Racing tips

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They didn't go a great gallop at Epsom yesterday and that clearly suited the Gosden filly who was always the horse in the race with a turn of foot. I'm not quite sure why Rob Hornby didn't commit for home much sooner and make it into a bit of a slog, as stamina is what Westover is all about over 12f, poorly judged ride for me, but you can't take anything away from the winner.

Epsom 12:50 – Regal Reality 5/1 (1pt)

This race could be messy with a small number of runners, and with Marie's Diamond being the notable front-runner, Hollie Doyle will want to make this a muddling race. However, that horse, even though he was once a Group level performer and he ran well in a good handicap last time out, he might struggle even if getting things his own way.

With the ground likely to be quick, even though they are watering (why are they?) it should be perfect conditions for Regal Reality who has always done his best running on fast ground. He is now an 8yo, so time isn't on his side, but when things click, he is a very capable horse, especially at this level, like we saw at Windsor last year.

The older horses in this race don't really take my fancy, at all. Kolsai is interesting being a 3yo and getting weight from every horse in the race, but the form he's produced isn't exactly strong and I think he is up against it now taking on the older horses. Regal Reality has already had a run this year, on soft ground which was never going to suit, and them pursuing him to run that day suggests it was a run for fitness, and I expect him to be fully wound up for today's race.

Epsom 1:30 – Passenger 7/1 (1pt EW Whill 4pl)

For the big race of the day, I will be sticking to my guns and giving Richard Kingscote another chance on Passenger. Normally, it would be giving the horse another chance, but Richard made a mess of the ride on Passenger in the Dante, and for me, if he got a clear run he would've won well and would be coming into this race as arguably the one to beat.

Richard Kingscote was a Passenger that day, if you pardon the pun, he couldn't find a single gap for over 3f and the horse was travelling sweetly. He eventually got the gap, but it came far too late and he finished 3rd behind The Foxes. There is a strong chance that the same might happen today, as we see on most renewals of the Derby, the position of the horse is key and we see many hard luck in running stories, Westover being the main one from last year. However, this lightly raced son of Ulysses clearly has bags of potential and if his inexperience doesn't hinder him, I think he arrives to Epsom with a very good chance.

Many of the main fancies for the Derby have done their best runs on soft ground, whereas we know for a fact Passenger handles the quicker surfaces, based on his debut win and his run at York. Fingers crossed on a clear run.

Epsom 2:10 – Prosperous Voyage 11/8 (3pt Win)

This race is similar to the first race, it could get messy with the pace, but I think the cream will rise to the top and Prosperous Voyage will come out on top.

Roman Mist put in a career-best last time out, and she made the running on heavy ground and will more than likely try similar tactics, but I don't think she'll be able to get away with setting her own fractions. Prosperous Voyage likes to sit handy and her form is miles clear of anything else in this race, winning a Group 1 and beating Inspiral is head and shoulders clear of the rest. Her form has taken a bit of a nose dive since then, but she's best effective on quick ground like we saw in the 1000 Guineas and in the Sun Chariot last year, she has raced on good to soft and soft since, and I think this track will play to her strengths, and that's proven already as she won here as a 2yo.

Epsom 3:20 – Live In The Moment 8/1 (1pt EW Whill 6pl)

The Epsom Dash is a bit of a lottery, that doesn't really need to be stated, but I think Live In The Moment comes into the race with a nice chance towards the bottom of the weights.

When trained by Adam West he was a very progressive handicap sprinter, winning five times and reaching a peak of 101 rated. His form then went downhill, after trying some big races at Meydan and then not coming back in great form on UK soil, but he did run a decent race in this last year, finishing 8th/20 off a mark of 90. Since then, he has left the Adam West stable and has joined Alice Haynes, who is a superb trainer and does very well with recruits from other yards. His handicap mark dropped to 84 last time out but that saw him return to form over 6f, finishing 2nd/16 recording an RPR of 95. He has gone back up 3lbs for that run, which isn't helpful but I think a real speedster track like Epsom, running off a low mark considering his past form, makes him competitive in this.

