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Yesterday was a bit of a blood bath, especially at Ascot. Rohaan had a stinker and ran no where near to the level expected. Hamish travelled well through his race, but found little when asked to pick up. Gortroe Joe wasn't up the level of the ones who beat him, who disposed of him easily when turning for home.
Kempton 2:40
Kempton is notoriously known for favouring front running horses. There are quite a few in this race who have ran from the front, so there could be a bit of a burn-up, or one horse might set a pace which is a little too fast as they will be under pressure from the ones in behind. I'm hoping that happens as it will fall into the lap of MASTER WORK who will be ridden with patience by Tom O'Brien and will be ready to pounce late on.
Mercian Prince is one of the pace angles in this race, and is a horse who likes this track. The form of the yard is a concern and I think he is a little too short in the market when other horses will pest him for the lead. Goa Lil might want this to turn into a bit of a stamina test over this trip, as it seems that he needs further, so he'd like a fast pace, but if that's the case, that'll put his jumping to the test, which has been ropey. Fairway Freddy is in the grips of the handicapper off his current mark of 126, in my opinion. And Tikkinthebox probably needs to be dropped a few lbs to get competitive in a race like this. Versatitlity makes his first run for new trainer Danni O'Neill, and that trainer has never trained a winner, so I can't imagine this will be changing tomorrow.
The selection runs well when fresh, so the fact he returns from a 200 day break isn't a worry, and he returns with Phillip Hobbs' yard in red-hot form. Phillip Hobbs has had 7 wins from his last 19 runs (37% SR). His current rating of 125 sees him on a winning mark over fences, so he is weighted to go well. He won on seasonal reappearance off this mark in 2019 in this grade, producing a career best run. Since then he has slowly been coming down the weights after a few good efforts off much higher marks (134 etc), until he won in December last year off 123. This ground should be perfect for him, and like I mentioned at the start, a pace collapse would be ideal.
Sedgefield 3:30
This race has been on the radar and has been the target for some time for RED GIANT.
This horse won this race last year, and he returns to defend his crown in the Durham National Handicap Chase. Jennie Candlish has opted for a similar route this year, with his most recent run coming from Perth, like it was last year. The only difference this year is that he ran well! Last year he finished 7/8 and was 45 lengths behind the winner. This year he was pitching away and competing for the win, but ultimately finished 3rd, 2.75 lengths behind the winner. He is rated 113, but due to the weights in this race, he will be racing out of the handicap off a rating of 116, but off minimum weight of 10st. He won this race off 118 last year and off 10st 1lbs, so the similarities are there to be seen. The return to form last time out is definitely a hint of what we can expect, as this lad can be used as a front runner, and he can be hard to peg back if the ground doesn't get extremely soft.
Last year in this race they made the decision to use his enthusiastic run style and they made all, winning by 7.5 lengths. There isn't a lot of pace in this race, so there is a perfect opportunity for this horse to get into a rhythm and run from the front.
Jennie Candlish is having a cracking season so far over the jumps and the flat, and has a good record at this track. She has a 19% SR and a 20% SR in chases, which yields a +13.21 profit to £1 level stakes.
The Irish raider will have many punters backing him, as the raiders normally do. But off top weight and over a trip which he's never seen before, he'll have to have a career best to land this.
In December 2020 we sadly 
4* wins to start in the USA at 6/4then 5* bet and last in my Yankee saves it for profit with the Dulca but he’s the only 1 from 4 n the Yankee.
O’Brien horse was very disappointing!?
Wee Trixie and a single…
Keeneland -R10…Chillin Petin. 5/2(*** Wes Ward horse that returned from a big layoff wi a good 2nd to a highly rated improver. Should have more to come now after that)
Santa Anita-R6…Bella Vita. 2/1
R7…So Very Smart. 6/4
Balko Saint 2-05 kempton.
11-8 without cobblers dream 🏇 NAP 🏇at SKYBET.
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Gordon’s jet 4-40 Sedgefield 5-4 top 2 finish.
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Balko Saint top 2 finish 8-11
Gordon’s jet top 3 finish 8-15
Double pays 13-8
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Seachange 4-00 longchamp
Betting without Monty and the good man.
7-2 ew 1/4 odds at bet365.
done each way as get almost all stake back if it loses to one of the 4 horses involved in this bet.
Scrap that ew bet, it’s 1/4 odds without one of the horses ☹️.
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Revised bet
Seachange 7-2 win without the good man and Monty.
