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A close and frustrating day to sum up Glorious Goodwood Day 1. Prince Of America did what I expected, he actually managed to get to the front, and when he did he was brave as ever and managed to grab 3rd, which didn't look likely but as I stated in the write-up he just keeps going and going and breaks horses hearts who challenge him, but he didn't have enough to win. The Goodwood Cup race was a farce, we all know that Quickthorn does that and yet the jockeys allowed it and they couldn't bridge the gap, with Emily Dickinson doing best of the rest into 2nd. The double started off well with Kinross winning, but the second leg finished last. 

Goodwood 2:25 – Fast Response 9/2 (2pt)

If my weather forecast gets this one wrong then I'm in trouble and they should retire the website as Goodwood is apparently forecasting some heavy rain in the early hours of Wednesday and that should continue to the time of racing, which should make this ground a swamp. With that being said, you're going to need a horse that will handle those conditions and has a built-in snorkel in its kit, which I think Fast Response does.

This horse has a superb record when racing on soft or slower. She has won 4x on from seven tries with a further two runner-up finishes. She has won a Class 1 Listed race on heavy ground and finished second in two Listed races as well behind some good horses. She was behind Vadream earlier this season, and that horse is borderline Group 1 quality on heavy ground, so to finish 2nd to her isn't a disgrace by any means. She finished behind Holguin at Chester last time out when Fast Response was given no chance of winning when turning for home being second last, but the ground she made up when they straightened out was quite astonishing. I'm writing this write-up in the morning the day before, so it would be nice if Holguin runs a big race on Tuesday to frank the form, but even if he doesn't I still think it was a very big run by the Karl Burke filly to finish as close as she did on just her second start over 7f, which looks to suit her.

If I'm honest, this race doesn't seem that strong. I can imagine punters will want to get stuck into the more unexposed 3yo's in the race, but I can see many being withdrawn and this 16-runner field being probably half that size come the time of racing, and I think the stand-out claims come from Fast Response who is equally unexposed at this trip and is a proven Class 1 filly.

Goodwood 4:10 – Tropical Island 3/1 (1pt)

a 13-runner 2yo handicap normally wouldn't be my bag, but I feel like Tropical Island could rate a bit better than this field, which doesn't look to be full of star quality.

We've seen it happen at Royal Ascot when a horse has been impressive at one of the Yorkshire-based tracks that the form doesn't amount to much and they aren't as good as what the visuals/times tell you, but I thought Tropical Island ran a belter on debut and it looked like she could progress quite nicely into a potential Class 1 filly. She was slow out the gates at Ripon, but when Oisin Orr asked for her effort she glided through the field on soft ground like it wasn't a problem and won in convincing style. That recorded an RPR of 80, which is a decent effort on debut, especially considering the start she had. She was well-fancied that day, going off as 7/4F, and I think that's got to be taken into consideration as this owner has had some good horses with Richard Fahey over the years and they normally get it right when the money comes. Richard had a similar horse be backed in on debut for these connections called Pretty Crystal, she didn't win on his next two starts but she finished 5th/17 at Royal Ascot in the Albany and then finished 2nd/10 in another Group 3 at Ascot, so I'd imagine they would've been working together and they will have seen that Tropical Island is better than this field.

We know she handles soft ground based on that debut effort and I think she is worth a bet.

Horse Racing Tips
Fast Response
Goodwood - 2:25 pm

9/2 @ Bet365

Tropical Island
Goodwood - 4:10 pm

3/1 @ Bet365

44 Comments
  1. double carpet 10 months ago

    Ash Tree Meadow and Hollow Games in the Plate both 9/1 ew 6 places.

    7.15 Vischio 11/1 ew 5.places.

    Has won twice on the flat in july so in good form and with Danny Mullins back in the saddle I’m expecting a decent run.

