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Some nice action today with the Irish Derby and the Northumberland Plate taking centre stage.

Curragh 1:25

Runner Jacket

Trainer: G M Lyons

Jockey: Chris Hayes

Form: 21-12

It's not a great surprise to see Ger Lyon's stable jockey, Colin Keane riding the higher-rated two of his horses in this. It doesn't put me off that he has done that as the second string on paper do cause upsets, as we've seen many times before.

PIRATE JENNY is my fancy in the opening race at The Curragh. I was tempted to back her last time out where she was narrowly beaten by another stablemate, Geocentric. That horse is all about speed and Pirate Jenny stayed on strongly that day to make it a photo finish where she didn't quite get her head up on the line.

I think this filly is better over 6f which is a benefit for today's race as she gets going quite late on in her race, so the extra furlong will play to her strengths. She'll have to improve to win this based on what we've seen from her form to date, but that's not out of the question. Her run on seasonal reappearance was pleasing and better than what it looks on paper. She did a lot of the donkey work and had nothing to aim at on the stand's side at The Curragh that day. However, she picked up nicely and showed a nice turn of foot to stretch a couple of lengths clear, but that winning margin was shortened and I think that was due to fitness. She looked tired in the final furlong, but I don't think that's a stamina issue, but more of a first run of the season.

She is bred to be better over this trip, and the forecast rain shouldn't be an issue. Her half-sister was good on soft and the Dam ran well on soft ground when she was racing. Power Under Me is the one they have to beat, but with the weight-for-age concession and the sex allowance, she could prove to be a serious threat.

Curragh 2:00

Runner Jacket Trainer: J P Murtagh

Jockey: Danny Sheehy (3)

Form: 23-521

Johnny Murtagh is still relatively new to the training ranks, but from the years of watching him, I think he is a good target trainer and I think he might have found a nice opportunity to land a decent bit of prize money with his 3yo filly, KARKIYNA.

It's up for debate whether the 3yo weight-for-age allowance is enough to warrant a selection over the older, more mature horses. In this case, I think it makes the 3yo filly of Carravagio an appealing bet as she is running from bottom weight and based on her progression on her handicap mark, she doesn't have to improve all that much to get seriously involved.

Her recent win at Fairyhouse was an easy success, where Ben Coen made the fractions and she didn't see another horse. It wasn't a race full of above-average horses but she did it with a minimal amount of fuss and that was probably to get the confidence into the horse to break her maiden tag. She had previously run well in defeat until last time out, so it was probably an important thing to get a win under her belt. She ran with plenty of credit in a decent-looking maiden at The Curragh where she didn't get the clearest of runs, being boxed in, and by the time she had the gaps, the race was already over. The time after at Gowran Park she was fancied to win that in good style as the 8/11 odds suggested but she might've bumped into a half-decent horse in the winner who improved plenty from her only other run. She finished runner-up that day and pulled clear of the rest, including a horse rated in the low 80s in 3rd and the horse back in 4th has run well on a couple of occasions since.

Though there's good money up for grabs I don't think it's the most competitive. There are some old-timers in this who are on the downward spiral, who could still win due to their dropping handicap marks, but they're susceptible to a progressive younger horse. Emilie Gray is an interesting runner with the 10lb claimer on board, but I'm not convinced this trip is ideal for her with her pedigree suggesting further could be better. Of the others, I thought Affable had a chance at a decent EW price.

Curragh 2:35

Runner Jacket Trainer: A P O'Brien

Jockey: Ryan Moore

Form: 75-290

THE ACROPOLIS doesn't have your typical sexy profile like your usual Ballydoyle horse, but that doesn't mean he's a no-hoper like the odds are suggesting in this contest.

They clearly feel that there is a decent horse in The Acropolis as he has run in two Group 1's back-to-back in France where it didn't quite work out for him. I'm not for one minute suggesting he is a Group 1 animal but the runs he had, he had little chance of showing what he is capable of. The French 2000 Guineas was over at the start where he was held up in last place. With how racing unfolds in France, sitting off the pace isn't ideal as it often turns into a sprint in those races, and it looked like the horses sitting towards the fore benefitted a lot. The first four home were all in the first 5/6 turning for home and weren't far away from the pace and horses from the back struggled to get involved. Ryan didn't go crazy on him that day as he knew the race was over, but he did stick on to his credit and went past horses, showing some level of ability. As for the run in the French Derby, the same applies, but that was a good quality race and he wasn't expected to get close in that contest.

The run on seasonal reappearance showed the ability he had when finishing 2nd to Dr Zempf, who is a horse who put me in my place a couple of weeks ago when hosing up at the same track. I think if he was to repeat that form, he would be bang there in today's race and gives him a better chance than his double-figure odds would suggest.

