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Three of the four selections went through their races with plenty of zest but when it came to their finishing kick they lacked it massively. I expected a lot more from Equinus even though he was up in class, but maybe the recent run caught up with him, as he was carrying a very light weight.

Down Royal 12:17 – The Busy Fool 4/1 (1pt Bet365)

This meeting is generally dominated by Gordon Elliott, he targets this meeting heavily so going against one of his odds-on shots might not be the smartest moves, but I do think Better Days Ahead was very overrated last year. That horse came into bumpers with a big reputation but didn't quite live up to it and didn't exactly set the world alight, plus he was beaten at this meeting on his first run, so chances are that he might be best with a run under his belt, so I'm happy to take him on.

Phil Rothwell sends The Busy Fool up to Down Royal and it's his sole runner of the day and one of his regular jockeys, James O'Sullivan makes the trip just for this horse. Phil isn't known for having bumper winners, so the fact that The Busy Fool was his sole bumper winner in the last five years has to be taken seriously. He hasn't got PTP experience like many do in this race, but he has a very good NH pedigree, especially at staying trips so the trip on hurdling debut doesn't concern me at all. His bumper run would give encouragement that this trip is what he wants as he made up some serious ground in that race, as he wasn't positioned towards the front, he sat towards mid/rear and when the 7lb claimer asked for his effort he stayed on nicely.

I get the impression that Phil rates this horse and believes he has a nice one on his hands, he could have easily avoided this meeting as Gordon likes to send his smart novices, so the fact he's willing to take him on with this horse is encouraging. He will have the fitness edge over his market rivals due to his bumper run just 22 days ago, and I think he can hold his own in this.

Exeter 12:35 – Law Of Supply 13/2 (1pt PaddyPower)

I get the impression that there will be some decent horses in this race and the form will be strong as you have some nice-looking novices taking their place. Paul Nicholls has won this race four times in the last ten years so his odds-on shot has to be very respected, but the way Kim Bailey has been firing in the winners recently, I think you can take a chance on Law Of Supply.

He was a PTP winner on his last start as a pointer, he made an encouraging bumper debut in April at Chepstow, but based on that run bumpers was never going to bring the best out of him as pace doesn't appear to be his game. However, I saw plenty in that race which gives me confidence that he can do some damage over hurdles this year, if he's fit enough on seasonal reappearance I believe he can give the odds-on shot a real fright. He was seriously outpaced in that bumper race but when he started to hit top gear he motored, he didn't quite have the legs to reel them in but he finished a fast finishing 4th and staying trips over fences in time is what he'll be best at, but 2m 6f on hurdling debut is definitely a step in the right direction and gives him a chance of showcasing his ability.

Kim Bailey won this race back in 2020 with Bobhopeornohope who is currently rated 140 over fences, so it's a good indicator of the type of horse Kim likes to send to this race.

Exeter 4:00 – Broomfield Present 7/1 (0.5pt EW 4pl)

Though Kim Bailey's horse, Hurlerontheditch, cost me a four-fold the other day when jumping like a stag on chase debut, it's not enough to put me off from backing another of Kim's chase debutantes. This time around it is Broomfield Present.

This horse has always looked like a chaser and it's not a great surprise that they've opted for the switch to fences on just his fourth run. He looks like a proper galloper and the testing conditions will suit him, it'll test his fitness on his seasonal reappearance but this is the type of ground he relishes. Another thing I really like about this horse is that he is a real trier and will give you everything.

The big weight is always a concern but not as much as it would normally be as this horse is used to carrying big weights like he did at Haydock when last seen, winning off 12st and when he carried top weight to a runner-up spot at Catterick, conceding 10lbs to the winner. As I mentioned before, Kim is in great form at the moment and especially with his novices, so I think it does pay dividends to keep onside of trainers like this when they are on a hot streak.

Horse Racing Tips
The Busy Fool
Down Royal - 12:17 pm

4/1 @ The Pools

Law Of Supply
Exeter - 12:35 pm

13/2 @ PaddyPower

Broomfield Present
Exeter - 4:00 pm

7/1 @ Bet365

19 Comments
  1. ItsTrixie 5 months ago

    Probably one of the stranger Trixie’s I’ll have on for a long while, as I tend to avoid the evening Irish and Arab race cards, unless it’s a big meet (for reasons I’m sure I don’t need to explain 😅)… and I’ve never had two races going off at the same time, which could be absolutely brilliant fun, or horrendous!

    Exeter 1600 – Brookfield Present 7/1
    Dundalk 1700 – Cholita 3/1
    Meydan 1700 – Ranaan 6/1

    What makes it even more enticing, is that Colin Keane has ridden the final winner for each of the two biggest trixie wins I’ve had this year… and both were in very dodgy evening races in Ireland 😅

    Tomorrow (Friday) is gonna be a great day 🤞🏼

    GL all 🍀

    4
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Pussy pops and Kit Kats for you if they win 😂

  2. Rizzel Tips 5 months ago

    I know it’s ridiculously early to be posting for Saturday (some post even earlier), but the price will go soon:

    Newcastle
    2:05 – Sense Of Duty 5/2 (2pt Bet365)

    2
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      What’s that a bit of inside info rizz 😍

    • smoothsailor 5 months ago

      There’s a n/r so a 10p rule 4 unfortunately.

      Your 5/2 still equates to 9/4 with the rule 4 factored in. That’s still a good price in relation to the current price.

      I suppose there is the small matter of it winning before we worry about the price. Its these minor details that always get in the way 🤣

      1
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Be nice if these so say good things would be at least e/w money instead of all or nothing 😂 but it’s not called gambling for a reason . Not sure if I want to back a fav especially on a Saturday 😂

  3. elvis parsley 5 months ago

    Chosen hero 1-00 Hexham 8-1 ew
    Grey dawning 2-55 Exeter 5-2 nap 🏇

    1
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      The dreaded “N” word !

      1
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      ⚰️

  4. spurs55 5 months ago

    afternoon all

    start of with

    Mrs Meader @ 8/1SP

    Win – 15.08 Newcastle – Paying 4 Places instead of 3

    1
  5. spurs55 5 months ago

    just seen this one that i like

    first guess today though!!

    Hellavapace @ 7/1SP

    Win – 14.30 Chelmsford City

  6. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    piadias passion 2.37 nb

  7. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    solo 3.30 nap

  8. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    ballydesmond 2.55 ew well done all winners yesterday and today

  9. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    champ royal 3.20

  10. spurs55 5 months ago

    8 – Parkland @ 14/1
    Win

    16.08 Chelmsford Cit

    2
  11. recoba 5 months ago

    🇺🇸
    Gulfstream – Racrr 6…Refugdia 7/4 ****
    Aquaduct -R8…Let’s Gi Big Blue 2:1 ****+ Horseshoe Indianapolis/Race 2…Easy Operator 5/2 ***+
    Side bet ..combo forecast 7-3-6
    Del Mar -Race 6…Smooth Salute 6/1 ***+
    Side bet combo forecast 10-8-3

    Well done to the winners today

    • recoba 5 months ago

      Crud start that with Horseshoe Indianapolis pick getting bounced around all over and other at Gulfstream??

      🇺🇸
      Betfred doing cash back as free bet in Horseshoe Indianapolis Race 3 if it finishes 2nd or 3rd.

      Notbert..7/2 *** they don’t pick easy races obviously and it’s £10 max stake anyway 👍

  12. recoba 5 months ago

    *Should be 9/2 ⬆️ Favourite 7/2.

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