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Goodwood seems tricky again today, so just the one selections from there. Stratford is the destination for the second selection for their summers jumps card.
Goodwood 1:50
A horse who I feel owes me some money is, PATIENT DREAM. This horse was tipped up on this page on Derby/Oaks weekend, and I was extremely confident that he'd win his race, only for him to have a horrible passage on the rail, which ended his chances completely. There is a chance that this could happen again, but I'm willing to ignore the fact that Goodwood can be a hell hole for horses drawn low and get a position on the rail, as I think he is still on a mark where he can be very competitive. So here's hoping for a clear run through.
I didn't manage to back him next time out after the Epsom race, and of course he won. That's what happens when you have at least five meetings or more on per day; you get bogged down and miss horses you'd like to back, but it happens. He's been put up 3lbs for that win, which is instantly negated by Ray Dawson who will claim 3lbs, meaning he is effectively running off that same rating as last time out. He handles Epsom very well, with is a good indication that he will handle Goodwood, as they are very similar tracks, with the downhill finish.
Ralph Beckett has been in good form recently, getting two winners on the opening day of the Goodwood festival, also he's operating at a 27% SR in the last 14 days.
Running off 7st 11lbs, with the jockey's claim taken into consideration, it's hard to see Patient Dream out of the frame, as he has a lot going for him. He should handle the track, he handles soft ground, and he's in good form. Horses with low weights generally do quite well in this race. Since 2016, three horses have won with light weights, including 8st, 8st 4lbs and 8st 2lbs.
Stratford 2:45
The return to Stratford will hopefully help SEE THE SEA run a better race, as she seems to like running at this track.
Two of her best three runs have come at Stratford, which instantly gives the impression she is better at this track than any other that's she previously raced at, and is an encouraging sign that she could bounce back to form. Her two previous appearances at this track have come off handicap marks of 125 & 123, which have produced a 2nd and a 1st. Today, she races off a mark of 114, which makes her reasonably well treated off old pieces of form. For most parts of the summer and spring she has been out of form, but she has slowly been running better races one at a time, with the most recent run being a decent effort, as it produced an RPR of 115.
She was dropped 2lbs for that recent run, which will be a big help, and another big help with be Brian Hughes getting back in the saddle. Brian has enjoyed a nice start to the jumps seasons, operating at a 27% SR in the last 14 days, and has already accumulated 37 winners from 197 rides this season. Donald McCain's horses are in good form currently, he has had 6 winners in the last fortnight and his RTF (running to form) is arguably one of the best in the country at 67%.
Solstalla is a worthy favourite, at the time of writing, as she is in the form of her life and has a good chance of landing the four-timer. She beat See The Sea, but there is a 7lb swing the weights, and that will make life harder for her, but I think this venue will play to the strengths of See The Sea.
Goodwood.
2.25 Asymmetric 5/2 NAP/NB
3.00 Third Realm 5/2
Nice tip and its even better cause its so hard to pick a winner well done
1.50
Goodward
Pure bubbles 25/1 ew
3.00
Goodward
Aleas 20/1 ew
3.35
Goodward
Lady bowthorope
9/2
All bet 365
Stratford double
1:00 – admirals sunset 6/1
2:45 – sostalla 10/3
Trixie for me today.
2 many 2nds in the UK and USA so this week,lucks got to change?? 🤷🏅😉
Patient Dream…1.50. 9/2
Asymmetric…2.25 9/4
Adurya..3.35. 5/2(*** Breeders cup 14/1 winner for me and had the R/fc that night with fav Jesus Team so trying not to just back out of sentiment but surely has a great chance after his comeback effort behind Love and relatively unexposed at 5yr old)
GL all
Not be about later I’m pretty sure so got these up n on early for the USA.
Beltarra-R5…Flatter Again 2/1
R7…Pole Setter 2/1 (*** love this horse he’s a winning machine going for 7 “on the trot” but steps up near 3 furlong and although I trust the trainer it maybe an attempt more than expected but hes still on the up)
Arlington-R2…Halo Hunter 6/5(***** very good debut and trainer has a good ratio with 1st and 2nd time out runner.
GL all 🐎🇺🇸🐎🇬🇧
Thistledown-R7…Matilda. 4/5
Same as me am going to go with you and bean today ill put my ones up anyway
Nice tip the bet still runs
Nice from Asymmetric but only winner!
**Apologies** in USA and although I wouldn’t put anyone OFF Halo Hunter it’s just my reasoning above applies to..
Beltarra-R5…Flatter Her Again 2/1(*****)
Halo Hunters on a hat trick.
Happens when yer rushed but hopefully all’s well that ends…well!?
GL 🇺🇸🐎👍
Off to a flyer bet….(Aka missed out on the Yankee)
Saratoga-R1…Mo Flyer…EVS(***** by far the best form n unexposed of the lot.
