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Simon & Ed Crisford's Nathaniel Gelding looks to have a cracking chance of breaking his maiden tag in the third race at Doncaster.
This race looks between four horses, and I think LINE OF DESCENT is the one to be on, despite being quite short in the market.
His run on debut was a great start to his career, as he was given an educated ride by Adam Kirby who didn't go too hard on him once he knew that he wasn't going to win. Despite the fact Adam did that, he was probably surprised with the way he picked up and stayed on late in the race, as he finished 3rd, and it looked like he would be better over further.
The form has worked out quite well, with the 2nd horse winning twice, and the 5th horse winning once. There have also been many placed efforts/good runs in defeat by a lot of the horses in the field, so it looked quite a decent Maiden race.
Today, they have decided to put him up in trip, and as I previously stated, I think that will suit. He's by Nathaniel, so you'd be quite confident that he would have the stamina for this trip, and potentially slightly further. The fast ground should be spot on, as Nathaniel's progeny seemed to handle most ground, but has a decent SR on fast ground, also his Dam's best form was on quick ground.
Neptune Seas is an interesting newcomer, but he'll have to be quite smart and ready on debut to get the better of Line Of Descent who has already shown a good level of form, and he will hopefully improve from his debut run. I also have doubts that Neptune Seas will stay this trip. He's by Sea The Stars, but he has many siblings who have had stamina from the Sire side, but have turned out to be 6f-7f horses, and have taken after the Dam side, that could also be the case for this one.
Gowran Park 5:30
MODDY PODDLE is looking well handicapped based on her last run. She ran on strongly at Leopardstown and made eye-catching ground, and was put up 3lbs for that run, which could be lenient.
The form of the last race is starting to work out quite well, with the winner winning again, and the second horse has finished a head second. That race was only 10 days ago, so the form is still fresh, and it wouldn't surprise me to see further winners coming out of that race.
This is an apprentice race, so Siobhan Rutledge takes the rdie, and she takes off a handy 2lbs, which technically means that he she has only been raised 1lb for her last run.
Sheila Lavery hasn't had the greatest start to this flat season, but in the last couple of weeks she's had a couple of winners, and a few of them have been placed or ran well in defeat, which is an encouraging sign that things are bouncing back.