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Tomorrow's racing looks good to watch, but looks very tough to be punting on, so I'm only going to be putting up the one selection.
As for yesterday's runners, the bumper horse travelled through the race like he was going to play a big part in the finish, but ultimately it looked like he tired late on. He still looks a nice horse for the future, and one I will be keeping an eye on. As for the other selection, the slow pace which was set definitely didn't help his chances, resulting in a midfield finish.
Chepstow 2:10
A horse who has ran well before when fresh, and makes a return to racing with his trainer in flying form is, SOME CHAOS. This lad is now a 10yo, which means that he can compete in Veteran chases, like today. Despite being ten, he is still relatively lightly raced, with only 21 runs under his belt, which has seen him flourish as a chaser, winning five from eleven attempts.
His form appeared to take a dip towards the back end of the last season, but if you look into it more than just the bare numbers, it's not surprising. He is clearly not a good hurdler, which is shown by his record (0 wins from 8 attempts), so the two runs in March which saw him get beat by 28L & 35L isn't a great surprise. Those runs were clearly prep runs for the Scottish National, which he was eventually pulled up in, but you can definitely look past that run. That was his first ever attempt at that kind of trip (4m), with his closest attempt being over 3m 2f, which he won. I'm going to take a stab in the dark and say that he wasn't suited by that marathon trip, and it is a wise decision to send him back to a distance which he has had success over.
If you look at the form before his Scottish National attempt, and his prep runs over hurdles, it reads very well. He finished a good 3rd at this track last October, which saw him finish behind Secret Investor. Some Chaos saw his efforts rated as 144 by the Racing Post, which was 4lbs higher than his official rating at the time. The winner, saw his performance rated as 168, which was 15lbs higher than his rating. That horse then went on to win a Grade 2 at Newbury later on in the season, beating the likes of Clan Des Obeaux & Kalashnikov. Potterman, back in second when they met at Chepstow, also went on and won a Grade 3. The selection went on to win his next race in a Class 2, which produced a couple of subsequent winners. On his final start of 2020, he finished 5th in a Listed race, which has produced some winners and placed efforts.
The ground appears to be good, and there is no rain in sight (in every forecast I've checked), so Some Chaos should get his ground that he acts best on. He has also had a wind-op during the summer, which won't have done him any harm. Michael Scudamore has hit a good bit of form in the last 14 days, seeing him win 3 races from 10 runner, with an extra 3 placing.
Finally, the NH returns.
Not a betting prospect but looking forward to seeing how Knappers Hill goes in the first. Should be competing with the top novice hurdlers this season.
1.35 Threeunderthrufive 6/4
Owned by the sponsor of the race. 6th in the AB and should make a better chaser.
2.10 Am with Rizzel on Some Chaos and he’s summed it up pretty well.
2.45 Luttrell Lad 6/1 NB
Should improve stepping up in trip. 4yr olds have a poor record in this race so avoided Paso Doble based on that.
3.15 Hell Red 3/1 NAP
Nicholls has won this race 3 of the past 4 years and this is his only entry. That’ll do me.
BOL
Thats a good bet bud,this years jumps will be good,, just dont think H,skelton will be as good as last year, he was unreal last year ,, watch for H,cobden,,hes a good price for champion jockey,,and i see him getting 3 winners today,,also dazzman was good at picking jumps winners last year as he got me a few bets up ,,,
Good to see you posting DC. You have provided some excellent tips and insights over the years.
Cheers luke
Fingers crossed for today 🤞
Lovely start got the first
Hello 👋
It was nice to get back to winning ways so be it an even money shot. After a couple days of losing selections as a tipper the aims to always kill the streak and get back on track.
Well done if you stuck with me and got on that one.
Tomorrow’s card is again a pretty good spectacle.
I’ve decided to go for 3 selections.
