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A Couple of close ones yesterday, with Live In The Moment and Platform Nineteen placing. On both occasions, I was getting slightly excited as they both looked like the winner, only for both to come up short. Today I've gone for three selections which are all juvenile races.

York 1:50

I might be going a little crazy with this selection, but either way, I do like to take a chance. In the opening race of day two of the York Ebor Festival my selection is…DREAMS OF THUNDER. Now, I know full well that this selection will not be everyone's cup of tea, and that's perfectly fine. However, if you are a follower of my tips, then I would heavily suggest reducing your stakes on this selection, as she is currently odds of 100/1.

It would be very easy to put up Sandrine in this race, and if I'm honest, I think she does win, but at 13/8, I'd rather take a punt at something bigger, which could potentially hit the frame and get some decent EW money. Based on the figures of previous winners of this race, Sandrine seems the easy pick, as she is already rated 109, and on average it takes a performance of 109.4 to win this race. She has already beaten a few of these in the past, and there is no chance of them reversing the form, in my opinion. Andrew Balding continues to be in hot form, and is definitely aiming for the trainers' championship, and David Probert is in red-hot form too. I could not put anyone off from backing Sandrine, and I am surprised she is not odds-on, as on the bare form, she just wins.

Every now and again I like to push the boat out when I see a big outsider at a big festival, and this one did catch the eye. Dreams Of Thunder is currently rated 74 after her first three career runs, which unsurprisingly makes her the lowest rated filly in the race. She would need to improve 35lbs on average to win this race, and I am fully aware that is near impossible. But, she could definitely outrun her huge odds, and potentially grab a place. To do so, she would need a couple of them to under perform, and she would need to improve at the same time.

My reasoning for her to be a small EW bet is as follows. I get the feeling that this filly is much better than what we've currently seen on the track, and I believe this because she was an expensive purchase at the Craven Breeze-Up Sale, going for 265,000 GNS, which was the 3rd most expensive sale of the day. She must've been showing something, as there is no way that connections would've got her wrong by that much. Cool Silk (owners), generally are spot-on when it comes to their 2yo's, in the past five years they've had a 17% SR. Also, what is interesting is the fact they're still going ahead with this Group 2 race, rather than exploit her lowish mark of 74, which if they think she is a Group horse, then she would easily rack up wins and potentially some big pots along the way, so the fact they're willing to put that in the bin is a positive in my eyes. Furthermore, she still has a Group 1 entry in the Cheveley Park in September, so I am convinced she is showing something at home. Robert Cowell is 1/3 with 2yo's at York, and is currently having a decent year with his juveniles.

York 2:25

The selection in this race is much shorter than I'd have hoped for, but I'm still going to play him, as I do think he has a strong chance. WINGS OF WAR fits the profile of a horse who normally lands this race, if you're a backer of trends, then this is one for you.

In the last 10 years, this race has been won by horses who have been 87 rated or higher, or hadn't ran enough races to claim their handicap mark:
2011 – Not rated (2 previous runs:85 & 93 RPR's)
2012 – 100 Rated
2013 – 95 Rated
2014 – 95 Rated
2015 – 109 Rated
2016 – 88 Rated (3 previous runs: 70, 71 & 84 RPR's)
2017 – 88 Rated (4 previous runs: 65, 79, 75 & 92 RPR's)
2018 – 87 Rated (5 previous runs: 72, 77, 75, 82 & 70 RPR's)
2019 – Not Rated (1 previous run: 87 RPR)
2020 – 92 Rated
Wings Of War currently doesn't have his handicap mark, as he has only ran twice. But, on his two runs to date his runs have produced RPR's of 80 and 87, and those numbers match up with previous winners of this race from the races before they won it (Unrated horses & the horses rated in the 80s). The previous runs show his level of ability and with natural progression between runs as a 2yo, he appears to be good enough to land this race.

I was impressed with his latest performance at Nottingham where he won very convincingly. He made all, which is a big positive for me, as from Day 1 of this festival, it appears that being prominent is an advantage, so the fact he has raced from the front before is a big tick in my books. Going back to his run lto, he put the race to bed very easily, and wasn't pushed out and wasn't asked for his maximum efforts, so there was probably another gear or two left. The form of that race has actually worked out quite well. The third recently won at Windsor, creating an impression he was a smart horse, winning by 3.5 lengths and producing an RPR of 91. Wings Of War firmly put him in his place, so it was encouraging to see him go and win so convincingly nto. His debut form is working out extremely well, as well. The winner has won a nursery since, but the horses in behind are definitely the ones who franked the form. Mr McCann has won twice, and has ran creditably in Class 1 races, and is rated 101. Maglev won his next race, and was beaten by a head at Chester in a Class 2, and is now rated 91.

This is obviously a competitive race, and there are plenty of enhanced places with multiple bookies, so if this isn't something you fancy, make sure you make use of those offers.

