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Good day for Tuesday's action with two of the three selections winning. I was gutted not to land the clean sweep as I was expecting a big run by Lakeside Lad. That horse didn't jump which fluency at times, but was slowly getting into contention before being badly hampered and that put his race to bed. 

Chester 2:40

This is a fairly average race for a Class 1 Listed race, but that could be a little harsh as they are all lightly raced fillies who are obviously going to improve this season. With that being said, I couldn't touch any of the horses at the top of the market based on what they've shown or is simply too short (Above The Curve). The one which I like is drawn in stall 1 and could potentially make the running and not see another horse. MOON DE VEGA could improve plenty this year, and this could be a nice starting point for this filly.

The draw bias at Chester is arguably one of the important factors compared to any other track in the country. Having a low stall number is a huge advantage due to the track being totally round and you're pretty much always running around a bend. The fact Moon De Vega is drawn in Stall 1 and the fact she has run from the front before is a positive in my eyes, and she is worth a small EW bet in this. She's not had a run so far this year, which is always going to be a concern, but they could've easily gone for a handicap off a mark of 80, so I get the impression she'll be spot on for this. Ralph had a runner in the 1000 Guineas who didn't have a prep run, and she managed to finish 2nd, so that's a good indicator of what to expect in terms of fitness.

The pedigree of this horse is eye catching, being by Lope De Vega out of a Azamour mare. That is a very nice pedigree and is a pedigree which suggests any juice in the ground will be an advantage. Chester is expecting quite a bit of rain from now (10pm on Tuesday) to the start of racing, and that could see the track go anywhere from good-to-soft to soft (if accurate). This horse has already won on soft before, so if the rain comes I'd expect this filly to shorten in price.

Chester 4:45

A very competitive 7f race but the chances for BROKEN SPEAR seem nice enough for me to back him at his current odds. I read the Betfair article which was composed by Daryl Carter today (does it most days in Tony Calvin's absence) and he mentioned how ratings are commonly misused. By that he meant how people say horses are “well handicapped” because they have dropped below their last winning mark etc, which is true and does get said a lot. He said the horse will be well treated and well handicapped off that current mark if today's conditions are suited and it's not just as simple as dropping to a certain mark. I totally agree with what he said, and I think this horse has those comments applied to him today. Off his current mark of 84 (79 with 5lb claimer) I think he is well handicapped based on today's conditions (track and potential ground, if the rain comes) and at the odds I think he is a worthy EW bet.

This horse won this race last year at odds of 25/1 under today's jockey, Kieran Schofield. He won this race off a mark of 85, so a pound heavier than this year, and he had similar conditions for this years race. He was drawn in 3 last year, drawn in 5 this year, so has a handy draw if breaking well. The ground was Good to Soft, which will hopefully be the ground for tomorrow (softer wouldn't be a problem either) and he likes this track. He's ran well so far this year when you consider he's been running over a mile, which is a trip which doesn't suit as it's a furlong too far for him, and his stamina doesn't quite last that distance, so the fact he finished 5th in the Lincoln which has produced some good form since, is a cracking run. The race after at Redcar has produced some good form as well, and he came with a chance in that, but his stamina folded in the final furlong. As for his latest run at Redcar, I think you can cross that off and give him another chance, as they are not robots and they do have off days.

12:00 Southwell - Race: 1
Distance: 2m 4f 88y
Type: Chase
Class: 5
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
2
Do It For Thy Sen
544342-

3
Salamanca School
17241-5

5
On The Bandwagon
5/366PP-

1
Templebredin
753/26-P

6
Diamond Rose
75332-3

4
Chapati
0212P6-

7
Wells Gold
6/0U7P9-

12:15 Bath - Race: 1
Distance: 1m 3f 137y
Type: Flat
Class: 5
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
2
Do It For Thy Sen
544342-