Related Topics: Racing Tips Epsom
Horse Racing Tips
Regal Reality
Epsom - 12:50 pm

5/1 @ Bet365

Passenger
Epsom - 1:30 pm

7/1 @ William Hill

Prosperous Voyage
Epsom - 2:10 pm

11/8 @ Bet365

Live In The Moment
Epsom - 3:20 pm

8/1 @ William Hill

36 Comments
  1. recoba 11 months ago

    Well done winners yesterday or early today really 👌

    🇺🇸 Penn National R5…Royal Interest 5/4 Nap /***** Chad Brown and Ortiz Jnr dont ship here for EVER or for nothing. 💴

    Take the Double too with R3 fav…Heartyconstitution 4/7.

    Paddy Power

    GL all

    • recoba 11 months ago

      Double BUST!
      What a Twat at times Irad Ortiz Jnr can be for such a great jockey pulling out his irons when LOOKING around on Royal Interest rather than just racing?

      Trixie and single….

      Evangeline -Race 2…Sweet Neie 7/4
      Penn National -R6…Tappin Josie 6/4
      Santa Anita -R7…Establishm. 5/2

      Paddy Power

      GL and onwards to tomorrow 👉

      1
    • recoba 11 months ago

      *Prairie Meadows R2…Sweet Nealie

      Not Evangeline.

      Apologies and sure anyone trying would have noticed the obvious with only Bet365 doing Evangeline but got to correct the misprinted ⬆️

  2. smoothsailor 11 months ago

    Rizzel I didn’t back anything in the race but I would agree with your verdict on Westover.
    Dettori took the bull by the horns and got Emily John rolling whilst Hornby was caught napping sitting doing nothing. It probably didn’t affect the outcome but I reckon connections of Westover wouldn’t have been too impressed by Hornbys ride.
    It’s not the worst ride you will see but it was a prime example of a top class jockey vs a decent jockey.

    • dazzman1979 11 months ago

      Envelope jockeys !

      1
  3. danTHEman 11 months ago

    Agree with prosperous voyage rizzle, I have taken it in a double with kolsai in the first, single on kolsai also. Good luck everyone

    1
  4. bpabsie 11 months ago

    Yep poor ride from hornby

  5. dazzman1979 11 months ago

    Here’s my selections for the day , probably a complete embarrassment like stepping out a brothel with a bus full of people in the road outside looking down at you in disgust ! 😂

    8:20 Stratford- Tommy beau 2/1

    4:20 Worcester- bannister 11/4

    3:45 Worcester – walk of no shame 3/1

    3:10 Worcester- military mistress 4/1

    Good luck hopefully we will get some fanny tokens !

    2
  6. double carpet 11 months ago

    Draw – 10 of the last 12 winners were drawn in stall 7 or higher

    Only 1 winner this century drawn in stall 1 or 2.

    9 of the last 12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 10-12f

    Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 109 or higher
    Group Wins – 9/12 winners had at least 1 win in a group 1-3 race
    Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 9/12 had at least 1 win that season.

    Above are the best trends if trying to work out the winner of this years Derby.
    If you take these all into consideration you are left with just 2 horses to decide between.
    They are

    Arrest
    Passenger

    As all the others fail at least 1 trend.

    Wouldn’t put anyone off either but I’m sticking with Arrest. Yes he’s only won on soft so far but on breeding should handle good ground no problem. By Frankel who won on all surfaces. His Sire was unraced but dams Sire also won on good ground.
    I’m also sticking by my thoughts from yesterday that Frankie will be all out to win this race being his final one.
    Passenger was unlucky in the Dante but is by Ulysses and yes he might have been 3rd in an Arc but I always thought his best form was over 10f.