Nice couple of winners there champ 👍
1:55 cork – the dara man 4/1
2:30 cork – Saeer 15/2
2:55 sedgefield- the darley lama 9/2
4:05 sedgefield- salsada 3/1
What about
THE DAZZER 1-40 naas 😁100-1.
Sounds like a cert 🐴
Nothing will ever supprise me with horse racing 100/1 anything is possible ha . Never saw that one to be fair . £1 e/w won’t hurt 😋
No joy yesterday, horses ran well but just not good enough to get their head in front.
Just the one bet today and it’s a horse that I’ve heard some positive comments about.
Frontier General 15/8 1.20 cork
BOL
Looks good DC best o luck
Geez that was rotten
GL for the rest of the day
alexrwill 1.20 ew henwicks 3.30 well done all winners yesterday
Well done with henwick . Your one of the lucky few in the winners enclosure today !
cheers dazzman 1979
🇮🇪 Coach carter 3-40 cork 2-1. 🇮🇪
Only 2 run now, both these won at listowel recently but coach carter’s race looked stronger to the naked eye and busselton been well beaten since listowel.
The coach Carries 10 pound more which explains the price.
Take Rizzles 2 and 2 from France on the flats that are decent races.
🇺🇸🇬🇧 Yankee and a single..
Master Work…2.40 10/3
Red Giant…3.30. 7/2
Breizh Eagle…3.25 13/8(****)
The Good Man…4.00 3/1
🇺🇸
USA Trixie,3 straight of the tracker and 2 very profitable horses for me and obviously there owners…
Keeneland-R5…Beverley Park. 5/2 (*** on a six timer and back with a jockey he’s done most of his winning with,close run thing last time but still more to come and not as good rivals this time)
Belmont-8…Robin Sparkles 7/2(***** looked better than ever last time and has won 8/12 over 5F to 1M but most wins here at Belmont)
Woodbine – R9…Artie 10/11 (**** Kimura on board last 2 wins and on only his 3rd start he’s already rated 113 so lots more to come,won by 4l without being asked by jockey last time. Up in grade.)
GL all today 👍🐎🇺🇸🐎 🇬🇧 🐎 🇫🇷 🍀
Disappointed with Frenchy there,Red Giant just out paced.
Going to have a single in The Good Man at 9/4(bit of money for him n 2nf fav) Skybet as he looks a class above these ant ATR tipster is liking him.
🇺🇸🐎 RIGHT the yon mad mental Americans!
Fingers out with form….you to Recoba!!
Add for a Yankee IF you please in the US of A….
Keeneland-R7…. Super Trick 13/8(****. Won maiden by 10l and should be able to take this too at least)
Pi$h!
Can’t pick my ar$e over these waters for last off and even USA is getting frustrating!!
Keep CALM FFS!! 🤣🐎👎
Well done winners today , what a nightmare ha
Balko Saint betting without wins 11-8 ☑️
Gordon’s jet 5-4 top 2 wins ☑️
Balko Saint and Gordon’s jet place double 13-8 wins ☑️
Seachange betting without wins 7-2 ☑️
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Annoying thing is all 3 won ☹️
Only loss was the Irish punt.
A good day for a change….
Your always doing that haha you should just go for the win next time , have confidence in your convictions young man
No regrets here dazz.
Life is full of what if’s.
Money in the account is better than a black hole bigger than rusty Lee’s mouth
“Bush Wood a dump?
Ah ha….ah how..”
Maybe a race just to watch or as usual I’ll see how early bets go but Waliyak from Roger Varian pops up in America after doing pretty well in the UK and winning a G3 in France on last run but he was 2nd behind Saffron Beach that went on to G1 success.
Favourite from Chad Brown looks good but Waliyak at 5/1 is surely better value.
Quick Step at Keeneland is NR so just the Trixie or replaceme with Godolphin runner Fresh Point at 5/1.
GL all
Millions Memories
Next race bath
Archie gemmill
Peru
CRANEGUY
Love clydebank’s shirts, river plate wear similar except the stripe starts on river plates left shoulder and Peru the same.
Scottish fans will of course be fond of the Peru shirt as worn by teoffilo cubillas in the 1978 world cup for those old enough, as he lashed in 2 long range goals against a hapless Alan rough.
If Scotland hadn’t missed the penalty at 1-1 who knows where they could have gone in the tournament.
Mind you they drew 1-1 with Iran after which was typical of them then beat the mighty Holland with the Archie gemmill wonder goal in a 3-2 win.
You can tell I’m bored can’t you, apparently CRANEGUY was in his mid thirties in 1978 and pawned his entire wardrobe made up mostly of highland wool jumpers as worn by Benny in crossroads to fund his trip out to Argentina.