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The flat is back! which I'm sure many of you are happy about, including Cairnzy, who definitely prefers the flat action, so I'd expect to see some frequent posts coming from him. I prefer the jumps, but at this time of year, the jumps action becomes quite stale, and I am also glad to see a bit of fresh action.

Doncaster 1:50

I'm fairly certain Diligent Harry will have a lot of supporters in the second race of the day at Doncaster, and I can see why that will be case. He has shown plenty of ability from last year, and when it seemed like he was going to be an AW horse, he proved people wrong by putting up a good effort to finish 2nd in a Group 3 behind Happy Romance, who has since franked the form on her travels to Riyadh which saw her finish 3rd in a big prized sprint race. However, there are reasons why I wouldn't be too keen to get stuck into him, and I'm opposing him with GARRUS.

Sometimes us punters like to over complicate things, by trying to find a bit better value, or a bigger priced horse who could well, when in theory, if you back the best horse in the race, they generally do win. That sounds a lot easier than it is, but on paper Garrus is the best horse in the race, and has much better form than the others (in my opinion). He has won a Group 3 in France, been placed at Listed level on a few occasions, as well as winning a Listed race. He's ran well in Group 1's, and there's very little not to like about his résumé. His record when fresh reads 3,1,2,1,1 which is a massive bonus when the majority of the horses coming into are fresh, so to know he runs very well first time out is a big bonus. The ground seems to be drying out every minute, so will be Good at the time of racing, which will suit. Charlie Hills won this race last year, so it's no surprise to see him bidding to retain it, and Marco Ghiani is a good jockey booking, who has done well with the Hills stable: 14 runs, 6 wins (43% SR), extra 4 places, which equals a +£21.50 to level stakes.

Going back to Diligent Harry, he has been keen in his races, so the fact he comes into this off a 175 day break is a big no in my eyes. Chances are that he'll be keen, due to not being on the track for so long, especially when he has a previous of doing so.

Doncaster 3:35

Another favourite which I'm putting up, which isn't something I normally do all too often, but MODERN NEWS must have a huge chance in the Lincoln.

It's obviously a competitive race, but I get the feeling that this horse is a Group horse in a handicap, and that is something you want/need when backing a horse in a Handicap like this. He has already had a run this year, which came in Dubai at Meydan, where he ran a creditable race to finish third, where he was slowly away but ran on strongly, which gives the impression this extra furlong on a track like Doncaster will be right up his street. Charlie Appleby has been quoted saying that the one run in Meydan was always the plan, and then to quarantine him and head for this race, which seems like a smart idea, as he will have a fitness edge on the majority in this race, and the fact this race has been the plan for a while is always nice to hear. He is a previous course winner, so we know he handles the track and likes what it has to offer. Also, the jockey booking of Harry Davies is a very shrewd move in my opinion. We saw how effective it was last year in this race by using a 7lb claimer, when John Gosden won with his apprentice Benoit De La Sayette doing the steering on Haqeeqy. It is a massive help to take those 7lbs off the horse, which means he is middle of the pack with what he has to carry, and the pilot is a very promising apprentice from the Andrew Balding yard, who don't employ rubbish.

Charlie has a fine record in this race, winning it twice in the last 6 years, so it goes to show when he targets this, they need to be respected.

Meydan 12:20

Even though there's some good racing in Britain and Ireland, there's a stacked card over in Dubai at Meydan. AL NEFUD catches my eye in their second race of the day.

How often do we see a horse get a lead on the dirt at Dubai and be extremely hard to catch. Well, let me answer that, plenty of times I've seen it happen. With Al Nefud drawn in a very good stall of 2, I can't see any of reason why Tadhg O'Shea wouldn't want to get the lead, or sit just behind the leader in this race. The only way I can see that not happening is if he breaks slow, but as we've seen on many occasions before with this horse, that's not the case and he likes to run from the front. Last years winner Secret Ambition (also his stablemate) is drawn next to him in 3, and is a horse who also likes to run from the front, so that is why I mentioned he might sit just behind the pace, as there is a strong possibility that Secret Ambition will go from the front, like he did in this race last year. It's interesting that Tadhg O'Shea has opted to ride the 4yo over the veteran Secret Ambition, as he is the stable jockey of B Seemar, so he'll be able to work out whose work is better etc.

The form of Al Nefud's races this year have started to work out quite well. The runner-up in the race he won, has since come out and ran well to finish 2nd again, but then went on to win a Group 3. The third has ran respectably on his next three runs, including being runner-up in a Listed contest on his latest start.

