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Alan Thomson fancies the Irish to make a quick start at Aintree on Thursday
Aintree 3.25
HOLD your breath for another top-quality renewal of the 2m 4f Betway Aintree Hurdle. Henry de Bromhead and Rachael Blackmore took Cheltenham by storm and JASON THE MILITANT (3.25) can deliver another knockout blow to home hopes.
He rewarded favourite backers with a comprehensive defeat of Petite Mouchoir at Fairyhouse 40 days ago, his first start since losing out in a blanket finish to Abacadabras and Saint Roi in a messy Morgiana Hurdle at Punchestown in November. Abacadabras crashed out at the third flight in the Champion Hurdle but further strengthens the Irish hand.
Former dual champion hurdler Buveur D’air boasts a brilliant Aintree record. He landed a Grade 1 novice hurdle here in 2016, returned to win this race 12 months later before chasing home Supasundae in 2019. It will be a very special feather in the cap of Nicky Henderson if he can bring him back from injury to re-capture those glory days but his comeback second to Navajo Pass at Haydock (heavy) was undoubtedly disappointing.
Evan Williams will be keeping his fingers crossed the track hasn’t been over-watered as Silver Streak is at his very best on a sound surface. Mcfabulous, winner of the 2019 Aintree bumper, was more than five lengths behind Brewin’upastorm at Fontwell but was conceding 6lb to the useful winner. This trip may bring out the best in him.
Aintree 2.50
This year’s renewal of the Grade 1 Betway Bowl promises to be a cracking spectacle, with National treasure Tiger Roll tackling the Mildmay fences for the first time. CLAN DES OBEAUX (2.50) hasn’t quite recaptured the form of his electric victory in the 2019 King George at Kempton but the decision to swerve Cheltenham could prove a wise one by the Nicholls camp.
Native River was beaten 30 lengths into fourth in last month’s Cheltenham Gold Cup but has run well here in the past, thumping Black Corton in the 2019 Many Clouds Chase. Waiting Patiently, a brilliant novice, has had his career interrupted since at various stages but remains a very decent tool on a flat track, as demonstrated by his gallant second to Frodon in this season’s King George.
Aintree 4.05
The 2m 5f Foxhunters’ Chase is another roller-coaster, with 23 runners charging down to the first of the Grand National fences. BILLAWAY (4.05) was pipped by Porlock Bay in the Cheltenham equivalent (run over 3m 2f) and represents Willie and Patrick Mullins with a very obvious chance.
Latenightpass was well held in fourth, fading up the hill, and this shorter trip may help. Mighty Stowaway looked laboured in sixth but has shown winning form on good ground. Best of the home team could be Sametegal, sixth over course and distance in the 2020 Grand Sefton Chase.
Aintree 4.40
There’s little respite in the 18-runner Red Rum Chase over the Mildmay course. Getaway Trump had more than six lengths in hand of Duke of Navan at Doncaster but is raised 9lb for his labours. MOON OVER GERMANY (4.40), one of two Henry de Bromhead runners, ran fourth to well-touted Grand National hope Any Second Now at Navan last month. He romped home by ten lengths in this race two years ago and William Hill's offer of 10-1 (six places ew) should be snapped up.
Venetia Williams brought back Frero Banbou from a wind procedure to score with plenty in hand at Sandown but the assessor must have crawled out of the bed on the wrong side when imposing a 13lb rise. Editeur Du Gite jumped like a buck when making all to score by more than four lengths at Newbury and Gary Moore will be praying for more of the same in what is traditionally a fast-run 2m 4f contest.
2:40 Southwell- dajraan 4/1
3:05 Taunton – theocrat 7/1
4:40 Aintree – Dostal Phil 16/1 e/w 1/4 odds 4 places
2:30 Taunton – SAN AUGUSTIN – 13/2
Put those in your lucky 15 pipe and smoke it !
I rolled it in my lucky 15 pipe, ur thr man dazz lets get it!
Theocrat 👍🏇. Great pick
Thanks Elvis I’ve had better days I’ve had worse haha . Lucky I did millers bank to get me out the shit been working all day so not had chance to do any thing looks like other folk did alright today which is always good to see 👍 onto 2 Moro hey 😀
Ha ha ha 😂😂😂
NOW PAY THE MAN BETFRED
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-lincolnshire-56663830
Fair play to him
Horrible cheating b’stards . Good on him ! I’ve argued over a few pound at the bookies on sheer principle winds me right up . I never moan when I lose nor should they when I win
Dam straight!
“£60.000 as a good will gesture” ??
Justice is served and there’s no loser really from a company that shells in £1.7 mill every few weeks.
Can’t believe they thought they’d win on a “software glitch”
Not the first time from them but I do remember another story.
Here are some stats on trainers and jockeys that have found it hard to have winners at the festival. These are taken from 2010.
