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Glorious Goodwood hasn't been the kindest to me this week with the very select amount of tips I have put up. Vee Sight was unlucky to be drawn so wide as Hollie had little chance other than to take a sit and hope they went too fast in front which would allow her to get Vee Sight down the outside and pick up the pieces. I said this would happen, but it was still worth a risk in my eyes and I'm sure we'll get our money back on him when he runs again and probably runs over further as he is bred to improve more once he tries longer trips.
We have unfinished business with MITBAAHY who should have won at Sandown last time out in the Coral Charge Group 3. For some reason, David Egan wanted to find trouble on the inside rail and that gave Mitbaahy very little chance of winning, ultimately finishing behind Raasel who is in today's race. It pains me to see a horse lose when it shouldn't have, but I'm hoping we'll get our money back on him today.
Goodwood is a totally different kind of track to Sandown, so poses a different question than last time, but I think a fast-paced 5f should still suit this strong stayer over the minimum trip. His best runs to date have come on stiff, uphill tracks like Sandown and Hamilton, but a fast pace should negate the fact this track doesn't offer that as that will still turn it into a stamina race, meaning horses like Mitbaahy will be coming late and fast.
Some punters are still favouring Raasel over Mitbaahy which seems totally baffling to me, or am I wearing my rose-tinted glasses? personally, I struggle to see how they don't reverse form unless there isn't a pace collapse, in which case that will suit the winner from last time.
A tricky race and one I probably should be avoided due to the nature of 2yo races and the lack of form which we can compare to another, but I'll be taking a gamble on BOLT ACTION being better than this field, and possibly be a Class 1 winning horse for the future. He'll have to be what I've described him as to win this as he is carrying top weight, which won't be an easy feat for a young horse, but from what we've seen from him in his lightly raced career is that he is a very good horse.
Everyone knows how much I like Little Big Bear from the Aidan O'Brien yard, so the fact he finished sixth in the Royal Ascot Windsor Castle Stakes behind him is of great interest to me. The form of that race has been working out lovely since, with Rocket Rodney winning a Listed Race before finishing 2nd in the Molecomb the other day. Eddie's Boy (3rd at Royal Ascot) won the Newbury Super Sprint and has run with credit since in Class 1 races. Chateau (4th at Royal Ascot) won a Class 1 Listed race the time after and has since finished 3rd at this meeting yesterday in a Group 2. Then you have other little bits of form floating around which still look decent, so the fact Bolt Action ran well in that race bodes well in this, where these horses don't come close to the ones I've just mentioned.
It's a shame he is currently priced up as a favourite, but it's not a ridiculously short-priced favourite, with him floating around 7/2 – 3/1.