Three selections for Saturday's racing, with them all coming from the smaller venues, as the big races look very competitive.
This race is arguably between the top three horses in the market, as they are the only ones who have shown ability from the horses who have had runs. Out of those three, I'm siding with HELLO ZABEEL to come out victorious.
I'm willing to forgive him for his very poor run last time out, as there must have been something wrong with him on that day, as he was one of the first off the bridle and he weakened very quickly. They've gave him a little break, which gives the impression there was something wrong, so hopefully he'll be much better today, as he is a horse who is much better than that, as we saw on debut. His debut run was full of promise, he was green in the early stages, didn't get a clear run through and still ran on to get second behind a subsequent winner.
Though he is by Frankel, the drop back to 6f shouldn't cause any problems as Hello Zabeel is a full brother to Queen Kindly who was a very handy sprinter over 6f. She managed to reach a rating as high as 114, so if he can follow in her footsteps then he must have a cracking chance in this race.
I think that JEWEL IN MY CROWN has a serious chance in this five runner race, and even though she is priced up at 6/4, I think that will still offer value.
Rae Guest's progressive, lightly raced 3yo filly looks to have much more to come, and could easily be better than her current rating of 79. She went up 4lbs for her recent win at Nottingham, which seems a decent bit of form, as the horse who finished in 3rd has since finished 3rd in a race which looks like it will create winners, as the 2nd has already won easily off top weight, yesterday. The 5th from that same race has also ran a nice race to finished 2nd in a competitve Class 5 handicap at Musselburgh earlier this week.
She has only raced over 10f once, so there is still plenty of improvement to come over this trip.
Strawberri will have a lot people interested in backing her, like most of Roger Varian's horses are, but I think William Haggas' filly is the one to go with.
Though she's been raised 5lbs for her recent win, ELVRIKA could still have potential to win again off her new handicap mark, as she brings in some strong pieces of form into this race. The 2nd horse from the most recent win of Elvrika has recently won what appeared to be a nice Class 4 handicap at Yarmouth, which had some decent looking horses from some big stables, and she won it easily. The fifth horse has also come out and won since. Before she won lto, she ran well in a better race than this, and she did well to finish 4th as she was short of room. The third horse from that race has won since. Also, the form of Elvrika's seasonal reappearance run, where she won by 2.5 lengths has worked out extremely well, as the 2nd, 3rd, 7th and 8th has all won since.
William Haggas does well when sending his runners to this track, winning 8 from 19, which equals to a 42% SR. The jockey booking of Joe Fanning is a positive one, who generally rides this track very well; he has a 17% SR from 215 rides in the last five years. Though she has won from the front before, I expect Pertemps Sia to take the lead and go from the front, so I expect Joe Fanning to sit in and let her take the lead, as he wouldn't want to get into a pace battle.