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The fact that Spycatcher nearly won a Group 1 in France yesterday is quite remarkable. My selection Art Power just apparently runs well in Ireland and nowhere else, he was very poor after getting the lead and not being pestered for it. The runner-up isn't a Group 1 horse, that I am sure of, so it would've been some doing if he managed to get back up on the line.
Live In The Dream was very poor too. I expected so much more from the Adam West-trained horse. He runs well on soft ground, and he got the lead which was a positive, but he just got extremely tired in the final furlong.
Windsor 7:30 – Antiphon 20/1 (0.5pt EW 4pl)
When the going gets testing at Windsor it normally results in the runners going over to the far side instead of hogging the inside rail which is normally the place to go. Stall 4 for Antiphon isn't ideal for that scenario, but sometimes you've got to go with what horse you think has the best chance of winning on the ground and form, and I won't be changing my mind on it.
You're going to need a strong stayer as well as a horse who handles the ground and I think Antiphon can be relied on in both of those categories. He has won on soft ground before, at Windsor over 5f winning in the fashion of a strong stayer of that trip. He has won over today's C&D so we know he stays the 6f, and I think he sees that trip out equally as well to suggest the stamina-sapping ground over this trip isn't going to be a concern. He likes to be up with the pace, which I see to be a positive as making up places from the rear on testing ground can be extremely tough to do, as we all saw at Goodwood over the last few days.
Mia Nicholls has partnered up with a few winning selections for me, she is still a very inexperienced jockey but is well worth the 7lb claim she brings to the table. With that claim, it means Antiphon is running off a mark of 70, which is 7lbs below his last winning mark, but also it puts him on a very nice race weight of 8st 2lbs, which is ideal when running on slow ground.
Ayr 4:10 – Flyawaydream 5/2 (2pt)
It's obvious that Flyawaydream could be decently well-handicapped now he's going up in trip, which is the usual words associated with Sir Mark Prescott horses, but the proof is in the pudding when it comes to this trainer and I'd be surprised if this horse doesn't rate better than a mark of 79.
He is by Farhh, so you'd expect him to progress the further he goes in trip, so today's new trip of 10f is sure to suit as well as the slow ground which is normally perfect for the progeny of Farhh. I thought his run at Kempton over a mile was a decent enough effort over a trip which is probably too short for him at this stage of his career and off his current handicap mark. He was sitting in the middle of the field and managed to run on strongly to grab 3rd, with the first three pulling clear of the rest, which normally suggests the form is quite good. The winner went on to finish a neck second at Sandown the time after, so I'd like to believe that is franking the form.
Sir Mark is 4/6 at this track in the last five years, so he doesn't like to waste petrol money on the trip up to Scotland.
This race doesn't look supremely deep in quality but I'd have to say that Theme Park looks the main threat and Glasses Up has to be respected around his beloved Ayr off a very low mark.
Windsor - 7:30 pm
20/1 @ Bet365
Ayr - 4:10 pm