Rizzel attempts to make a good start to the week with three selections coming from Ffos Las & Southwell.
Ffos Las 4:20
Not a selection I would have total faith in, but I do think that FALETHAO DANA will appreciate a step-up in trip to 3m.
Since running over rules, he has not made much of an impression, apart from a few okay runs which resulted in big distance defeats. However, I think his recent run suggested that off a mark of 83 he could definitely be a player over 3m, especially over fences.
This ex PTP winner was staying on quite strongly lto at Newton Abbot, where he finished 6th. He was 29 lengths behind the eventual winner, but he did catch they eye with how he finished and ran through the line.
As for form, he ran an okay race on his first hurdle start, finishing 4th behind Yvearing Belle, who has since won 2x and Bbold was second and has since won and been placed a few times.
His PTP form is the one to take note of. Falethao Dana finished 7.25 lengths behind Baptism Of Fire (now rated 130), Tupelo Mississippi was second (now rated 124), Pull Green was third (now rated 116), and he finished in front of Franigane (now rated 125). If he reproduced his PTP form, he could be very well handicapped off a mark of 83.
Advised: Each Way
I am keen on the chances of DO IT FOR THY SEN in the opener at Southwell. Unlike the first selection where he has something to prove, this selection looks to be ready to strike.
He was rather unlucky last time out at Ffos Las, where he jumped too high at the 2nd last fence and landed steeply, resulting in an unseat. At the time of the unseat he was being pressed for the lead. It is hard to say what would’ve happened, but I believe he would’ve had a good chance of going close. His handicap mark has not been changed, which means he should have a good chance of avenging his recent mishap.
The winner of that race, Arcade Attraction, has since won over hurdles, which is a nice boost for the form. Prior to that race, he finished 4th and since then the 2nd, 3rd and 5th have won. The 5th in that race was Maasai Warrior, who he faces again today. On that day he was 24lbs heavier and was 20+ lengths in front, today he is 13lbs heavier, so it’s hard to envisage a reverse in the form, though he has won twice since they last met.
THAT’S A GIVEN looked like he was returning to form after finishing 2nd at Market Rasen last time out. That was his 4th start over fences and was definitely his best run since his debut over the larger obstacles.
The trip of 2m 5f he encountered was arguably too short, and that was probably shown by the way he hit he line strongly and managed to nick second in the closing stages. The return to 3m should be a benefit, considering he had stayed 3m 2f in the past.
With just the four previous starts over fences, he is entitled to improve, and he is still unexposed. The form of his runs over fences stacks up quite well, especially the 2nd to Jersey Bean, who has since improved 18lbs from when they met, recently winning a nice handicap chase at Cheltenham in April.
12:00 Yarmouth - Race: 1
12:15 Cartmel - Race: 1
12:30 Yarmouth - Race: 2