Scudamore will hopefully be ready after quite a quick turn around, as he is 4lbs well in under a 5lb penalty.
This wouldn't be a strong fancy, but DUBAI EMPEROR could be a big improver on handicap debut.
As we've seen on many occasions, Jamie Spencer and David Simcock seem to find a few horses per season which start off extremely well handicapped, and they rack up a few wins throughout the season, and end up being 30lbs better than when they first started. This is the impression I get about this horse.
Today, they decide to race him 3f further than he's raced before, and coincidentally this happens on the handicap debut. He's bred to be much better over further than the 7f he encountered on his first three runs. Like Sir Mark Prescott does, he's raced him over a totally inadequate trip so that his handicap mark is extremely low, so they can exploit it when they decide to go handicapping. He is by Gleneagles, out of a Shamardal Mare who stayed 2m. Off an opening handicap mark of 57, you'd like to imagine that he'll be much better than that.
Jamie Spencer and David Simcock have great records at this track, with 25% and 19% strike rates in the last 5 years.
The current price of 9/2 is much shorter than I wished for, but I'm prepared to get involved.
A three runner race in the last race at Haydock, and I'm opting for the outsider of the bunch with EPONINA.
In a small field like this, I think it could be hard to catch a front running Eponina who is on a good mark. This is an apprentice race, and sometimes the apprentice will get the tactics totally wrong, but in this case I find it hard for Erika Parkinson not to understand she's on a front runner and she will get an uncontested lead in a three runner race.
Arguably, her best form has come over 7f, but she stays this trip.
Haydock is notoriously known to be a front running track, so hopefully she will be hard to catch, especially when you consider she is receiving 14lbs and 18lbs from the other two in the race.
To see a price of 9/4 at the time of writing for SCUDAMORE is pleasantly surprising, as I was expecting close to odds on.
He's 4lbs well in with the 5lb he'll be carrying today. His win last time out was visually impressive, as he powered clear and it looked like a further step up in trip would definitely be within his reach as he motored through the line. This race is arguably tougher than what he contested 6 days ago, but a lot of them are exposed horses, whereas Ivan Furtado's 4yo clearly looks capable of more.
Ivan Furtado is in cracking form at the moment, winning 4 from his last 8 runs in the last fortnight.
I hope Sean Levey can get Scudadmore in a prominent position, as it can be quite hard to peg back horses if you're held up at Kempton, especially when there is a big field, like there is today. He's drawn in stall 6, so if he does break on terms, he should have a good chance of getting a good position. If he reproduces his form of last time out, and he doesn't feel the effects of a 6 day turnaround, I think he'll be hard to beat.
12:00 Leicester - Race: 1
12:30 Leicester - Race: 2
12:40 Listowel - Race: 1