    Should be a fascinating race regardless

    BOL

    7
  7. duncanpoundcake 11 months ago

    The cat is out of the bag with JM jungle .
    Mokaatill 3.20 should go well ,loves Epsom 20/80 GL

    1
    • dazzman1979 11 months ago

      Done a e/w double be happy if they just place 😂

  8. Johnboy 11 months ago

    Done a e/w double be happy if they just place 😂

  9. elvis parsley 11 months ago

    Military order in the derby 5-1 ew

    Shaara 2-10 epsom
    8-1 ew 2 places
    11-10 top 3 finish

    • dazzman1979 11 months ago

      Lovely start Rizzel !! 💰 that’s one hooker paid for 😂

      3
  10. azzthewigan 11 months ago

    awesome rizzel well done winner winner chicken dinner

    1
  11. azzthewigan 11 months ago

    dubai mile ew did beat arrest so on a ew punt today well done all winners yesterday

  12. double carpet 11 months ago

    Lovely shout Rizzle 👏

    3
  13. Wildhorse 11 months ago

    Hi All

    Derby is over , next Big One for the O. Brien Stable , what doing Keane on White Birch ?? , looking he ride the first time at Epsom … OMG !!!

    Epsom

    Each Way

    R. 4 – Tatterstall

    R. 6 – Maasai Mara

    R. 8 – Haymaker

    Bol , back tomorrow !!

    3
    • Wildhorse 11 months ago

      Tatterstall 9 / 1

      All placed , next Money Day !!

      2
  14. recoba 11 months ago

    Mahone Stakes G2 Woodbine 🍁

    R7…Milie Girl 14/1 Ew. Form stacks up well with Bay Storm favourite who’s 13/8?
    LiveScore bet I got 16/1 and 3 places

    Well done wae Regal Reality Rizzle.
    I trusted in Augusta Rodin after flip flopping several times which been £10 back top 4 but nice win at 9/2

    Got be on your 3 POINTER?

    GL all rest of day 🍀 🐎

  15. azzthewigan 11 months ago

    mokaatill 3.20 ew

    1
  16. recoba 11 months ago

    Jordan steps to the 3 point line at the buzzer…and that’s the game!
    Nothing but net!” 👏

    If only Rizzle with 12.50pm as I took Highland Avenue in Trixie with Augusta Rodin and Prosperous Voyage but 2/3 and singles does me.

    Onwards to USA and Canada 🫡

  17. azzthewigan 11 months ago

    balance play 3.55 ew

  18. elvis parsley 11 months ago

    Epsom
    3-20 navello
    22-1 ew 7 places SKYBET.

    3-55 blue universe
    40-1 ew 4 places
    7-2 top 5 finish
    With city 1 up already this is a cert

    4-30 jungle cove
    16-1 ew 4 places

    Lucky last
    5-05 mr wagyu
    4-1 win NAP 🏇

    4
    • elvis parsley 11 months ago

      Boooom navello 🏇.
      And united equalise, come on you reds 🔴

      3
    • elvis parsley 11 months ago

      S P was 25-1 🤭

      2
    • elvis parsley 11 months ago

      Jungle cove sneaks into 4th.

      City 2-1 now and I ain’t happy 😁

      1
  19. recoba 11 months ago

    Early 40p Canadian…
    Big night up North at Woodbine but for early interest with few showing up from my notes..

    Pimlico R1…Federal Offense 7/4
    R2…Miss San Gabriel 5/2
    Belmont -R3…Truculent 2/1
    Gulf Stream -R3…Frosted Faith 7/4
    Woodbine -R1..Cafadel 7/4

    GL rest of day with your bets ,I’m off to watch Celtic have at a treble with a wee double of something In the Hampden sun ⛅️ ☀️ ⚽️ 🍀

    1
    • recoba 11 months ago

      🇺🇸
      Belmont -R6..Anna Karenine 4/1 /***+
      Paddy Power
      A former French G2 placed Stakes winner with Manuel Franco and Chad Brown trainer jockey combo with decent runs under belt in first few runs

      Take a chance 👍

  20. azzthewigan 11 months ago

    chios chorister 4.30

  21. azzthewigan 11 months ago

    arcading friend 6.10 ew

    1
  22. azzthewigan 11 months ago

    arcading friend 6.10 ew

  23. azzthewigan 11 months ago

    across the line 6.15 yup ebvenue that one oooo

    • azzthewigan 11 months ago

      even

  24. azzthewigan 11 months ago

    katou 6.30 nap

    2
  25. azzthewigan 11 months ago

    imperiality 6.40 ew nb well done all winners today

    2

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