Thommo Racing 01

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SPLINTER (1.35) looks a potential class apart from his rivals and is taken to justify favouritism at Newcastle on Thursday

Richard Fahey gave him his introduction at York and Splinter stayed on into fourth after missing a beat at the start through greenness. He wasn’t beaten far in a tight finish, finding himself a bit short of room through the final stages, and should take full advantage of the weight he receives from Brunch, a course winner for Michael Dods.

NATALEENA (5.40) does all her racing these days  at Newcastle and this dual course winner can rack up the hat-trick if Ben Haslam has her tuned up for this two-mile handicap. She had Zabeel Star just over a length behind when third and fifth respectively to Nearly There over course and distance in March. Zabeel Star often throws away his chance by starting very slowly from the stalls but will be a threat if breaking cleaner. Course winner Assessor is also worth consideration, despite his higher mark.

At Newmarket, John Gosden unleashes two newcomers with tall reputations, with Frankie Dettori taking the mount on EXISTENT (2.25) and SAEIQA (3.00). They carry plenty of stable confidence and my Newmarket contact further tells me the Gosden camp have backed Frankly Darling for the Oaks plus Derby hope Waldkonig.

PACTOLUS (6.30) is better known as an all-weather stalwart but he has decent form on the turf when the track is riding slick. In the hope there isn’t significant rainfall, Pactolus will carry my cash at rewarding each-way odds, with some firms offering four places.

Horse Racing Tips
Splinter
Newcastle - 1:35 pm

5-4 @ Ladbrokes

Nataleena
Newcastle - 5:40 pm

5-2 @ William Hill

Existent
Newmarket - 2:25 pm

5-2 @ Bet365

Saeiqa
Newmarket - 3:00 pm

7-2 @ PaddyPower

Pactolus
Newmarket - 6:30 pm

8-1 @ PaddyPower

35 Comments
  1. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 4 years ago

    Splinter looks a good thing to me,well done yesterday Alan and any others with winners.

    2x singles and a double for me and that’s it!

    Xarrio…11.10. 5/4(Clairefontaine).
    Splinter…1.35. 5/4.

    GL all

    • Avatar of Chuck Bass
      chuckbass 4 years ago

      The first horse easy as you like !! Well done ! Role on splinter

    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 4 years ago

      Very easy mate It looks a decent horse.
      2 horses with experience were well clear.

    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 4 years ago

      No…I read Alan’s right up above,then read the right up and information on Bet365 but mostly the fact it was a close up 4th in a class 3 last time out was the reason I thought it could win that class 5 race but hey it got beat.

    • Avatar of Luke Teal
      4 years ago

      you take note of what a bookies tell you?? they’re after nothing but your wonga mate, there right ups are not very accurate and often misleading.

      the 3 that beat it on debut havent raced since and those in behind have done nothing besides gigi’s beach winning off 58… 5/4 on its 2nd start relying on luck than judgement.. not for me.

    • Avatar of Elvis Parsley
      elvis parsley 4 years ago

      Recoba .
      You do know it’s database you are dealing with.
      Criticizing after the event gave the game away 👀👀.

      Just wish he would criticize before the race aye….

    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 4 years ago

      Cheers Elvis I’ve not been on for a while. He just going about telling folk how to bet n stuff?
      So those in behind have done nothing but 1 has went on to win? Shhhh…most haven’t ran you tool the racing only started back on Monday and by the way did Lagoon Falls in the US I tipped on Monday at 8/1 win? Me thinks it did.

    • Avatar of Luke Teal
      4 years ago

      dont like to p#ss on bonfires, just think its important to learn from mistakes and discuss stuff afterwards, not person, not arguments :D

    • Avatar of Luke Teal
      4 years ago

      all i said was, the 3 horses who beat splinter on debut havent run since, so it’s hard to gauge the horse. three he did beat have ran since, one shipped out to meydan and came 3rd, a 5th of 10 and a 58 rated winner in a class 6, when the horse was 5/4 i see nothing to enthuse over which i’m sure most agree with.

  2. Avatar of Luke Teal
    4 years ago

    17:20 Newmarket – GOLD AT MIGNIGHT 12/1 ew

    There is a lot of promise about MAGIC J 9/4, the trainer sent out a winner yesterday and has booked top jockey Oisin Murphy, he rode the horse on debut, winning on turf over 6f. The 2nd and 4th have both won Class 2 events since and rated in the mid/high 90s (SWINDLER runs tomorrow and MUBAKKER won 2 days ago). That is enough to take the9/4 for me, given a lot of his rivals can be dismissed. However at a very similar price, a top 3 finish for Hollie Doyle’s GOLD AT MIDNIGHT 12/1 may offer more value, a CD winner last July off 74, today he goes off 70 and 12/1 is very pleasing. Those looking for even more of a price should check out THE NIGHT WATCH 25/1, a CD winner for previous trainer this time last year, he is 4lbs above that but the race has produced lots of winners, albeit at a slightly lower level.

  3. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 4 years ago

    Will just be watching today.
    Could be an informative day with some potentially smart 2yr olds having their first runs with ascot being the target.