York 4:10

A horse who I am quietly confident of a big run from tomorrow is, MR MCCANN. It may appear that I am just following the form lines of the selection before, but I can assure you I am not, but I do think this lad could carry a big weight and run well.

As I previously stated, York has appeared to be a track which is favouring front runners, which was on show yesterday.  Copper Knight, Royal Patronage and Tweet Tweet were all winners who raced from the front, and arguably stole the race. Mr McCann is a horse who does like to get on with things and bowl out in front, which is what I'm hoping will happen again. To win this off a mark of 101 would take some asking, but he is aided by 5lb claimer Pierre-Louis Jamin, who has hit a good bit of form recently, and had a winner in the closing race of Day 1 at York for Tom Dascombe, who is the trainer for this horse. Effectively, he is racing off 96, and a weight of 9st 2lbs, which is a big help, and will obviously make his life a lot easier. The majority of horses in this race are racing off 8st 5lbs or lower, and chances are they are well-handicapped, hence why they are here for a 36k prize to the winner. There were a few which caught my eye at the bottom of the weights, but I was still more confident of Mr McCann running his race, as he generally always does.

Mr McCann easily has the best form on offer, and that is the reason why he is the top rated horse in the race by a country mile. He was beaten by 2.25 lengths in a Group 2 at Newmarket, with the winner being Native Trail. Native Trail is arguably one of the top 2yo's for Godolphin this year, so the fact that he wasn't annihilated by him and the others, shows his class. The form of that race has worked out well. The second horse, Masekela, won a Listed Race on the weekend just gone, beating a nice horse called Bayside Boy. Dhabab was third, and he was favourite for the Coventry at Royal Ascot, and wasn't beaten far into 6th that day, so is clearly useful. Great Max back in fifth was 3rd at Royal Ascot the time before and was beaten by Point Lonsdale, who is Ballydoyle's #1 juvenile this year. Austrian Theory (6th) was then 3rd next time out in a Group 2 at Glorious Goodwood. And, Mot And The Messer won nto beating Maglev at Chester in a Class 2. In Mr McCann's next race, he was beat by another Godolphin hotpot and Angel Bleu, who has since franked the form.

If I was pushed for a horse to run well at the bottom of the weights, I'd have gone for Bastogne, who seems to be weak in the market. He has form tied in with Aswan, and he is much shorter in the market, which doesn't make sense in terms of the price difference. His wide stall is a worry though.

Related Topics: Racing Tips York
15:50 Ffos Las - Race: 6
Distance: 1m 2f
Type: Flat
Class: 6
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
13
Spirit Level
43-6322

5
Elegant Love
81-8953

9
My Boy Charles
830212

8
Light Of Thunder
57663

3
Sunshine Fun
8/641

14
Beryl Burton
907-032

2
Parikarma
355242

10
Wow William
65-7344

6
Red Derek
328676

11
Baileys Warrior
464483

7
Chifa
54894

12
Hamaron
779060

1
Arctic Victory
0-66674

4
First Charge
51-8060

16:00 Epsom Downs - Race: 7
Distance: 7f 3y
Type: Flat
Class: 4
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
13
Spirit Level
43-6322

5
Elegant Love
81-8953

9
My Boy Charles
830212

8
Light Of Thunder
57663

3
Sunshine Fun
8/641

14
Beryl Burton
907-032

2
Parikarma
355242

10
Wow William
65-7344

6
Red Derek
328676

11
Baileys Warrior
464483

7
Chifa
54894

12
Hamaron
779060

1
Arctic Victory
0-66674

4
First Charge
51-8060

16:10 Curragh - Race: 8
Distance: 1m
Type: Flat
Class:
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
1
Viareggio
4871

4
Dickochea
7762

3
Nectarine
609733

2
Approach To Life
084

5
Gabbys Girl
252679

6
Capoeira
6400

8
Pale Moonlight
009

7
Chutzpal
070

9
Lamprog
09090

26 Comments
  1. recoba 1 month ago

    2x singles and a wee double at near 13/2 Skybet…

    Sardine 1.50..13/8. Money back if 2/3 or 4th
    System 2.25…9/2 (***) won a listed then not disgraced in a G3,best form and hopefully more to com)

    GL all

    1
  2. elvis parsley 1 month ago

    Rizzells dreams of thunder is 35-1 ew extra 6 places 1/5 odds for anyone interested.
    Has to finish top 6 out of 11.
    £5 ew would pay £40 for a top 6 so a 3-1 bet to place top 6 in reality.
    Unless it wins of course then you would need a wheelbarrow to collect your winnings.

    3
    • ourwullie 1 month ago

      Which site is that with elvis?

    • elvis parsley 1 month ago

      Bet365 ew extra.
      It’s now 50-1 ew extra 5 places 1/5 odds.

      Only paying on 5 places because of non runner.
      £5 ew (£10 stake) pays £55 for 5 places or 9-2 in other words.

