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Templehills was an 8/1 winner yesterday…somehow. Not quite sure how he won yesterday, as he jumped like a snooker table. However, I'm glad that I stuck with him and he repaid us for the poor run last time when he was also tipped up.
Huntingdon 2:30
With a lot of forecast rain expected to arrive at Huntingdon and virtually none of the horses in the lineup are expected to enjoy the ground, so a chance is taken on GLORIOUS LADY.
The selection does seem to handle the soft ground which should be around at the time of racing, but she makes her first start for her new yard. Like a lot of recent selections, she will definitely be overlooked in the market, and you can see why that would be the case. She has been transferred from Keith Dalgleish's yard to Cynthia Woods. Cynthia doesn't have an appealing record, but she is definitely a capable trainer, so it wouldn't be too off-putting, but it will be enough to make people dodge this selection. She is 0/35 in the last five year, but has trained winners of PTP races in that time, so even though the stat doesn't read great, it doesn't help when you don't have the ammunition.
Glorious Lady has had two previous attempts over fences, where she didn't run without promise. She was convincingly beat, but showed enough that she could outrun her odds. All three of her hurdles wins came on soft ground, over 2m 4f or 2m 5f, and two came above today's handicap mark (119). She is currently rated 110, and I believe that is a mark she could get competitive off, especially when today's conditions don't suit a lot of the horses she opposes. Tabitha Worsley takes the ride, and she takes off a handy 5lbs. The time off the track isn't that much of a concern as she has won 3x when running fresh before, if you include her PTP win.
I do think she will continue to get bigger in odds due to her form and switch in stables. I'm not going to be playing a normal stake on this one, so a half stake seems more sensible (0.5pt Win).
Huntingdon 3:40
ACHY BREAKY HEART appeals the most in a race where you'd think three horses out of the six can have a chance of winning on the bare form.
With the rain likely to hit, similar to the first race, not many will handle the conditions very well. Achy Breaky Heart has been withdrawn on bad ground before, so if the rain is bad and they believe he doesn't function on it, then I'm sure they will withdraw him. However, based on his pedigree, he should handle the ground, which is why I think he will actually run.
Another reason why I think a big run is on the cards is based on the Jockey booking. Paddy Brennan takes the ride, and when Milton Harris swapped a claimer for an experienced rider, he won. Last time Jamie Moore took over from Mitchel Bastyan, and the horse was well backed and won by 2 lengths. An interesting thing about today is that Jamie Moore is at Huntingdon, but Milton Harris has opted for the services of Paddy Brennan. Paddy is still one of the best around despite him getting on in age. He is currently operating at a 29% SR this season, which is 40 wins from 136 rides (Some going).
The horse is in good form and his current mark should be within reach. He won off a 2lb lower mark in July, and he went close off that same mark last time. The main danger is Railway Muice, and he was hit with a 12lb rise, and that might be enough to halt another win.
Groundhog Day ew lucky 15 🐗🐗🐗🐗.
1st 3 won the same race last year, the last one won on the same card last year.
Small stakes, bit of a laugh 🤣.
2-20 Galway fair minded 10-1
2-30 Huntingdon elkstone 4-1.
5-40 Leicester John Clare 6-1.
3-30 Galway Radnor ladbrok 8-1.
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Soldier at war 2-55 Galway.
7-2 win
11-10 without ilikedwayurthinking.
Not seen since winning at kilbeggan last october
That c**t Elliott won this last year with similar type.
Convection Kempton 5.30 18/1
Gl
Brighton 12.30 SPREADSHEET 5/1 bet365
Brighton 3.50 ANGELS ROC 7/2 bet365
Leicester 2.47 ARQOOB 5/1 widely available
Leicester 5.40 HES OUR STAR 14/1 widely available EACH WAY
would normally have 4 bets in a day but its a one off and like them all
Good luck everyone
wouldnt
bezzas lad 12.30 well done all winners yesterday
Good afternoon,
Just one selection for today and it comes from the 6:30 at Kempton.
Quilted – 6:30 – 9/4 – 365
Roger Charltons runner won last time out at thirsk when upped in trip. Runs over today’s trip with Buick booked for the ride. Quilted looks open to further progress than most in this field. Main danger looks the current market leader Going Gone who escapes a penalty after winning an apprentices handicap at Epsom by roughly 3/4 length however that run was only over a week ago and today’s run I’m hoping for the sake of my selection comes a little too soon.
Good luck for today.
Going gone won by 5 lengths and very impressive.Reverse forecast for me
Only one winner last night in the USA so down on the night.
Done a Yankee and 2x singles with these but prices are going quick with Bet365 although still available at nearly the same prices with Skybet
🐎🇺🇸
Fort Erie-R7…Careful Java 7/4(**** only fifth outing and drops in class after a good show in a stakes race over C&D last time.
Philadelphia-R5…L’ibitdo Charm. 11/8
R7…Milton The Monster (**** Good run after a break and looks progressive so hopefully go one better tonight)
Thistledown-R7…Sugar Sally. 6/5.
GL yoll! 🐎🇺🇸
1-6-9 ctc 447b ☘️☘️
6:00 Kempton – copper knob 8/1
Yes, the police round my neck of the are too 🤣
Neck of the woods 😉
Bet your mrs likes a neck of a wood 😂
Unlucky last
7:30 Kempton – carpentier 7/1 – came close last time gets my vote tonight , bordering nap territory this one 😂
Race 6 finger lakes – remember Normandy 11/1
Don’t know what Bet365 are up to as Careful Java was NR hours ago but they settled it as a loser leaving my cash out way down so I couldn’t edit or do anything!
it’s not switched automatically to a Trixie etc or gave me my cash back for the single??
Strange and wrecked my US racing the swines!!
Well done the winners today n hopefully Milton The Monster can get me a result.
Beltarra-R8…Whiskey Sis 5/1 (** the value bet as he’s beaten the leaders in the market before and is least exposed so hopefully with some improvement can turn the tables)
GL
Bet365 have sorted themselves out now and Milton The Monster and Sally Strong both win so single and 2/3 in what did end up a Trixie.
Still poor by them BUT Whiskey Sis wins too so a good night in the end. 👍🐎🇺🇸
2 small singles and a wee 23/1 double..
Indiana-R5…Lontani. 5/1
Finger Lakes- Vow Of Beauty 3/1
An that’s all she wrote!’
Lontani got jammed in the stalls so single only but won!
Bit pi$$ed that I couldn’t change my selection for one of my last 2 winners in my Yankee with Bet365 making an ar$e of it but!!?? :/
Presque Isle Downs-R7…Midnight Bella 5/1
(** Tracker horse…up in class but improving and running for a new trainer with a good record with new recruits but not a race course etc you can get much information on so small wager,last 2 runs he’s came from WAY back to win when I’d gave up on him so expect him to be closing late again)
GL if ye dabble.