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Knight was touched off at Sandown by Chindit who has beaten yet another of my fancies over the last couple of weeks. Both of the front two travelled the best into the race and Chindit put in a much better performance than I was expecting on soft ground which hasn't been his ideal surface in the past.

Ayr 3:00 – Auld Toon Loon 13/2 (1pt EW Bet365)

Ayr is going to be very wet on Thursday for the start of the Gold Cup meeting, and that will mean the ground will be soft and very testing. The horse I think will relish those conditions is Auld Toon Loon.

David O'Meara's lightly raced 4yo has been progressive this year, especially on soft ground. He has won on good ground, but that was off a much lower mark, so I think his class pulled him through that day, there's no doubt that he is best on a testing surface, which he will get today up at Ayr. He was poor last time out, and I'm sure plenty of punters would've expected much better after his 2nd at Haydock the time before, but it was on good ground last time out and it was on heavy the time before at Haydock.

I think this race will be run to suit for Auld Toon Loon. You have quite a few horses in this race who likes to push the pace or be prominent, so this won't be a slowly run race. The likely scenario of a decent run race on testing ground is what brings Auld Toon Loon into this, he stays further, so the drop back to 10f isn't a concern as it will be stamina testing and knowing he handles conditions better than any horse in the race and he stays well, I think he has a cracking chance of winning.

Pontefract 3:45 – Unequal Love 2/1 (1pt Bet365)

I don't think this Class 2 Fillies race is all that strong, and the one which instantly stood out was Unequal Love.

She was showing big signs of progression before running a bad race at York, which was too bad to be true. She either found the ground too quick for her at York, or something was amiss, as the 5lb rise in the weights she had for winning in good style at Haydock is highly unlikely to be the issue. The form of the Haydock race has worked out nicely, and it's hardly a surprise because the Ralph Beckett horse looked very good in her previous runs, especially at Catterick on slow ground, and she went to Germany and won a Listed race, producing an RPR in the low 100s.

Unequal Love has proven herself on soft ground when winning at Ripon, the form isn't anything to shout and rave about, but she won it quite nicely in the end, Adam Farragher had to keep her concentration, but she was hardly asked for an effort to win. She also looked like she might need further, with her best part of the race coming in the final furlong, so it wasn't a surprise to see her win nicely at Haydock over 7f. Her added stamina will be a bonus in this race if the ground gets very testing, as it's already a stiff uphill track and when you combine that with soft ground, you're going to need a strong stayer at the trip.

Yarmouth 3:55 – Kuwait City 11/1 (0.5pt EW)

Soft ground isn't going to suit many in this race, with arguably only three are going to be able to handle the conditions well. Tolstoy liked soft ground at the start of his racing career, but he is very hit and miss and you're a braver man than me if you're backing him away from Brighton at the moment. Hydration has recently won on soft ground, but I don't rate his form at all, which leaves me with Kuwait City, who is a previous selection for Mr Fix It's thread, and I put him up at the start of this season when he was running at Goodwood on soft ground, and he let me down. However, he then went on to win the next time at York at odds of 28/1 on fast ground.

Though he ran poorly when I previously stuck him up on heavy ground, I think he is worth another chance on testing ground. He seemed to relish it as a juvenile, winning on his second start on soft ground at Yarmouth but over 5f. He has run some good races in defeat this year and I think that it's time to step him up to 6f as over 5f he is often held up and does his best running late into the race. Yarmouth isn't a demanding track, so it's not going to put a huge emphasis on the added stamina required and off a dangerous handicap mark of 79, which was his last winning mark I think he has all the tools to go very well.

Horse Racing Tips
Auld Toon Loon
Ayr - 3:00 pm

13/2 @ Bet365

Unequal Love
Pontefract - 3:45 pm

2/1 @ Bet365

Kuwait City
Yarmouth - 3:55 pm

11/1 @ Bet365

24 Comments
  1. dazzman1979 7 months ago

    2:00 – pontefract- Derwent boy 8/1 e/w

    3:10 – pontefract- benadalid 11/1 e/w

    4
    • recoba 7 months ago

      🇺🇸
      Superb night ‘Stateside’ but wrong pick from 2K so the usual gambler…Always wanting more!” 😉
      Flip flopped between 2 and the other pick won only for next 4 to win but 4/5 in a Canadian is always nice and singles plus few trebles.
      Wee ‘Bruce’s Bonus’ at Belterra with 3/4 on that experimental Yankee

      Be dead and buried before most of these go off but try keep it rollin..

      Penn National -R2..Court And Spark 5/2 ***+
      R3…Coffee With Alex 2/1
      R4…Yes Sir Robert 11/4 ***+
      Mountaineer -R2..Hurry Ip Chic 7/4
      R3..Magnificent Maddy 5/2

      Worse I see ATR dude Paul Q tipped up the one at Churchill R6(?) I couldn’t decide on of 2 but as some say down our way with hindsight
      “Well it f@#kin done now!”