He still has plenty of Group 2 and Group 1 entries for later down the season, so they are still optimistic about potentially getting him to that point.

Wexford Native is a horse who will be popular in the betting, but I'd be concerned about how hard he pulls in his races. His Royal Ascot run was appalling with the way he pulled Kevin Manning's arms. If he repeats that kind of attitude he might as well stay at home as even though this is a step down in class, it's not a weak race by any means.

Curragh 4:20

Runner Jacket Trainer: Paddy Twomey

Jockey: W J Lee

Form: 187-41

Though there's Mac Swiney in this race, who is/was the class horse, I think the Twomey filly has every chance off a much lower rating.

I tipped up RUMBLES OF THUNDER on her stable debut a couple of months ago where she ran a nice enough race, without troubling the winner, but it was a nice opener for her yard. She then showed that the first run was needed as she pummeled the Listed field, winning without getting into a sweat, doing it by 3L. Obviously, this race will be tougher now she's taking on the boys again, but I don't think it's mission impossible for her to win this.

It's quite annoying to see that she has been put up as favourite, and I think that's the bookies being scared that this filly could progress again like Paddy Twomey has managed to do with similar fillies over the last couple of years. I think this trip is going to be her ideal trip as she has a high cruising speed and a nice turn of foot.

I'm not going to get too excited about her for the future, but I could see this filly following in the footsteps of some of her stablemates who have progressed nicely as they got older, including Pearls Galore.

Newcastle 2:55

Runner Jacket  Trainer: Richard Fahey

Jockey: Oisin Orr

Form: 32-552

MONSIEUR LAMBRAYS is a quirky horse and has been for the most part of his career. He's taken his time to get into form since moving stables to Richard Fahey's, but last time out at York was a return to form and a repeat performance should see him bang there in this valuable consolation race.

He has been held up for many parts of his career, but that changed last time out when Oisin Orr had him much closer to the pace. He has the plum draw in Stall 1 if they fancy getting a prominent position which could be handy in this race where a lot of congestion could happen, resulting in getting a hard run through the crowd.

He is rated 4lbs lower on the AW than turf, which is strange as he has won on the AW twice in his six runs. To me that makes him well handicapped on his recent run where he produced an RPR of 94 and was first past the post but lost that in the steward's room. He has run well at this track before and Richard Fahey's yard is starting to hit top form, especially over last week when he had two Royal Ascot winners.

Newcastle 3:30

Runner Jacket Trainer: Jim Goldie

Jockey: Paul Hanagan

Form: 331366

A small chance is taken on one of the bigger outsiders of the field with SIR CHAUVELIN.

Jim Goldie won this race last year win a big outsider, Nicholas T, who carved through the field like the Red Sea. Sir Chauvelin will have to do a similar ride if he wants to win this as he is drawn wide and will be run for luck. He is a hold-up horse anyway, so the wide draw isn't a problem as he would've been dropped out the back regardless of where he was drawn.

This race has been the plan for a long time according to Jim Goldie, and he's probably had this in his mind for this horse since the back end of last year. He's not been running too badly this year, including a 3rd at Kempton behind some runners in this race, who are now higher in the weights. It's obviously a competitive race and you'll get hard-luck stories all over the place, but I thought he was overpriced and was worth a small bet in one of the feature races of the day.

28 Comments
  1. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Irish derby 3-45
    Hannibal Barca 10-1 ew.

    Northumberland plate 3-30
    Spirit mixer 12-1 ew 7 places SKYBET.

    3
    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Compiegne 🇫🇷
      3-30 caprice de dieux 5-1 ew
      ————————————–
      4-35 Zebelle
      33-1 ew 4 places SKYBET
      16-1 ew extra 6 places.
      —————————————
      5-10 Panama gold
      33-1 ew 4 places SKYBET
      16-1 ew extra 7 places.

      1
  2. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Old franny the Chester specialist to win all his races 2 Moro 😂💰

    • recoba 2 months ago

      ?
      More chance of me biting a giraffe on the neck! 😆

      Why not yer £1 Ew D.Probert turned out okay…”
      if I recollect lick!”

      🇦🇺
      Caufield-R6… Inundation 2/1. Bet365.

      Not mine but looks good an lucky no:7 🎲

    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Well you know what it’s like he never landed a blow yesterday although he did come close with jilly cooper at a big price in which case all would of been forgiven but it would prob put punters off him today so if he wins everyone will be like that’s typical that is so I’m not giving the bookies the chance and going in again even the 2 favs he’s on might be worth doing a small on the nose double . No doubt I will be wiping my tears later on 😂

      1
    • recoba 2 months ago

      Inundation…Romped it and looks one to keep on side as that was impressive!

      Let’s go globe trotting as UK and even USA (least things I put up) are giving me little joy so mix it up!