Meydan 1:35

When SUESA made her British debut, she was gambled off the boards into 9/4F for the Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot. I think I tipped her up that day, as I thought she would relish the ground, which was heavy, as she had proven in France that she took to it very well. It wasn't the case, and she ran a stinker. They went and tried her at Glorious Goodwood over the 5f race, where the ground was Good To Soft, and she absolutely hosed up, winning by 3L. That race took a lot of people by surprise as they didn't think she had that kind of speed on a quicker surface (quicker compared to Heavy where she had previously shown her form), and it does come across that she is a better filly on a sound surface. She then struggled in the Nunthorpe, like many of them did, as the winner Winter Power set a lightning pace with Lightning Pal, and the ones who were held up never got involved. She was an eyecatcher in that race, and even though the ground was probably a  shade too quick, she ran on strongly, which gives the impression the 6f that she races over today is worth a try. I don't have problems with the ground, and she is drawn next to the hot favourite, so she'll be able to track his moves. She is a good EW bet in this race against the favourite, especially with the fillies' allowance.

18:03 Catterick - Race: 4
Distance: 5f
Type: Flat
Class: 4
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
2
Glory Fighter
2173-05

1
Militia
5134-66

3
Isle Of Lismore
7089-95

4
Mellys Flyer
441-166

6
Dark Shot
25-0803

5
John Kirkup
68-5016

7
Duke Of Firenze
076560-

18:10 Curragh - Race: 6
Distance: 7f
Type: Flat
Class:
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
2
Glory Fighter
2173-05

1
Militia
5134-66

3
Isle Of Lismore
7089-95

4
Mellys Flyer
441-166

6
Dark Shot
25-0803

5
John Kirkup
68-5016

7
Duke Of Firenze
076560-

18:20 Downpatrick - Race: 5
Distance: 2m 7f 110y
Type: Chase
Class:
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
7
Follow The Crowd
8/8799-2

4
Nuttorridge
4U040-1

1
Manitopark Aa
17P22F-

5
School Lane
14646-2

2
Grangeclare Native
001P07-

3
Kilashee
28P95F-

11
Bitview Colin
890P87-

8
King's Song
253509-

6
Basil's Boy
1097/5-P

9
Think Positive
070009-

10
Cluan Dara
U1900P-

32 Comments
  1. double carpet 2 months ago

    As its the first day of the flat season I thought I’d have a bit of fun in trying to solve the puzzle that is the Lincoln H’cap so here goes

    18/18 Aged 6 or younger

    Remove
    Safe Voyage
    What’s the Story
    Another Batt
    Scottish Summit
    Hortzadar

    17/18 Carried 9st 4lbs or less

    Remove
    Modern News
    Brunch

    14/18 Drawn 9 or higher

    Remove
    Johan
    Mujtaba
    Irish Admiral
    United Front
    Teodolina
    Broken Spear

    13/18 First run this season

    Remove
    Marie’s Diamond
    Note Belle Bete
    Eagleway

    18/20 carried 8st 6lbs – 9st 1lb

    Remove
    Rogue Bear

    15/18 Previously won over 1m

    Remove
    Ametist
    Darkness

    That leaves 1 horse in the shape of REVICH.
    Currently 40/1 but 21/1 for 10 places with ew extra.
    Obviously this is just a bit of fun and not to be taken too seriously as trends are broken all the time including in this race last year. The current fav could be a group horse in a h’cap, but at the odds I’ll give Revich a go.
    I’ve also backed Ametist and Darkness both ew.

    BOL

    7
  2. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Wolverhampton 5:30 – corsini 5/1

    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Kempton 5:00- soi dao 7/1

  3. recoba 2 months ago

    Night cap!

    Charles Town -R5…Hot Fudge Sonde 9/4

    Meydan for me tomorrow.

    Tough races but Pinehurst in 2.10 at 4/1 after his last win in Meydan few weeks back that was supposed prep for this was nice.
    Al Nefud 12.25. 5/2
    Man Of Promise..1.35. 7/4
    Colonel Liam 3.20 at 9/1 looks overpriced?

    Few others like Hukum,Hypocritical Ew look good and Yibir but lacks a run.
    See tomorrow but I’m on Pinehurst and already “horsed” my profit on Life IS Good last Monday at 4/5 so leaving that aside. 😓😉👌

    • recoba 2 months ago

      Charles Town-R6…Brian’s Avenue 3/1

      An that’s DEFO all she wrote!

    • recoba 2 months ago

      🐎💩

  4. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Storm damage 12-20 meydan 10-1 ew (Paddy power).
    Berneuil 1-35 meydan 20-1 ew extra 8 places.
    Aero trem 4-30 meydan 20-1 ew extra 5 places.

    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Storm damage is 5 places at Paddy……..

    • recoba 2 months ago

      Shout Elvis. Looked good to me with 5 places 👍

      Basically a total no show from well backed favourite?