3
Salamanca School
17241-5

5
On The Bandwagon
5/366PP-

1
Templebredin
753/26-P

6
Diamond Rose
75332-3

4
Chapati
0212P6-

7
Wells Gold
6/0U7P9-

12:20 Punchestown - Race: 1
Distance: 2m 115y
Type: Hurdle
Class:
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
16
Ballybawn Belter
1-

1
Ballyquin Bay
8-

14
Vocito
43535-2

10
Red Glory
/-

18
Female Approach
/-

2
Cadatharla

20
No Conscience
8

17
Carbon Zero
5-4

25
Izeo

23
Mont De Pail

21
Poker Night
9

11
Roman Parish

6
Natural Ability

7
Open The Gate
7

24
Lodilomoco

19
Lenebane

3
Elle Dorado Rock
F-0

8
Pharisees
7-0

9
Plough On
00-

12
Sawbuck
70-

13
South East Star
0-

15
Word Of Wisdom
P

4
Lihyan
U6-

5
Luck Of The Irish
0

22
Snugsborough Jc
0

38 Comments
  1. dazzman1979 3 weeks ago

    2:35 long champ- Darabijr 5/2

    6:10 fontwell- Dhowin 11/4

    1
    • dazzman1979 3 weeks ago

      Least I got one In I suppose ! Thought the other was a shoe in the way the market suggested

  2. postman 3 weeks ago

    The force is strong on these ones today.

    1:50 Newton Abbot – Rough Vif – 7/4
    2:15 Kelso – Goodtimes Badtimes – 11/4
    6:40 Fontwell – Rubys Reward – 6/4
    6:30 Kempton – The Mad Monk – 5/4
    7:30 Kempton – Light Lily – 2/1

    Good Luck and May the 4th be with you!

    3
    • dazzman1979 3 weeks ago

      May the 4th be with you

      2
    • postman 3 weeks ago

      Crashed & Burned 😡

      Back to the Darkside for me.

    • dazzman1979 3 weeks ago

      Blame the brown envelopes!

  3. dazzman1979 3 weeks ago

    I heard Chris Eubanks say that once

    1
  4. Sore point 3 weeks ago

    sorry gone mad today 5 bets often dont have that many in a week.

    Chester 3.40 EVER GIVEN 11/4

    Newton Abbot 4.30 BLUE BIKINI 7/2

    Fontwell 5.35 FOUNTAINS CHIEF 5/2

    Fontwell 6.40 RUBYS REWARD 6/4

    Fontwell 7.10 FORWARD PLAN 3/1 Bet365 only others lower

    Good Luck Everyone

    10
  5. recoba 3 weeks ago

    2x singles and a double for Chester…

    Star Of Lady M…1.30 6/4 Grounds softened in his favour)
    Above The Curve…2.40. 10/3 (won with bit in hand last run)

    🇭🇰 Small stakes Yankee and 2x singles for Sha Tin. Only Sun Of Mafki from myself and going with ATRs Tim Carrol for the rest who’s on good form.

    R1… True Legend 11/10 (* ATRs NAP)
    R6…Sun Of Mafki. 5/2
    R7..True Legend 10/3 (* Nb looks good value)
    R8…Lighting Bolt 2/1

    GL all

    • recoba 3 weeks ago

      I meant to say Star Of Lady M is Skybet money back if finishes 2nd. Not best offer but small field and better than nowt.

    • recoba 3 weeks ago

      2.40 is money back up to £10 with Paddy Power.
      Going to have a wee R/forecast on Night Battle and Above The Curve in the 2.40.
      Certainly no 2 horse race but looking at there times it’s worth a £1 or 3

      GL all today

  6. jwpepper 3 weeks ago

    C 1645 Ffion 13/2 Freedom And Wheat 12/1 E/W 5 Places with sky
    sky doing tenner money back if second in the 1330 at Chester

  7. theplug 3 weeks ago

    3-40 Chester Ever Green 9/4 nap

    2
    • recoba 3 weeks ago

      Was looking at it ThePlug for a Chester Trixie mate and as I posted Sore Point had it up too and now your on so I’ll have a bet.
      Poor start there with Star Lady M but on wee go…

      🇺🇸
      Not bad Stateside last night with 2/4 in th Yankee and a single plus other unposted winners 😉

      4 fold of favourites let down in last leg! 🙄

      Not great again with Kentucky at the weekend

      2x singles and a double OR just the double as they are short priced.