Chindit – 3/1 – 3:00 Newmarket – NAP
The step back to 7f is surely a massive plus for Chindit and seems an obvious for connections after multiple failed runs over 1m so be it in tough fields. I’m not saying Chindit doesn’t see out a mile because he does but I think he’s more a 7f horse imo. I actually missed the celebration mile which was his last run and he was pretty unlucky over the mile after coming into trouble in running and being denied a clear run ( probably would of finished much closer ).
He’ll stay this trip better than most and has a blistering turn of foot and will be tough to beat if turning up. I thought 3s was a fair price but not a bad one at that.
My 2nd selection is
Good American – 2:25 – Newmarket – 7/2
Good American came in for some late market support on debut early last month after being backed from double figures into 11/2 and rewarded punters with a very impressive and winning debut.
She made the running that day and seen it strongly. Rob hornby rode that day ( another winner at big odds ) take note of that he tends to win on big odd runners. However Frankie rides today which is another massive plus.
She’s actually bred to go further and I can see Frankie using similar tactics of hornby and using the stamina in pedigree to try run the field into the ground.
My last selection is a larger each way selection that I think could outrun her odds.
Magical Lagoon each way 14/1 – 3:35 – Newmarket
The Gosden and Frankie combo run Inspiral but at 8/11 it’s far far too short and if Frankie wasn’t on the saddle you’d be seeing that around 2/1. I don’t actually think she’s beaten much to be priced so short and at 8/11 there’s not much value from a punters point of few. She’s taken to bolt up and only time will tell..
I’ll take a chance on Magical Lagoon and go for some place money. Mrs J Harrington and Foley is another combination not be reckoned with and I think she could out run her odds of 14s. She was a beaten favourite on her debut however took a huge step forward in a group 3 contest at the curragh when she finished very strongly to land that one. We all know how risky it is punting on 2 year olds but I’m sure there’s more to come from magical lagoon and I’m hoping she’ll again come on from that run as well.
Looking forward to seeing mankind run on Saturday, should be a cracker!
Good luck tomorrow!
Allmankind ??.
Apparently having a hurdle outing ahead of the old roan chase at aintree 🏇
If it’s that it’s the 1-50 Chepstow and 10 entered and allmankind is best price 2-1.
If he is there to win he is the best horse even over hurdles.
@Elvis
I’ll lump on at 2s if I can get on early enough. SP at present however I think he’ll be priced up around 15/8
Elvis
Personally wouldn’t touch Allmankind with stolen money.
Was well beaten on his first start last season over hurdles and has to give plenty of weight away to some race fit rivals.
I’m also not a fan of horses returning to hurdles from chases as it usually means its just a run out to get fit.
Class horse in the race by some way but too many question marks for me.
The market should be informative of its chances though.
GL
Good info DC , unfortunately I’m already on for half stake, will see how the market goes for the other half 👍.
When do the good Irish nags appear 🇮🇪 ?.
Normally start seeing some of Elliotts better ones at the Galway meeting towards the end of the month. Willie’s tend to come out later, although that wasn’t the case last year, probably down to the pandemic.
Think this could be one of the best seasons in a long time.
Pity Alan king couldn’t teach trueshan to hurdle 😁🏇, he would take some stopping
That and Stradivarius etc entered for the stayers race on champions day a week tomorrow.
Soft ground means the ‘shan’ wins again.
Cairnzy.
I’m on at 2-1 at William hills bud 🏇
Think it’s the only one offering odds right now.
Small Trixie
Remington R4…Howdy Pilgrim 2/1
R5…Ace Gilford. 3/1
Charles Town -R7…Amber Rose Adam. 7/2
GL n good night 😴
No sleep for the wicked!
Small stakes for interest as I’m up now…
Also tough to get info…
Remington- R6…Mover 3/1(**)
Wee double with Mysterious Take at EVS in R7 (* 1/2)
GL and onwards to tomorrow
Small Trixie was Knowwhersville but the above WON!! 🐎🇺🇸
Always with the small bets with the decent prices eh? 🤷🏽♂️
A good night n woke up to more profit.