      1
    • elvis parsley 1 month ago

      If it wins a lot more obviously ourwullie 👍

    • ourwullie 1 month ago

      Cheers. Couldn’t find the 6 place, trying to squeeze an extra place in 👍

  3. elvis parsley 1 month ago

    Darling du large 1-30 Stratford 11-4 NAP 🏇.

    Indeed 3-00 York
    66-1 ew 7 places.
    25-1 ew extra 10 places.

    • Thebigflu 1 month ago

      That sunset was to strong for our pick there 10L that legged it start to finish lol

  4. ew thief 1 month ago

    Morning all well done winners yesterday
    Outside world 1.50y 10-1
    Mojomaker 2.25y 9-1
    Cliffs of Capri 3.00y 25-1
    Whitefeathersfall4.10y 12-1
    Vesela 4.45y 18-1
    Ew singles & ew lucky31 ☘️☘️Gl all

    1
  5. Baggy6870 1 month ago

    Absolute Garbage yesterday, so we’ll have another go today.
    HELLO YOU.. 13.50 ☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️
    KORKER.. 14.25 ☀️☀️☀️☀️
    MAYDANNY.. 15.00 ☀️☀️☀️
    SKYBET…… Good Luck 🤞
    Was going to do the four televised races, but cant see anything past SNOWFALL 15.35.

    2
    • recoba 1 month ago

      Mishriff and Beverley Park won at 10/3 in the USA for the main bets then the heavens opened and it was 3 NRS! 🌧
      Like Maydanny myself Baggy6870.
      I was a tad miffed I didn’t back him last time out at 10/1 but as he was coming back to form and still has more to come I feel in a race like this.

      Think a Trixie with Maydanny to place at 5/2 Skybet with my 2 I’ve posted above be the best bet.

      GL all

    • Baggy6870 1 month ago

      Good Luck mate. 🤞

      1
    • Thebigflu 1 month ago

      Same here with the first at york sandrine 1’50 baldings flying at the minute,.Only thing thats bugging me is the favourite has only won this race once outa the last 5 races

  6. tinmantim 1 month ago

    Asdaa 1905 wolves 9/2

    1
  7. tinmantim 1 month ago

    Now 2/1

  8. postman 1 month ago

    Coupleof each way punts that showed up in my tracker feed this morning.
    3:35 York – Loving Dream
    5:20 York – Spirt of Bermuda
    BOL

  9. cairnzy1878 1 month ago

    Morning/afternoon all!

    York festivals always hard to call especially staking your money on 2yr olds in which the possibilities is endless. Hence Rizzle taking a punt on an 100/1 shot!

    I’ve for a treble ( horses to place ) pays 11/1 at present.

    1:50 desert dreamer
    2:25 wings of war
    3:00 may Danny

    Good luck

  10. Thebigflu 1 month ago

    My bet ranco 1’00,,adace 1’10’ darling du large 1’30,,la roco del fuego 1’40 ,,doing a yankee._ this york is a nightmere so am taking a shot at these today as anything can win this thing,,,oh herberts reign 2’25,,ametist 3’00 snowfall 3’35 hoarrow,,not much on 200’1 it pays as a yankee got be worth a pound

  11. recoba 1 month ago

    Having a wee bet on Darling Du Large ..13.0 3/1 and then it’s all York!

    🇺🇸 USA been good and best to fire up things early..
    Tracker horse that won in fine style on debut!

    Del Mar -R5…Island Life(**** in a huff with this after it won for me coming 2nd last twice but this is great opportunity for figures 1221
    Saratoga-R5…Mote Moonshine. 6/4(***** Tracker horse and superb on debut to win by 8l and should go on in slightly better race with same jockey)
    Thistledown -R5….Point Envy. 11/8
    Thistledown R7…Woodland Walk. 5/2

    GL all today

    1
    • Thebigflu 1 month ago

      Nice i put em in a wee yankee there i haven looked at usa just yet ,i had a bad one last night 2 winners just outa 5 had your few aswell but better luck tonight GL

      1
  12. Sore point 1 month ago

    Chepstow 3.25 GLAMOROUS CRESCENT 5/2

    B thanks for Mondays

    God luck everyone

  13. azzthewigan 1 month ago

    Bashir 3.00

  14. azzthewigan 1 month ago

    divenly 3.35 ew well done all winners today

  15. elvis parsley 1 month ago

    NAP 2nd ☹️.
    Indeed brings in some decent ew money at York 66-1 and 25-1.

    2
    • recoba 1 month ago

      Nice mate!

    • Thebigflu 1 month ago

      Well done elvis i got nothing really got 2 at york just so going to dry my tears by watching a LEGEND comedian called SEAN LOCK its on channel 4 tonight at ten ,very funny man and will deffo make you feel better about todays losses R-I-P SEAN LOCK

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