0-77 Aidan Coleman
0-32 Henry Brooke
0-25 William Kennedy
0-23 Richie McLernon
1-52 (2%) Harry Skelton
1-42 (2%) Denis O’Regan
1-39 (3%) Nick Scholfield
0-60 Venetia Williams
0-22 Fergal O’Brien
0-20 Kim Bailey
0-17 Noel Meade
0-16 Brian Ellison
0-15 Lucy Wadham
1-52 (2%) Dan Skelton
1-45 (2%) Evan Williams
1-40 (3%) Charlie Longsdon
1-40 (3%) Rebecca Curtis
Colin Tizzard has been by far the most profitable trainer to follow at this meeting over the years with a +101 to €1.00 stake. Be interesting to see how he gets on this year as his yard have been in such poor form for some time now. There was a bit of a revival at the start of the year but is currently on 1-28 4% for the past 14 days which wouldn’t fill me with confidence.
1.45 Paul Nicholls has a poor record in the race with no wins and just 2 places from 12 runners and just 1 5yr old winner in the past 10 years.
Hitman won lto but the race looked very ordinary and needs to find more to be involved here imo.
Henderson has won the race twice and placed twice from just 8 runners. Fusil Raffles 2nd in the Marsh looks the best form on paper but I’m siding with The Shunter, who takes a leap up from h’caps but is progressing with every race.
Hard to know if so many races might take its toll but I’m hopeful of a run for my money at least.
2.20 Won’t be getting involved in this race but will be worth watching.
2.50 Questions to be answered with pretty much all of the field. Waiting Patiently’s 2nd in the King George looks the best form in the race but Aintree tends to suit horses up with the pace rather than hold up horses, and I’m going to go with Tiger Roll. I deserted him at Cheltenham but he well and truly showed everyone he’s still got a lot in the tank and loves the track.
3.25 Another tricky race to work out. Brewinupastorm beat McFabulous 5 1/2 L lto in receipt of 6lbs, there shouldn’t be much between them on that basis. Jason the Militant would have a chance if he can stay the extra 1/2 furlong, but the HDB yard have had 1 winner since Cheltenham I believe, its certainly 1-28 in the last 14 days anyway and that puts me off him. Abacadabras is a bridle horse but travels well in his races. The step up in trip could be a positive for him and I’ll side with him.
4.05 I’ve no real interest in Hunter Chases as I’ve said before, but depending on how things go I might have an ew nibble on Federici. Has a lot to find on ratings but I’m drawn by the booking of Derek O Connor and at 33s with 5 places could be worth a go.
4.40 Moon Over Germany won this in a canter 2 years ago, and plenty of money coming for him to repeat this year, he’s 12lbs higher but Jordan Gainford takes his valuable 7 off. A couple of things turning me off him though are, the stable form as I already mentioned and the fact he’s 10 now. Only 1 winner in the past 10 years was 10 or older. 15 of the last 17 also carried 11-1 or lower.
I’ve gone for 2 in the race both ew
Gaelik Coast 20/1 beat Getaway Trump by 4L at Musselburgh. That day he was getting 4lbs, today he’s getting 13lbs. Donald McCain has also won and been placed in the past from just 5 runners. Brian Hughes has also won the race twice from just 4 attempts.
The other horse is The King of May 33/1 ew who was beaten just over 5L by Zanza back in now but meets him on 10lb better terms. There’s plenty out there tipping Zanza as he was unlucky at Cheltenham when travelling well but if that’s the case then TKOM should go close too and given the odds difference I’d rather be on him. He will also like the conditions.
5.15 All eyes will be on Eileendover. Not a betting race for me but hopefully she can win
BOL
I find it hard to have winners at the festival as well haha 😂
Going to wait to see what yous put up ive had no luck this week at all . But i says cloth cap about 9week ago ,
Just reading that J P McManus has bought The Shunter DC
Great write up DC, do you have another place accum for today?
Yeah heard that postman. Do you know what the fee was?
Penandes
No not today…..too dodgy not knowing how horses and yards will go. Might try one tomorrow once we have a clearer picture
Am clad because these companys rip everyone off and when you win big they shit themselves and wont pay up .
Bigflu
I’ve backed 3 for the national.
Any Second Now 10s
Magic of Light 20s
Taking Risks 40s
Cloth Cap is a ridiculous price and has to be taken on. He should be that just to get around.
GL
Taking risks
Burrows Saint
Potters Corner (last year’s winner) 🤞
Cartoon version of course
Grand national – Milan native – 28/1
You heard it here first ! Haha 😂
The JJ Codd story about having to get down the 10st 5 for the Big Dog that was withdrawn now makes me wonder if his real goal was 10st 6 to ride ML!
True carpet it is ,so going to have a look at your 3 and dazz here
Theres some good looking ones at southwell that R kingscote is on watch out for him
I shall keep my eyes peeled sir !