      Beltarra -R6… Pole setter. 10/11 ( Auld favourite of mine from my tracker and a prolific winner that should relish being back down to this grade
      Tampa Bay -R6…Morgan Field 6/4

      Double pays a decent 3.77/1 Bet365

  8. azzthewigan 3 weeks ago

    eritage 1.15

    3
    • theplug 3 weeks ago

      well done AZZ

      2
    • azzthewigan 3 weeks ago

      cheers theplug nice nap from yourself as well well done

      1
  9. azzthewigan 3 weeks ago

    navillo 2.05 well done all winners yesterday

  10. azzthewigan 3 weeks ago

    morning poem 2.40 ew

  11. elvis parsley 3 weeks ago

    Pocket the profit 3-40 Chester 3-1.
    It’s Ryan Moore so his fault if it loses 😄

    1
    • theplug 3 weeks ago

      ELVIS
      I AM AFTER BACKING 2 OF RYAN MORRES WINNERS ALREADY, BUT I AM HOPING HE DONT WIN ON POCKET THE PROFIT AS I HAVE MY NAP IN THAT RACE🤣SORRY HOPE ONE OF US WINS

  12. ew thief 3 weeks ago

    Tolstoy 3.40c 11-1☘️☘️Gl all

    3
  13. theplug 3 weeks ago

    NAP FLYS IN 9/4

    5
    • postman 3 weeks ago

      1
    • recoba 3 weeks ago

      Pi$$ed it.
      Wee forecast on Godolphin in 4.15 does the business too! 👏

    • dazzman1979 3 weeks ago

      Well done napper 💰👍

  14. recoba 3 weeks ago

    Lovely gents I should went with Ever Given!
    Used my money back from Above The Curve and more plus Live In Dream earlier too so turned out not 3 bad!
    Wrong picks for multiples but!?
    Usual!🤷‍♂️

    Onwards and well done the other winners and few more to run and win hopefully

  15. Luke M 3 weeks ago

    Such a poor ride on Broken Spear. The horse was in last for most of the race but made excellent progress when given a clear run.

    2
    • Luke M 3 weeks ago

      Kept on for place money which is good though.

      1
  16. dazzman1979 3 weeks ago

    F£@cking Ryan Moore day today ain’t it 😡😂

    1
    • recoba 3 weeks ago

      Backed a couple thank France but zero confidence and lost on my main bet?

      He’s back!!?? Lol

    • dazzman1979 3 weeks ago

      The mans a tease ! 😂

      1
  17. recoba 3 weeks ago

    🇺🇸🐎 💩

    Tampa -R8..Ballymena. 4/1
    Thistle-R7..Churchilled. 6/4

    Add to Morgan Field as above for Trixie or with Pole Setter for a Yankee.
    I’ve done the Yankee with Morgan Field and just left the double as advised earlier although Ballymena looks worth a few $s at 4/1.

    Be lucky to see any it’ll be replays but GL whatever you do IF you do! 🇺🇸

    Same prices so far Bet365

  18. azzthewigan 3 weeks ago

    lady anna 6.20 we well done all winners today

  19. ew thief 3 weeks ago

    Tiare 6.30k 12-1 ☘️☘️Gl all

    1
  20. azzthewigan 3 weeks ago

    ew

  21. azzthewigan 3 weeks ago

    Tara niece 6.40 ew

  22. recoba 3 weeks ago

    Some game of soccer that!

    Small stakes Trixie for late USA racing as I’ll be up.
    Trying to find picks away from favourites,poor races so hard to gauge but here they are…

    Evangeline -R2…Ironit 9/2
    R4…Vancouver Snow 10/3
    Charles Town-R2…Count The Shells 9/2

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