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Saturday was a day to forget really, even though we got a decent priced winner in Cap Du Nord. I had a lot of hope for yesterday's selections, and it didn't go as planned. Apologies for yesterday, but hopefully today's sole selection will deliver the goods.
CASH BACK is my only bet of Sunday, and the price available isn't a surprise, and a drift wouldn't surprise me either, as his recent form isn't great.
Paul Townend takes the ride instead of Blackbow, and though that might be a surprise to some, I don't think it is. Blackbow hasn't really shown his potential as a jumps horse since looking like a quality bumper prospect. His form is tied in with Captain Guinness, with the collateral form of finishing behind Dunvegan, which both of them did on recent starts, and I think they are closely matched, with Blackbow probably coming out on top due to the penalty the Henry De Bromhead horse carries. However, I do think Cash Back beats them both.
Cash Back could enjoy an easy lead of things, and in a small field race like this, that can be crucial. Things can generally get tactical in races like this, so the fact that a horse who likes to race from the front, can be an uncontested lead, is a positive. He has won at this track before, when he managed to dictate a race, and I'm hoping that will play out similar today. The last two times over fences he has been ridden with restraint, and that doesn't suit this horse, as he was running with a choke out and he pulled hard. When a horse pulls as hard as he did, they can't get into a rhythm as they are fighting the jockey, which means they meet fences on bad strides and it effects their jumping. Paul Townend is a quality pilot, and should hopefully manage to get this horse into a rhythm and jumping fences accurately. The ground shouldn't be an issue, and the 7lb he received from Captain Guinness is a big help against that specific horse. Darasso is an interesting runner in this. He has been campaigned as a hurdler for a long time, so it's strange to see him back over fences. He could be the one to keep an eye on.