    Will look at others tomorrow

    12
  2. double carpet 10 months ago

    8.20
    The 2021 winner Shanwalla is being hammered in the betting and is best priced 8/1 now was 14s earlier.
    This race looks like its been the plan as he ran 27 days ago to get fit having not run since last November and finished 2nd at 28/1.
    He won off 123 in 2021 and is off 119 today.
    Rain due through the night but has won on soft so shouldn’t pose a problem

    8
    • recoba 10 months ago

      Looks good DC 👍

      🇦🇺
      2x singles and a double

      Doomben -R1…Totspur 13/8
      R3…Quothquan. 4/1.

      GL and well done winners yesterday

    • recoba 10 months ago

      🇦🇺 One wins and other 2nd….last!! Lol

      Kenningston -R7…American President 25/1 Ew *+ various
      Small Ew on this horse from my tracker although I put him in it 2/09/21 on which was his 7th run (18th today)as he flew home late to win for me at this distance in a lesser grade BUT plenty places in this grade and been freshened up.
      Comeback run wasn’t the worst.

      GL today folk

      1
  3. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    cool party 1.50 ew saffie Osborne riding out of her skin lately

  4. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    also on her other mount ..cotia vision 4.10 ew

  5. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    breege 2.25 ew baheer 3.00 ew

    1
  6. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    baileysgutfeeling 5.20 ew well done all winners yesterday

    1
  7. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    aldaary 3.35 ew

  8. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    chips and rice 4.45 ew

  9. Super Wilf 10 months ago

    Redcar abandoned

    1
  10. Super Wilf 10 months ago

    Paddington on Bet 365 price boost evens

    🙏

    4
    • Super Wilf 10 months ago

      Never in doubt 🤪

      1
  11. postman 10 months ago

    2:25 Goodwood – Matilda Picotte
    B’ Lucky 😉

    2
  12. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    bergontown 2.10 ew

  13. dazzman1979 10 months ago

    Bookies laughing there heads off again 😂

    4
  14. recoba 10 months ago

    Well cash back for my pick in the 1st race with Skybet.
    ,Kylian and For Jim in 2.45 Perth at 5/1 left in the Trixie

    For Jim. He’s a mudder, his mother and father were mudders! In fact the whole blood line are a bunch of mudders AND today after them… I’m out!!! ☔️

    GL rest of the day folk

    • recoba 10 months ago

      God dang it melon farmer horses and the weather!

      3.35…Inspiral 10/11. TO PLACE top 2 *** Skybet
      Said I wouldn’t but I’m having Inspiral at that and it be 6 ⭐️ if it was a mid bath

      Onwards to ….. 🇺🇸 🌞

      1
  15. recoba 10 months ago

    *Mud bath.

    When you think about it MUD is nothing but wet dirt!? 🤔 😋

    2
  16. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    dappering 4.10 ew other one nr

  17. elvis parsley 10 months ago

    Indispensable 4-10 unglorious goodwood ☂️☔.
    9-4 top 3 finish HILLS.
    9-1 ew 4 places bet365.

    Drifted from 6 to 9-1 which not great but a repeat of its last effort in Ireland beaten a neck into 3rd on soft going puts him in the mix
    Expect tropical island could win for Fahey, he won this last year with the impressive platinum queen

    2
    • elvis parsley 10 months ago

      The rapist 4-45 Goodwood.
      14-1 ew 4 places bet365 🏇

      Sticking with this one who has been improving since handicapping.
      Not run on soft so smaller stake here.
      If it was good he would be a good thing to be placed but it’s pissing down ain’t it ☔

      Will be the first rapist I’ve heard that goes well on SOFT if it wins

      1
    • elvis parsley 10 months ago

      Dark thirty 5-20 Goodwood.
      8-1 ew 5 places SKYBET

      2
    • elvis parsley 10 months ago

      Indispensable 3rd, all good 👍.

      Balding won the race, his horses seem to enjoy these conditions, maybe the rapist can keep his run going in the next….

