decent odds, I think State Man will have the measure of him. Flame Bearer is an interesting runner, and a horse who will be strongly supported on the day (I think), as he hails from a smaller yard and looks progressive. It would be a lovely story if this horse was to win for P M J Doyle, and I do rate him being the main danger, as the form of his Naas Grade 2 win now looks a little better as the 2nd ran a belter to finish 3rd behind The Nice Guy over 3m a couple of days ago at odds of 33/1.

Punchestown 6:35

Billaway has always appeared to be a horse who is a strong stayer, and these days it seems that 3m is on the border of being too short. He only just about won at the Cheltenham festival, doing it in the dying stages and that was over 3m 2.5F, so for that reason I think he is worth taking on. I'm not going to lie, I was expecting slightly better odds on VAUCELET, but despite the fact I think he is shorter than ideal I think he does have the beating of the Mullins horse.

D M Christie, the trainer of Vaucelet has been in good form this year, especially with similar types like this horse. One of his horses ran Billaway to the limits at Cheltenham, so he knows what kinds of horse is required to potentially get the upper hand on him. He is a good trainer with the small amount of horses he has, and I believe this lightly raced 7yo has plenty more improvement to come. He is 2/3 in PTPs and 4/5 in Chases, winning his last race by 20L. He appears to be better suited to a quicker going, where he has done most of his winning. He finished behind Dorking Cock in December, but that was over a shorter trip and on soft ground, so I'd expect a different outcome with today's conditions looking in favour of our selection.

Newmarket 4:45

A horse I tipped up last time, and I was confident of him winning but he didn't was, CAROLUS MAGNUS. He tried to make all at Newmarket a couple of weeks ago, but didn't quite last the race out, looking like a horse who would come on plenty from his reappearing run. With that run under his belt I think he could be tough to beat in this contest. His mark has been unchanged, but gets the talented 7lb claimer, Harry Davies, doing the steering. The ground and trip is fine, and he is effectively lower than his last winning mark when you consider the rider's claim, so it would be disappointing if he wasn't winning this.

Goodwood 5:00

I tipped up DIAMOND CUTTER last year in a Class 2 York handicap, where he was running off a very low weight. He ran a pretty shocking race that day, but his odds of 66/1 suggested that was going to be the case. That run was off a mark of 76, and I thought he was more than capable of being better than that mark, so the fact he runs off 67 today makes him very appealing to me, even though he is yet to win a race and hasn't shown the best level of form in his starts to date. I'm a big fan of David Menuisier, what he does is impressive and I don't think he gets the credit and recognition that he deserves, when his horses are hot, they are red-hot and even though he has only had 2 wins in the last 14 days, I can see a good level of consistency and I think he'll get a few winners over the next few weeks. He is another who is shorter in the market than I was hoping for, but he has been nibbled in the market, which gives me a little more confidence that a big run is on the cards. This is a small bet, as he hasn't shown a great deal, but from bottom weight I think he could run a nice race.

16:40 Windsor - Race: 2
Distance: 6f 12y
Type: Flat
Class: 4
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
1
Captain Wierzba

3
Expert Agent

4
Optiva Star

6
Saracen Head

5
Paddy's Day

2
Erosion Risk

7
Uncle

16:50 Huntingdon - Race: 3
Distance: 2m 3f 137y
Type: Hurdle
Class: 4
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
1
Captain Wierzba

3
Expert Agent

4
Optiva Star

6
Saracen Head

5
Paddy's Day

2
Erosion Risk

7
Uncle

17:00 Roscommon - Race: 4
Distance: 1m 2f 13y
Type: Flat
Class:
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
12
Spasiba
3

2
Gatsby Grey
/-

11
Impero
023-

3
Hallowed Star
/4-2

9
A Mhacin
744

10
Gig Harbor

7
Pierre Precieuse
76-

8
Scarriff
09

1
Big Belief
50-

6
No Hassle
6-

4
Port Salalah
-

14
Heather Bear
8-0

13
Destivelle
00

15
Sierra Nevada
0-

5
Fascinating Secret
0-0

16
Chilled Out
0-

17
Raleigh Bridge
7

28 Comments
  1. dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

    1:40 Wolverhampton- silent queen 7/2

    2
    • dazzman1979 4 weeks ago

      4:25 good wood – wodeton 13/2

      2
    • dazzman1979 3 weeks ago

      Neck second ! 😡 Ryan Moore’s fault !