    If you’re having a bet BOL to you all

    • Avatar of Luke Teal
      4 years ago

      james tate has a couple out as does michael bell, both had winners since returning.

  4. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 4 years ago

    moujik 12.10

    • Avatar of Luke Teal
      4 years ago

      moujik was price boosted, never back a price boost in my experience, they are boosted for a reason and sky are usually a step or 3 ahead of punters, they dont often price boost a winner.

      worryingly Splinter is now subject to a boost, now 2/1 from 5/4, the only glimmer of hope is firms often back in a false fav to get mug guessers on board, so hopefully splinter can do the business but not looking too promising :(…

    • Avatar of Elvis Parsley
      elvis parsley 4 years ago

      Ventura lightning 3-55 Newcastle 16-1 ew 7 places bet365 ew extra.

  5. Avatar of Chuck Bass
    chuckbass 4 years ago

    Bit of a long shot
    2.10 Rosa Gold each way 40-1 has experience on a lot of the other horses and breeding isn’t bad at all, hopefully it may sneak into 3rd spot

  6. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 4 years ago

    bavardages 1.00 chatri 1.50 Drummond warrior 4.45 boy in the bar 5.20 all ew well done all winners yesterday

  7. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 4 years ago

    Hello database.

    Been a while, hope you kept yourself safe during the last couple of months.
    Some great racing this weekend, you seen anything of value ?.
    No jumps until July apparently so I’m a fish out of water with flat racing, these group races are a good watch though as they are all there to win and generally run to some sort of form 🌈

    • Avatar of Luke Teal
      4 years ago

      ty elvis, been fine cheers, hope everyone else has to.i don’t look beyond the next day so if i look i will post etc. still love a bit of after timing, hopefully can contribute some winners and keep my tongue tied, jerbourg 22/1 in the 320 is my bingo bet of the day, absolute no reasoning :D

    • Avatar of Luke Teal
      4 years ago

      22/1 into 10s and runs like it carried 3 stone too much ran on eventually :D

  8. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 4 years ago

    After being tuned right into US racing for the past few months I’ve got to take Star Cactus in the 3.35 at 11/2. A son of a fine horse Uncle Mo from the US which has sired plenty of good horses. Nowt major as it’s first race for all.

    • Avatar of Elvis Parsley
      elvis parsley 4 years ago

      Cactus ran a promising race, beat just under 2 lengths.
      Sure they will find a race for him sometime….

    • Avatar of Luke Teal
      4 years ago

      i was on give them the slip 33 straight to win at 20s, sickner the other 20/1 shot wins :D

    • Avatar of Elvis Parsley
      elvis parsley 4 years ago

      Ouch 🙈

  9. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 4 years ago

    Ok guys who wins the group 3 at 3-55 Newcastle.
    Also seems to be popular but only beat Ventura rebel a neck at ascot and has 4 pound more today.
    The favourite malotru is 2 from 2 on non turf races but failed in group 2s on turf,

    Aali looks better at 5 furlongs and talent wise looks the best horse but at 5, 6 furlongs an unknown, and this is riding slow today.
    Ventura rebel races like he need further !#

    Not a clue to be honest so stuck with Ventura lightning to finish top 7 at 16-1 ew extra as he has raced at 6 a few times and might last out better than some on slow ground today.

    • Avatar of Luke Teal
      4 years ago

      i reckon dubai station under ben curtis, worrying my selection, muir’s main man dwyer at track for him but doyle on :(

  10. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 4 years ago

    Aali not also 🙈

    • Avatar of Elvis Parsley
      elvis parsley 4 years ago

      Ventura lightning 5th so 1/5 odds ew at 16-1 means I get double my stake back.
      Think I will leave it at that as these races are proving hard to find winner wise unless you are a pro like money Thompson.

  11. Avatar of Shiver7
    Shiver7 4 years ago

    Database king of hindsight

  12. Avatar of Shiver7
    Shiver7 4 years ago

    Bro it says what time you posted your comment

  13. Avatar of Shiver7
    Shiver7 4 years ago

    Actually sorry it doesn’t matter. Shouldn’t of even said anything good luck to everyone. Thanks for the tips

    • Avatar of Luke Teal
      4 years ago

      in reply to elvis’ who won the 355?? that was clearly banter?? gl bro :D

  14. Avatar of Luke Teal
    4 years ago

    mentioned M L W Bell earlier, two places and a 33/1 4th, maybe late now but his 1630 horse rides in silks that just won the last race at newmarket, around 8/1 i f anyone fast enough to get on with 8 left to load

  15. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 4 years ago

    Commander han 5:20 Newmarket now 11/1 bet 365 may the force be with you !

  16. Avatar of Luke Teal
    4 years ago

    tin hat just came a neck 2nd, my selection is now 6-7/1 so the EW value has gone but another positive since we already beat it.

    channon horse seen lots of money but races over 1m and this is 6f.. so wouldnt touch it regardless of outcome.

    commander han never won a race since being rated, never finished better than 5th over 6f, BOL.

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