      🇭🇰
      R-9…Buzzinga 5/2
      (I can’t abandon after going close again last run n lightly raced but ATR NAP does look good with a good 2nd himself last run to a horse that went up in grade midweek and was 2nd.
      Wee R/Fc if you don’t fancy picking between top 2.
      Probably end up 6 and 9th! Lol
      🇫🇷
      Compiegne 4.35 Jordan Baker. 3/1.
      Tracker and blah etc it won nicely and 2Kg shouldn’t stop him holding out the others he beat as far from reached ‘his ceiling’ as they say.

      🇺🇸
      Monmouth -R11…Robin Sparkles. No odds?
      A but won a stakes race last time after a long break and write up suggest won’t be favourite, information on Monmouth Park is basically nowt and I only see Bet365 take bets on this meeting I see? Anything round 3/1 be nice. 🤞

      GL all today I’m off to bed , night shift sucks….?

  3. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    1:50 Newcastle- Tommy de vito 15/2

    2:05 Newmarket- believing 6/1

    2:25 Newcastle spy catcher 5/1

    3:30 Newcastle- one smooth operator 9/1

    All these will win 😀

    2
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      E/w lucky 15 above ! Just in case 😂

    • recoba 2 months ago

      Lucky 15 Dazzman…pointless I say?
      See a lot of folk saying this but Yankee or forget it for me,less all big prices as in above 14/1? ;)

      GL mate

    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      The lucky 15 above is 3365/1 if using hills isn’t that big enough odds for a lucky 15 ? 😂 unless you mean the franny bet yeah might just go all in on the nose and hope for the best I know what you mean soon as one loses on a lucky 15 at small prices it’s not worth it better off trying your luck doing for single bets but each to there own . I seem to have better chance of getting money in my pocket doing singles but it’s obviously smaller returns than trying to land a big one but you can always do both 😂💰💰💰

      1
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      £5556 if it wins and about £110 if they all place at a 0.5 e/w £1 in total stake (£15) got to be worth a crack hopefully I can gloat later on 😂🤞

      1
    • recoba 2 months ago

      Yes 1 winners a bit “ Danny” as they say stateside in a lucky 15 for the £4 extra .

  4. recoba 2 months ago

    Auld Lone Star meeting (Race 3) in the US of A last night and my favourite Texan trainer had a stinker with an odds on favourite beat! :/

    Danny Pish your horse finished number 2??

    I’ll get my coat but check it in results! 🤦

    1
  5. jwpepper 2 months ago

    Nc 1350 Be Proud 9/1 E/W 5 Places
    C 1430 Cogital 8/1 E/W
    Nc 1455 Zoffee 16/1 E/W 6 Places
    Nc 1530 Who Dares Wins 33/1 E/W 7 Places
    Nc 1638 Zip 12/1 E/W
    C 1645 King Of Tonga 11/2
    D 1800 Nuble 13/2 E/W
    D 1900 Desert Doctor 13/2 E/W 4 Places with sky
    sky doing tenner back in the 1405 at Newmarket,paddyp free bet both if second third or fourth,Will be doing Believing 6/1.betflair £10 free bet if your horse fails to place in the 1350 at Newcastle.3 places

    3
    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Excellent work there JW, cogital and zoffee 🏇🏇

      2
  6. double carpet 2 months ago

    Emphatic Answer 6/1 ew 2.35 curr

    Pierre Lapin 5/1 ew 6 places 4.50 curr

    Rumbles Of Thunder 9/4 4.50 curr

    Summers Knight 8/1 ew 6 places 3.30 new

    BOL

  7. double carpet 2 months ago

    Apologies ROT is 4.20

    1
  8. postman 2 months ago

    3.05 Curragh – Blackbeard
    4:20 Curragh – Rumbles of Thunder
    7:30 Doncaster – Pending Appeal

    2
  9. CoreyForLuck 2 months ago

    1:15 Newcastle

    Arabian warrior

    5
    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Good shout. Won cosy didn’t it 🏇

      2
    • CoreyForLuck 2 months ago

      Cheers elvis, yea it was a good run. Apparently bet 365 had a price boost on it too ! I got 4/1

  10. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    trushan 3.30

    3
  11. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    trushan 3.30

    3
  12. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    I thought Westover would have won the Epsom derby with a clear run, today has convinced me even more.
    Best of this year’s 3 year old crop so far for me

    • recoba 2 months ago

      Think Desert Crown and Emily Upjohn are best 3yr old I’ve seen, Inspiral although h maybe 4,hopefully see them up against each other in various races but first 2 have massive improvement in them for me.

  13. Poppa 2 months ago

    Hope you are Ok Uncle Pom and that you back Trueshan today

    What a performance

    1
    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Are you related to uncle pom ??

      6
    • recoba 2 months ago

      Sisters

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