Here’s my retirement bet for tomorrow, ew lucky 31. just over 2 million 😁
Captain Cattistock 80/1 Aintree 4.05
The king of May. 25/1 Aintree 4.40
Swincombe fleat 66/1 Aintree 5.15
Sassy Dancer. 25/1 Gowran Park 6.05
Marvel Fan 25/1. Gowran Park 7.05
Wish me luck 🤞and good luck everyone
Good luck sir hope you turn a few people into millionaires !
Bookies won’t pay up if Pete gets the lot, especially Betfred, boooo
You should go on bet365 and do this without favourites. lol. you never know.
Some price changes on some of these now 🤞
Easy as I’m the end Pocket Square.
On to better things and Ortiz Jnr doing his usual 👍🐎🇺🇸
*in the end
FUSIL RAFFLES
Adagio
Clondaw Castle
Mcfabulous
Eileendover 5.15 Aintree 5/6
The pros and cons of backing odds on shots is open to debate.
Simply put if you wait for ‘good things’ and price is bigger than it ought to be then ok.
Favourite nationals
Neptune Collonges 33/1 getting up by a nose
Red Rum v. Crisp
I have about 10 online betting accounts. I am glad I forgot my sign in details to Betfred years ago and never bothered to do anything about it.
Congrats to the punter who had strength and means to fight the bookmaker bullies.
My favourite national horse never won the race.
The pilgarlic in the late 70s in the red rum era, was a run of the mill handicapper, but brave as they came when it came to aintree when it was a proper test and not the soft version nowadays.
Came 2nd in the topham then 4th 5th 4th 3rd in 5 consecutive seasons.
Most won’t of heard of him but at a time when I was just getting into racing this braveheart captured my heart.
Elvis .Remember The Pilgarlic well and trained by Fred Rimmel like you say in the same era as Red Rum so always outshone but a great horse..Think the jockey who mainly rode him had the surname Evans so a welsh name for you as well.
GL
Aintree
3-25 Abacadabras 4/1
Aintree 3.25 Silver Streak 16/1
Aintree 4.05 Looking Well 33/1
Aintree 4.40 Zanza 16/1
Dun them all each way at them prices.
Thats all folks and good luck
Latenightpass 4.05 7/1 e/w
Gl
Bit of Hong Kong foolery before the main event.
ATR Guy makes a good case for these
Trixie…
Methane-R2
Grateful Heart-R3
Fabulous Eight-R4(To place)
Be doing a Yankee for Aintree main single is. Billaway…4.05. 3/1.
GL all
Morning All. No bet for last few days .No time put my nose in the racing post to study.
AINTREE
14.20. .Adagio. .11/8
14.50. .Clondaw Castle. .13/2. .E/W
15.25. .Jason The Militant. .3/1
16.05. .Billaway. .3/1
16.40. .Grey Diamond. .8/1. .E/W
GL ALL
Morning all well done winners yesterday
Protektorat 1.45a 12-1
Tiger roll 2.50a 7-1
Buvair d air 3.25a 9-1
Killaro boy 4.05a 11-1
Sully doc aa 4.40a 12-1
Glimpse of gala 5.15a 80-1
Ew singles & ew lucky63 ☘️☘️Gl all
Well done
Well done thief 👍
Few crackers there thief 🏇
Well done e/w 👍
tiger roll 2.50 only horse iv backed today cannot desert him well done all winners today
Well done all winners yesterday
2-00 a dart thrown at opine 1st time blinkers might bring this horse on .decent claimer takes off 5 @ 15/2
Failed….bad start to the day with hitman hitting all my acca s as well if adagio don’t win the next it’s back to Asda with the boiled ham and over to Aldi for a tin of spam
Just popping out
Aintree
1-45 fusil raffles 3-1
2-20 adagio 11-8 NAP.
2-50 native river 4-1 without Clan des oboeux.
3-25 silver Streak 11-4 top 4 finish.
4-05
mighty stowaway 18-1 ew 6 places
Kashmir peak 25-1 ew extra 10 places.
4-40 Gaelic coast 20-1 ew 6 places.
5-15
Heartbreaker 16-1 ew extra 8 places
Where’s Maud gone 18-1 ew 4 places
Taunton
3-40 captain Tommy 11-4 top 2 finish.
4-55 orchestrated 12-1 ew 3 places.