      1
    • elvis parsley 10 months ago

      The rapist don’t like it soft, beat 85 lengths 🤣

    • elvis parsley 10 months ago

      Dark thirty 4th, place money but won’t be retiring on the few pence won 🤪

      1
  18. recoba 10 months ago

    Sodden UK muck can get too… should called the whole thing off! 😉

    Onwards…

    🫡 🇺🇸
    Not sure what to do bar singles and to many for multiples…. All to place? 😉

    Saratoga -R2…Flying In Style 3/1 ***
    R6…Postnup. 11/4 **+
    R7…Lord Captain 2/1. Skybet boost ****
    R8….Technical Analysis 6/4 *****
    5-1-4. Trifecta
    Thistledown -R5…Sparkling Jewel 9/4 ***
    R7..Gold N Silver 7/4 **
    Finger Lakes -R5…Boxed N Bored EVS ***

    Others with “no stars”
    Saratoga -R4…Olympic Dream 4/1
    R9..Scottish Star 10/3

    GL rest of the day folk 👌

  19. elvis parsley 10 months ago

    No thanks 6-10 Galway.
    16-1 bet365 ew extra 9 places 🇮🇪

    2
  20. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    young Lucy 5.40 ew well done all winners today

  21. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    queen of seduction 6.10 ew

  22. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    foxy jacks 6.40 ew

  23. elvis parsley 10 months ago

    A wave of the sea 6-40 Galway.
    16-1 bet 365 ew extra 9 places.
    33-1 ew 6 places HILLS (small bet)

    Stays as proved in the grand national and ran well in a hurdle prep on this ground recently.
    Fell at the 3rd fence in this last year at 20-1 carrying 11-1, today is 33-1 carrying 10-2 ??.
    Joseph O’Briens only entry in this race.
    Won’t win but luck in running could see a decent placing 🇮🇪
    ——————————————————-

    *** A small side bet here on a similar name horse ***

    Born by the sea 20-1 bet365 ew extra 9 places.

    Always seen to run well at this festival
    Finishing 4-3-2-1-10-5 in various races.
    Carries just 10-0 today 🇮🇪

    3
    • double carpet 10 months ago

      Nice place for A Wave of the Sea 👏

      1
    • elvis parsley 10 months ago

      Cheers mate, pleased with that.
      God these races are difficult aren’t they 🤔

    • double carpet 10 months ago

      They sure are which makes it all the better when you manage to land one

  24. dazzman1979 10 months ago

    Race 1 thistledown- kennadie sky 5/1 nap /nb

    1
  25. Wildhorse 10 months ago

    Hello All

    Galway Festival / Trixie ( Each Way )

    R. 3 – EN OR

    R. 4 – Hewick

    R. 7 – Thornleigh Frank

    Bol & Nice Evening !!

    2
  26. spurs55 10 months ago

    dazzman1979
    4 hours ago
    Bookies laughing there heads off again 😂

    3

    2
  27. duncanpoundcake 10 months ago

    Never a minutes worry Mr Carpet ,well done ,grandad

    3
    • double carpet 10 months ago

      Cheers Duncan won well 👍

    • elvis parsley 10 months ago

      Well in DC.
      Didn’t realise you had tipped the winner in the 6-40 until Mr cake just pointed it out 🏇👍

      3
  28. dazzman1979 10 months ago

    8:20 Galway- glenquin castle 22/1 e/w

  29. elvis parsley 10 months ago

    Lucky last at Galway 8-20.
    Unfortunately no ew extra available which is typical of bet365 if they’re unsure of the markets and so only pay the standard each way 6 places ☹️

    Snugsborough benny 66-1 ew 6 places SKYBET
    Another choice 200-1 ew 6 places SKYBET.

    Another choice shouldn’t be 200-1, if each way extra had been offered I’d fancy it to finish top 10 but as it is top 6 ???

  30. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    zoffney bay 8.20 ew

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