      Well done winners yesterday

      1
  2. dazzman1979 7 months ago

    Never gamble ! Unless you want to test how much misery you can handle ! 😂⚰️

    5
  3. azzthewigan 7 months ago

    moonfight 10.50 France well done all winners yesterday

    2
  4. azzthewigan 7 months ago

    kaleocreek 11.20 France

    2
  5. azzthewigan 7 months ago

    fakarava 11.50 France nap

    3
  6. azzthewigan 7 months ago

    short final 12.25 France nb

    2
  7. azzthewigan 7 months ago

    inspiring speeches 1.20 ew

    2
  8. azzthewigan 7 months ago

    sportingsilermine 1.40 ew gentle Ellen 2.00

    3
  9. Groundsman 7 months ago

    5.30 Pont. Garden Oasis – 22/1 e/w (4 places, Corals)

  10. ew thief 7 months ago

    Round the island 2.00 9-1☘️☘️gl all

    2
  11. ew thief 7 months ago

    Round the island 2.00 9-1

    1
  12. robyn 7 months ago

    225 ayr – honour your dreams 10/1 ew 6 places

    bonkers race to try tip in, quick glance most seem well hcapped. id look for the easterby runners as alternates. TRIPLE JAYE won this last year off 6/7 higher and is 12/1… REFUGE not appealing on paper but connections did well for us yday.

    • robyn 7 months ago

      215 lis. – starting monday 5/1 ew

      literally only chancing as connections give me winner yday, horse well hcapped though and if utilising a bankroll is worth a bet albeit money back only if it manages to place, which could be hard enough against plenty of handy rivals.

      3
    • robyn 7 months ago

      1520 yar – jimmy speaking 12/1 ew 4 places

      fully expect no return in a race with some big names but happy to take chance. 100pt bankroll bet chancing 1% is risk free aka not one to stick 20 e/w on and be mad if it dont finish.

      3
  13. recoba 7 months ago

    Excellent Rizzle and nice drift price of 11/4 o caught on Enequal Love 👍

    🇺🇸
    Tougher but good stuff tonight and Francisco Clemente be very familiar to pick for most after good Stakes runs in UK. Now with Chad Browm and Flavian Prat on board what can go wrong!

    🇺🇸 🍁

    Belmont At The Big A’ -R7…Francisco Clemente 7/4 ****+ Paddy Power
    R8…Miriachi. 6/1 ***** Bet365 Ew if you please!
    2nd to Marissa Lady who was close in G2 recently. Place is
    Horseshoe Indianapolis -R5..Chadana 5/6 ***
    Churchill- R6…Cancel This 5/1 ***+
    R8…Concerted 10/3 ***+ Bet365

    GL all rest of the day

    1
    • recoba 7 months ago

      🇺🇸
      Small play on..

      Belterra -R2…Strong Demand 7/4 ***
      Or just go small play on R/Forecast 1-5

  14. dazzman1979 7 months ago

    Race 7 Belmont – daunt 5/1

    • recoba 7 months ago

      Looks a big danger Dazzman with gate speed along with Exact Estimate and No:3 at a price but long as Francisco jumps is out ok (doesn’t hate Belmont Bluegrass turf) it’s worthy Fav.
      Distance is okay for a horse to stalk or make up lengths from a shoddy start I think but best o frickin luck! 👍

    • recoba 7 months ago

      Q none of them ⬆️ to be anywhere now Dazzman you “Moosh’ 😂

    • dazzman1979 7 months ago

      Don’t be scared of those bigger prices recoba 😂 well it’s at a e/w price so got 3 chances of getting something back . You ll be thanking me later 😂💰

    • dazzman1979 7 months ago

      We were both wrong but mine as a e/w to nothing means I live to fight another day . There was nt nothing really inspiring today just betting for the sake of it 😂

      1
  15. dazzman1979 7 months ago

    6:30 Chelmsford- Lynwood lad 14/1 e/w

  16. recoba 7 months ago

    Won and wee bonus with forecast
    Off 5/4 in UK and 2/5 the off in USA ?

    Worked out nice with SP Yankee last night at Belterra. 11/8 5/2 and 8/13 if I mind right with other pick at 5/2 coming 2nd by a nostril.
    As said before (to a wooden fish) you can’t get odds till 15 minutes before the upcoming race but UK markets are always generous regardless like Race 2 there at Belterra. ⬆️
    I’ll state the projected prices for this SP Trixie (I’ve Yankee with the first) and hopefully rest be close to prices when they appear BUT with SP a lot of time they open decent and shorten quickly and of course with you SP there’s nothing can do.

    $1.10 Trixie
    Belterra -R4..No:4. 5/2
    R5…No: 4 7/2
    R7…No: 5. 8/5

    Could add this for a Yankee although there’s a BUTT,a big one.

    R8…No :11. 5/2
    There’s 3x NRs one of which is joint favourite and 2nd Fav so I’d expect this be nowhere near the price although maybe get lucky with UK market SP and at least it should be winning with the NRs.

    GL yoll and well done winners today 👌

    🫡 🇺🇸 👩‍⚖️

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