Compiegne…2.55. Sundoro. 4/1(** tough race but go with Barzalona and Fabre to get it done buy his stablemate and more experienced types)
US of A(get the right Frickin combo if it kills me here,few more yards Trixie I’d up and main single lands but thats it in America!
Never think you’ve won bar a total romp,a lot of horses love to stalk and it’s great if you get it on the line but SO ‘frustrating’ I’ll say when it goes against.
Makes you want to roll a Biro or jump over a doll house in anger. 😉
Be a decent card tonight and better over the weekend stateside.
Onwards and GL all today! 🍀🐎
Newcastle 7.00 STAR SHIELD 9/1 couple of firms 8/1 with rest EACH WAY
Ridden by J Spencer last time pulled back leaving the stalls ridden far to late into a running on 3rd
Hoping its kept up with the pace today with Nolan on board.
Good luck everyone
1.00c FLASH KLASS 100/1
1.35c THREEUNDERTHRUFIVE 6/5
2.10c DANCING SHADOW 7/1
2.45c TILE TAPPER 20/1
2.05y JOSIES KID 16/1
2.40y RAMBUSO CREEK 6/1
3.15y HARTSWOOD 17/2
5.25y SHAWAAMEKH 14/1
Morning all well done winners yesterday
Mitbaahy 1.50n 8-1
Instinctive move 2.05y 8-1
Rishes baar 2.25n 11-1
Horoscope 3.00n 8-1
Kings knight 3.15y 12-1
Wild beauty 3.35n 17-2
State of bliss 4.10n 40-1
Ew singles & ew super hienz ☘️☘️Gl all
Betfair doing money back if your horse doesn’t place in the 13:50 at Newmarket, I’ve gone EW on Mitbaahy at 8/1.
PP doing money back as free bet if horse places 2nd 3rd or 4th in the 14.25 tae
Went Pearl Glory mate at 4/1.
Good luck 🤞
Afternoon All
CHEPSTOW
13.35. . Does He Know. .9/2
14.45. . Coeur Serein. . 8/1 . . . E/W
15.55. . Nina The Terrier. . 2/1
GL ALL
Great shout busstop.
Kim Bailey always worth following in Oct.
Threeunderthrufive very novicy
Thanks DC Nice to have first tip off the new season win
Yeah Threeunderthrufive will be worth following though
GL
CLONDAW RIGGER around 8/1 ew is worth a small bet, not going OTT as there are a few concerns but owners had nice winner with trainer yesterday, last race on the card.
Echo Chamber is my 12 stab in the 13:15.
Tough competitive card today at cheppy.
Just the one bet today on a horse that’s consistent but probably a bit high in the weights but trainer in reasonable shape.
Sir Ivan
11-8 top 4 finish. 🏇 .
10-1 ew 4 places.
Both SKYBET, only firm paying 4 places I think.
Think everyone on the thread has picked all the right horses today which I’m on as well but will add my own selection as well to hopefully add to the pot
Chepstow-4:25 – powerful position – 8/1
Best of luck here’s hoping for a good day and months ahead 👍
Am with ya dazzer ,theres one out today called dazzling daren, i think at ireland have a look
Tracker…
Santa Anita -R5…Basilia. 11/2 (*** this looks a slightly easier race and can get back to winning ways,comes late with good turn of foot in straight)
Gulfstream- R8…Mr Luigi 2/1
Be back with another 1 or 3 but single on Basilia which you could EW??
BOOOOOOOM.
DOES HE KNOW, looked a dream, held on to strongly all the way, i hope some were on in play, it was obvious very, very early.
Pmsl you tipped against does he know 🤦♂️🤦♂️🤦♂️
Well done busstop who tipped it before the race 👍
Tiptop You tipped THREEUNDERTHROUGHFIVE in the race ??