Need be max bet at EVS but I’ve had enough
2nd again by Mo Flyer?? 🙄
*MO HEAT.
Twice I’ve wrote that but not that it mattered in the end
2.35 touchwood 11/4 nap
Goodwood ew lucky
Aerion power 6/1
Yibir 11/2
Highland premiere 13/2
Whenthedealindone 7/1
Best of luck to all.
Thats a good bet that going with it
Nice nap had it with mine 🍻
without looking at anyone but patient dream, in a field of unexposed horses, there is no reason to back it in a class it has yet to deliver in. i wouldn’t condemn too strongly as i didnt look at any rivals, and also beckett is obviously a top trainer but looking at the form, he has beaten a level of horse a decent step below ones he will meet today. i’d say ray dawson is a positive if anything.
Yep and so many good jockeys in this race is he as good as fanning and co am not so sure but ill take it EW top 3 i think
Dark tuilp 1’25 touchwood—— west side glory—— roman mist——- yagood ALL Nottingham
Caramelised——–franz klammer-,,,,,,,,,see the sea——–chapmanshype—————-oscar montel——–our colossus ALL Stratford
2 from 2
didnt want to jynx it too early but this could be the best two posts in the history of the site, good luck
Thanks pal
Sir Lucan 3-00 Goodwood
12-1 ew
9-4 top 3 finish
Cmon Frankie 🙃
2nd 😬🏇
probably wins with slightly better ride, nice shout even so, obviously the winner was my gut pick hehe :p
Nice work
Tips for the us going try my luck ALL BALTRA-,,,,,hoof price,,,,,overnight scucces,,,,,,,flatter her again,,,,,,poll setter,,,flushing flash,,,,
Flatter Her Again looks good with Mo Heat R1 Saratoga mate. GL
ALL THISTLEDOWN —-JAIL HOUSE CODE——tamanrassett,,,,,,sams smiles,,,,,,listen up
Comes home recoba
I blame the jockey on tamanrassett he waited to long at 5f out he still sitting back makes his move at 3f out by that time well you no the rest
ALL WOODBINE,,,,,,,,beat the rush,,,,,,twick,,,,,,, orbaline E.W,,,,,,,,,,,,, antigone ,,,,, with recobas tips aswell theres a bet there
Ye sure?? 😉👍🐎🇺🇸
Not to sure just been studying the usa races for last 4 weeks or so .Just writing them down in my book of knowledge._so going pick a yanke outa them and yours may not all win but if any of the ones i put up rings a bell
Good trainer and jockey to watch for at woodbine robert P tiller and kazuhi
farout 4.35
Nice
Blue berry azz ?
Blue berry azz ?
I said cheers bigflu thanks
Was winning that blue berry then died away needs a drop back maybe a farlong or two
445 – not much point putting a guess up you are not confident about that but dobbs and hannon, horse with experience. i will say for win stakes i do not like it based purely on experience looking at the market, also probably best chancing something bigger at throwaway stakes but helene is 6 places 5/1, alternatively chance hollie doyle at 14s and hopefully ISEMEL is up there so the commentator can comment on his body odour.
in the last at GW, the fav is standing out, and as such it is best to look elsewhere ew. oisin murphy the best jockey but im a hail mary, how about MUKER 22s to spring an upset or place at least, (10s for 7 places).
NOT A TIP!!
As it’s to late but….Wilderness Girl must have best form by far in 4.45?? 13/8.
Digital last race goodwood 👍☘️
Thanks azz
Burning victory 6-15 Galway.
22-1 ew 7 places.
Won 2020 triumph hurdle.
Had a year off and was presumably needing the run when 7th in this year’s Irish mares champion hurdle on his season debut.
Won on the flat in France last month by 5 lengths.
Claimer on which suggests Mullins others are more fancied.
It’s a pig of a race to fathom but Belfast banter 8-1 shouldn’t be far off if it’s fit
Yes went with my home town belfast banter
Burning victory 7th 😬🏇
Shows the importance of jockeys riding out horses as ew extra can pay up to 10th
7th looks a nothing place for burning victory but it’s ew money to myself on this occasion.
Well done that claimer.
Hate it when jockeys stop riding when their horses are beat, should be an automatic ban for that.
Rant over 💉
Dulas 7-25 Newcastle
12-1 ew 4 places
9-4 top 4 finish
🏇🏇🏇🏇🏇
BONKERS BET 😝
Stacks mountain 7-45 Galway
40-1 ew 6 places
16-1 ew extra 9 places
🏇🏇🏇🏇🏇
High probe 8-05 Epsom 2-1.
🏇🏇🏇🏇🏇
Newcastle
Saluti 6.25 6-1
Imperial force 12-1
Rodin 11-1
Fly high 11-2
Oslo 22-1
Nick’s not wonder 40-1
Ew singles & ew lucky63 ☘️☘️Gl all