Jumping cost The Shunter there, no doubt
Aintree
14-20
1/ Adagio 6/4 ladbrokes
14-50
3/Clondaw Castle 13/2 2 point win ladbrokes
15-25
5/ Buzz 16/1 3 point win bet 365
16-05 12/ Killaro Boy 16/1 3 points win
23/ Ucello Conti 66/1 2 points e/way Hill
Good luck 🍀 everyone today 😀👍
I had to look twice but there is indeed an eight race card from Meydan
MEYDAN U.A.E
2:30 – Scots Pine
3:05 – Spirit of Light
3:40 – Alkaamel
4:15 – Mutaraffa
4:50 – Endifaa
5:25 – Mailshot
6:00 – Irish Freedom
6:35 – Homespin
Had a spy myself at Meydan mate but uninspiring but had a few £ on one.
Cocobai..3.05(**) 5/1.
Gahyder and R.French on board are always a great combination at Jebel Ali and horse won by 6l last time out. Tougher race obviously but 5/1 ain’t bad.
GL
Just backed Monmiral for the Arkle 22/1 pp
Very impressive
Great minds think alike.
Kevin Blake’s 3 best bets match AT (minus Billaway)
I see that Sir Alex Ferguson is 3-0 up in Liverpool again 🤣
Well in Clans De Obeaux I was giving up if you didn’t win there,best horse finally turned up with a great win. 10/3 end up a steal!
Great shout in the 1st Ew Thief!
BONKERS BET
3-25 aintree miller’s bank
100-1 ew 4 places
25-1 ew extra 6 places
😂😂😂😂😂
Cracker elvis
Think I’ll stick to bonkers bets 😂
Brilliant 👏……only just seen it though 🤦♂️
Only put it up 10 minutes before the off, last minute rush of blood 😂
Abacadabras 5/1 boooooooom what a good ride by kennedy
Well done plugster 🏇
Well done 🔌🔥
With Abba winning have had that nibble on Federici
4-05 aintree
Small stakes
Cousin Pascal 100-1 ew 6 places
20-1 ew extra 10 places
And Kashmir peak same race
250-1 ew 6 places
50-1 ew extra 9 places.
Small small stakes
Great stuff Elvis
Well done Elvis 🔥
Still available at the price Bet365 but money’s coming…
Kneeland-R1…Destinegue. 5/2(*****)
Beat 3rd favourite and by 5l after a break so turns up in the same form it will take some beating in only 5th start. Few Wesley Ward horses in there but Saez/Cox combo is very good.
Booooooooom.
Gateacre Pete will have loved that one 🏇
Booooooooom.
Gateacre Pete will have loved that one 🏇
Well done again 👏…..I missed it again 🤦♂️🤣
Nice tipping elvis you’ve got em all shook up ,
Well done elvis. Brilliant tipping mate 😄
Balliway didn’t like Aintree hurdles at all. Nice fir the owners of the winner but.
Trixie for the USKneeland-R1..::Destinique(*****)
R6…Southern District. 11/4
Gulfstream-R6. Florida. 11/8
GL rest of the day folk.
*Florada
Not Florida and is my Nb
Like Wesley Wards favourite at Kneeland R2 but poor price for debut so stuck with the trixie.
Lucky last 5-15.
Favourite too short at 8-11 which means a couple of outsiders should place.
Heartbreaker
40-1 ew 4 places
16-1 ew extra 8 places
A rare Michael bell runner on nh.
Cobden interesting jockey booking.
Only won on debut 9 days ago.
Could be anything really, worth a few quid for interest.
Didn’t have a bet today as Aintree never seems to be a lucky hunting ground for me, and looking at the results I would have been well down.
However, just in from work, and after watching the last race, anyone on the Skelton’s horse must be raging at how far back he had it from the pace.
Yeh Jim I bet Elle est belle myself and Skelton obviously thought he only had Eileendover to beat tracking her and she flopped and never took him into the race Rachael kindy stole it in the inside.
Money been coming in for mildean Felix 6:50 Chelmsford all day it’s now 12/1 not sure if this is worth a e/w stab in the dark just in case ? Haha
last night i wondered where jason watson was. today he appears. even money so not for me but universe provides again. wouldn’t youch felix regardless, dead last in almost every run happy to avoid
Yeah I rarely let the market influence my betting if anything I go against it but I saw this and just wondered . I will chuck a few quid on I would rather do that than put it on the fav win or lose it’s fine I just don’t want to be kicking myself later on if it does win haha
Money back no harm done , those who got on at 40/1 would be smiling I’m sure
Well done all the winners today I’m sure the worse of the threads damage is yet to come not so great from me but scraped through to fight another day just about haha
7:50 Chelmsford- nosey Parker for me @ 9/2
Race 8 gulfstream- Alexandra am I – @ 20/1 e/w
Race 8 gulfstream- Alexandra am I – @ 20/1 e/w
Race 9 – delta downs – my pal Torres – 5/1 nap
Race 5 delta downs – lyonnaise- 25/1 e/w NB
Seconditis so far in the USA!
Turf Paradise-R3….Bella Figuera. 2/1. (***)
Suck me sideways 2nds!! 🙄🇺🇸
Onwards…