      1
  2. postman 4 weeks ago

    Great double Rizz.

    I had a bit of a roller coaster ride with mine, few winners, few lossers and a few non runners.

    1:00 Wolverhampton – Weloof ***NAP***
    4:00 Wolverhampton – Captain Kane **NB**

    I may have a double price each way punt at Punchestown, just seeing if it is actullay going to run first before I post it up.

    4
  3. a3780cd 3 weeks ago

    RIZZ

    5PM GOODWOOD NOT DONCASTER

    • Rizzel Tips 3 weeks ago

      Good spot. It’s been changed, thanks.

  4. ew thief 3 weeks ago

    Lord rapscallion 3.00n 11-1
    It was 3rd in the bunbury shine so bright 4th 5 x the price if ya go with paddy money back 2-3-4 right am off to bed fxxxxx night shift ☘️☘️Gl all

    3
  5. Luke M 3 weeks ago

    Well done all winners yesterday. Honeysuckle is that rare delight: an unbeaten horse. Surely there can be no value at 2/11 though? No horse is a guarantee. I saw a 1/66 horse get beaten at Lingfield once!

  6. double carpet 3 weeks ago

    Nothing much appealing at punch today with most races having short priced favs.
    Willie Mullins has won the 4.15 race in 5 of the last 6 years but I think current fav Fighter Allen is a pig of a horse. Every time I backed him in the past he duly got stuffed so I’m taking him on with French Dynamite who makes chase h’cap debut 6lbs lower than Hurdle rating and will relish conditions.
    Fighter Allen will probably scoot home now !!!

    BOL

    1
  7. azzthewigan 3 weeks ago

    lady nagin 1.15 ew

    • double carpet 3 weeks ago

      Cracking shout yesterday Azz btw 👏

      1
    • azzthewigan 3 weeks ago

      cheers dc

  8. postman 3 weeks ago

    4:15 Punchestown – El Barra *each way punt* 9/1 best price at BET365

    3
    • postman 3 weeks ago

      💰 El Barra 💰

      1
  9. azzthewigan 3 weeks ago

    well done all winners yesterday

  10. azzthewigan 3 weeks ago

    subastar 1.50

    1
  11. Sore point 3 weeks ago

    Newmarket 3.00 SHINE SO BRIGHT 10/3

    Goodwood 3.15 SILENCE PLEASE 3/1

    Good luck everyone

    7
    • Sore point 3 weeks ago

      Thats the way

      SHINE SO BRIGHT WINS pulling a train and 9/2 as well

      4
  12. azzthewigan 3 weeks ago

    rightplacerighttime 3.40 ew think I better stick to the jumps last bet today

  13. azzthewigan 3 weeks ago

    4.15 soz

  14. dazzman1979 3 weeks ago

    Superb Rizzel thank you very much ! 💰💰💰

    1
  15. dazzman1979 3 weeks ago

    Race 1 Tampa – Katy and Emma 6/5 nap

    2
  16. elvis parsley 3 weeks ago

    Stratagem 8-10 Cheltenham 7-2 🏇

    Well done winners, rizzle, sore point etc

    2
  17. Luke M 3 weeks ago

    How impressive was that from State Man? Ridden with such supreme confidence. He just swept up between the final two fences and annihilated the field. Thanks Rizzel.

    • elvis parsley 3 weeks ago

      Lucky Ryan Moore wasnt on Luke 😂😂

  18. ew thief 3 weeks ago

    Swiss connection lucky last 9-1☘️☘️

  19. postman 3 weeks ago

    Signing of the week with a 2nd 2nd & 9/1 winner

    Have a great weekend yall and good luck ☘️

    1
    • dazzman1979 3 weeks ago

      Well done 👍 I don’t blame you for not bothering the weekend

      1

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