Lol
NAP Chindit 10/30 Newmarket 3-00
NB Hell Red 9/4
Fame and Acclaim 6/1 York
NEWMARKET 14.25
PEARL GLORY.. 7/2 NAP
☀️ ☀️ ☀️ ☀️ ☀️
SKYBET…… Good Luck…… 🤞
Just the one from me today, love William Buick. Brilliant jockey, and the step up to 7f should bring out more improvement.. 👌
Nice one rizz got it at 6s
Well done Rizzle, another great call!
Sizzle Rizzle 🔥
Well done Rizzel easy winner
GL
RamhJan 3.50
Well done Rizzel tips, Some Chaos.Was doubting u a bit because of long odds. By the way anyone interested tomorrow.
🇺🇸 Joe Hirsch Turf Classic – Japan 5/2
Last time out Japan got caught up in traffic. By the time he got clear the favorite in this race Gufo had run away with it. This time Japan should be streetwise . He is the best horse in the line up.
Vosburgh Stakes
Firenze Fire 9/4
The only group 1 horse in this race
Sir Ivan 4th pays out on both bets 😁.
Was in same race as some chaos and well done again rizzles….
And other contributors today, place is buzzin innit 🏇
Diffo Elvis you can feel it watching tv racing great all weekend
Great first day of the new season two winners from my three 9/2 and 2/1
good luck if youve any to come
Wd buss
Well done.
You been to the Dee recently ?.
Driving home from my week away in Stratford later ☹️.
I’m off next week too, thinking of going Hereford Monday or uttoxeter on Friday I think, that’ll be it until January then, non stop up to Xmas with f**king parcels and not much time to look at racing form.
Will be sponging tips from here until the king George on boxing Day in the main.
Keep em coming aye 🏇
Thanks Guys Good start to the season but we all know following jump racing everyday is different
Elvis The next meeting is the 26th were all booked in .Nice course Stratford hope you enjoyed and profited.
GL
Yes Elvis ill do a run over of that meeting let you no my thinkings
No doh back in 2.25 there was something up with Pearl Glory surely!!?? No better In France.
🇺🇸🐎
Back to the US of A…
Santa Anita-R5… Basilia 11/2
It SHOULD be ** bet not 3 less your going EW.. 3*s looks good but single only less you feel brave as it’s a tough race but he’s on upgrade)
Yankee or whatever you decide along with another single but most look good so after ZERO thought(😉)…
Gulfstream-R5… Mr Luigi 2/1
Santa Anita -R6…Sauls Call6/4
Belmont -R5…Saratoga Chrome. 7/4(*****)
Woodbine-R7….Ironstone . 4/5(really should romp it but not good for single purposes less yer feeling brave ounce rest are donkeys? 😉)
Ah Frick!
I missed this on my tracker !!?? 😡🤷🏽♂️
Early bet call it….
Kneeland R3…Family Man 11/8 (*****. Tracker says ‘impressive for me last 2 runs winning well with definitely more to come)
Tyler G on board now which is another positive
Information says he has a few these in behind including close 2nd n 3rd favourites.
GL yoll have a gay old day now! 🇺🇸🐎
Ah!!
Should have left in my tracker!!
Sorry anyone on that was disappointing
Brilliant Rizz
On fire
Well done
Fairyhouse 5-22 Imperial Lord 33/1 ew
Fairyhouse 3-40 Saga Aravis 9/1 ew
Basilia 3rd at Santa Anita(***) but good drift out to 10/1 from 11/2 so half decent return.
Onwards with the Yankee. So pi$$ed at the jockey on Saratoga Chrome for single and 1st up in the Yankee as he sat to far back,the horse was finishing like a freight train but ran out of track
Mr Luigi won well…Mon the others!! 🇺🇸🤞🐎
GL and well done the winners. Few today 👍
Hi recons, Thanks for Mr Luigi tip, unlucky with Basilia as late non-runner meant only paid out on 1st 2 home. I enjoy following your USA tips, thx
Predictive text! recoba, sorry