  5. double carpet 2 months ago

    The Irish equivalent is also being run today with a maximum field of 30 runners.
    There’s a strange pattern looking at the draw for previous winners.
    Since 2015 the winners have come from, 5,3,3,1,3,1,5. Based on that it might pay to just stick to those 3 draws again Agitare (3) doesn’t stay 1m properly when run at the pace this race will. True Artist (5) has only ran once over 1m once before and also didn’t see the trip out and Prince of Verona (1) has a lot to find full stop.
    Others that are drawn low include Bowerman who is a previous winner of the race and has won off higher marks than today’s so has to be considered but I’ve had a small ew on SirJack Thomas at 50/1 ew 7 places. Drawn 6, C&D winner, goes well fresh and a 7lb claimer up to put him lower than his last winning mark.

  6. theplug 2 months ago

    Just the one from me today
    Doncaster 3-35 this is a horse that ran very well in this race last year ,so at 28/1 he must be worth a ew bet today 🤞

    1
    • double carpet 2 months ago

      Presuming you mean Hortzadar ?

      1
    • edgeman 2 months ago

      What’s the horse called , plug?

  7. edgeman 2 months ago

    Kelso 1.35 Romeo Brown EW around 7/1.
    GL 👍

    7
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Get in edge man superb stuff ! That’s the Mother’s Day present sorted 😂 cheers 👍

      1
  8. Deb2000 2 months ago

    Don 3.35 Ametist 10/1 EW 1ST 6

    1
  9. ew thief 2 months ago

    Morning all well done winners yesterday
    Living legend 2.05k 16-1
    Star shield 2.25d 17-2
    Moliwood 2.40k 11-2
    Marie’s diamond 3.35d 50-1
    Papa stour 3.55k 16-1
    Pyledriver 3.55m 11-1
    Nick vedder 4.46d 11-1
    Ew singles &. ew super hienz ☘️☘️Gl all

    2
  10. recoba 2 months ago

    Pants in USA last night bar 1 single that drifted to 4/1 but to many places instead of wins!

    Trixie for UK

    Diligent Harry…1.50. 2/1
    Fancy Man..2.05. 2/1
    Kaiser…3.46. 2/1

    Yankee for Meydan

    Al Nefud…12.25. 9/4(* single Rizzles said it all and more)
    Man Of Promise…1.35 15/8
    Pinehurst…2.10 5/1(* 5 free bet on this too.hoping his progression will make him last over the 1m mark)
    Drain the Clock…2.45 9/2

    Already Life IS Good 4/5 in the Dubai World Cup with a decent single or if probably put him in for Drain The Clock as he’s still decent price for multiples.

    GL all today

    • recoba 2 months ago

      * 7/2 not 9/2

      Also scrap that comment at the end it would be a Canadian instead of a Yankee,wouldn’t leave Drain The Clock out. 🤔

    • recoba 2 months ago

      Sucked in?? 😂

  11. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    knowwhatimeanharry 1.15 ew mujtaba 3.35

  12. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    diamond state 1.50 ew well done all winners yesterday

  13. recoba 2 months ago

    No show for Al Nefud!!??

    Skybet offering 13/8 for Manobo and Life Is Good double?

    Watching every race in the glorious sun in the West of Scotland so why not have an intrest in just about all!

    £16 will do and I’m out! 🏦 💥

    GL rest of the day folk !

    • recoba 2 months ago

      As above … sucked in?? 😂

  14. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Well done edge man 👍 nice to get a 8/1 winner on a Saturday! 💰

    3
    • edgeman 2 months ago

      Cheers dazzman. Glad you were on. 😁

      1
  15. Tomobokwa 2 months ago

    I done a lucky 15 I pick 4 horses out off all the tips lads

    3
  16. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    summergrounds 4.21 ew well done all winners today

  17. recoba 2 months ago

    Terrible day with Meydan and the rest but mainly Meydan stakes wise anyway!
    USA no shows then put a big £4 on the Japanese horse Shahryar and wins 13/2!!

    Kaizer in delayed Kelso race and especially Life is Good will need to save the day but US horses having a stinker!

    Well done the winners today few nice shouts.

    1
    • Deb2000 2 months ago

      Life is good simply did not stay mate even with it’s easy looking lead.

    • recoba 2 months ago

      Yip simple as that Deb2000.
      I didn’t get excited one bit when on that lead but i was still surprised looking at his past races?

      Said to someone other day the winner definitely had place claims! Lol
      Kaizer softened the blow a touch and been a great few weeks so it stung but I’ll just need to go without the caviar on my beans n toast!
      Gulfstream-R6..Aristocratic. 10/3 (Should
      come on again from last run but nowt to go mad on in tight race.
      Cheeky Trifecta 7-6-9

      Fair Grounds-R12..Zozos. 9/2. There’s a worthy favourite but Zozos 16/1 for Kentucky Derby so expectations are high!

  18. theplug 2 months ago

    DC ya that was him ran a stinker hope know one was on 🤞

    1

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