MFT RacingTips Safe 02

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Day 2 of Punchestown/Perth wasn't great, with an unseat at the first for Brides Hill and Andy Dufresne Unseating after some late money arrived for him.

The Brides Hill is one of the strangest unseats/jumps I've seen from a horse who has a Class 1 under their belt, it was like she had never seen a fence in her life.

Punchestown 4:15 – Douglas Talking 7/2 (1pt PaddyPower)

I'm a big fan of Lucinda Russell; she sends over Douglas Talking to Punchestown and I think that could be a good bit of placing. This horse has been in great form and put in a career-best at Aintree a couple of weeks ago to finish second in a very good Grade 3 handicap which produced an RPR of 144, where he possibly could've won if he didn't jump the last not as fluent as the winner. The winner was prepped for that race, more than likely being his main aim for the entire season, as he went close the year before, so it's no shame in losing to him. Douglas Talking is racing off a 1lb higher mark today, which is very nice of the Irish handicapper as he would've been running off a 5lb higher mark if racing in the UK. He is a front-running horse who jumps well for the most part and he will enjoy this track.

Punchestown 5:25 – Klassical Dream  10/3 (2pt WHill)

Punchestown tends to bring out the best of Klassical Dream and I think he could show a big level of improvement from his Cheltenham run where Willie Mullins has come out and said that it was a struggle to get him ready for the Festival and that he is in a much better place now. He has won this race the past two years, so it's clearly the time of year which is right for him, but also the track. I don't think he is a supreme stayer over 3m, but this isn't a real test of stamina like Cheltenham is and I think Paul Townend might opt for a front-running performance with Klassical Dream. With no Flooring Porter in the lineup, there seems to be a lack of pace in this and we've seen Klassical Dream run from the front and do well under that style, including when winning the Grade 1 at Leopardstown in 2021.

Punchestown 6:00 – Rebel Ivy 33/1 (0.5pt ew 6 places B365)

My longshots haven't run too well recently, but I still believe they are overlooking Rebel Ivy in this and though it's always tough for Mares to win against the Geldings, I think she is more than capable of running a big race. I think she has been crying out for this kind of trip, so it's a surprise this is the first time she's running over 3m. She won a Listed Mares race earlier in the season when the like of Queens Brook was well behind, that horse did underperform, but you can't take away from what Rebel Ivy did. That was over 2m 6f and she stayed on well that day on soft ground. She has run well in handicaps as well this season when finishing 3rd and then finished 6th on her last start when she came from miles off the pace over 2m 3f, looking like a horse who would relish a step up in trip.

Perth 2:30 – Caboy 9/4 (2pt)

This race looks very weak, and though I'm siding with Caboy who isn't the strongest stayer and has questions to be answered over 3m I think he is the one they all have to beat. He is the horse in the best form in this race, and based on his recent run at Newcastle you'd have to say that this step back to 3m will suit. Patrick Wadge takes the ride and takes off a further 5lbs, and that is daylight robbery as far as claiming riders go as he is mustard and looks like a real top jockey in the making.

Perth 4:05 – Castle Rushen 3/1 (1pt PaddyPower)

Castle Rushen was a previous selection for me when running over fences at Newcastle over 3m when Brian Hughes tried sneaking him into the race late in the day after being off the bridle, he was coming strongly in the straight and looked like he could play a huge part but he fell late on in the race. Based on that run it looked like he was a real stayer, probably comparable to a sloth or a boat for how slow he is, so I believe today's trip of 3m 2f, albeit over hurdles, will play to his strengths. He used to be a decent horse and he finished second in a Listed race at this track a couple of years ago, finishing behind a progressive Nicholls horse at that time. The weight he has to carry is a concern, but he's been racing in decent handicaps and this doesn't look as tough, so I'm hoping for a big run, where hopefully his stamina will be the main factor.

Horse Racing Tips
Douglas Talking
Punchestown - 4:15 pm

7/2 @ PaddyPower

Klassical Dream
Punchestown - 5:25 pm

10/3 @ William Hill

Rebel Ivy
Punchestown - 6:00 pm

33/1 @ Bet365

Caboy
Perth - 2:30 pm

9/4 @ Bet365

Castle Rushen
Perth - 4:05 pm

3/1 @ PaddyPower

20 Comments
  1. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 2 years ago

    🇺🇸 re 🧢 Crud!!
    1 winner and went with favourite in R8 Keeneland after Nap withdrew, only for Mrs Yearman that was also in my notes from last October to take a massive leap in grade in his stride at 13/2!
    Was in a tricast but favourite wasn’t in even in top 3! 🤷‍♂️

    🇦🇺
    Double and a single…

    Pakenham -R3…Elle Dee 8/11
    R7…Morpheus Braga 2/1 Skybet boost /***

    GL all today 👌

    1
    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 2 years ago

      🇦🇺 👎

      Not great (⬆️) but onwards annd off to France for an Ew bet.
      Know it’s a late shout but French always late so put it up for SMALL Ew play .
      On lunch break and ATR trackers popped up with Michelangelo in 12.50 and Skybet go 5 places.

      🇫🇷
      Michelangelo…12.50. 11/1. /**. Ew
      Marked him down after impressive debut then was 3rd in a Stakes that American Flag won and he’s came out and won on his return.
      Poor last run before break but at the price hopefully better for the break and most of all trainer has good record after lay off.

      GL all rest of the day

      1
    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 2 years ago

      9/1 by time typed that!

      1
    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 2 years ago

      Cheers ATR no heads up for 13/2 winner in USA yesterday but “DING” here’s a Pepe Lè Pew for you!

      1
  2. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 2 years ago

    lynsando 1.50 ew

  3. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 2 years ago

    Kingston bridge 2.00 well done all winners yesterday

    1
  4. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 2 years ago

    honaur de silova 2.10 ew

  5. Avatar of John Mulhern
    spursman 2 years ago

    Small L15

    Perth 2.00 Petite Rhapsody
    Perth 2.30 Flying Verse
    Bev 2.20 Dandy Dinmont
    Perth 4.05 Shoeshine Boy

    🙂

    1
  6. Avatar of Ewthief
    ew thief 2 years ago

    Afternoon all well done winners yesterday
    May blossom 2.20b 12-1
    Temper trap 4.00b 22-1
    We’res Jeff 4.35b 12-1
    Crosstitch 5.08b 16-1
    Papa stour 5.40c 15-2
    Spirited guest 6.15c 7-1
    Ew singles & ew lucky63☘️☘️gl all

    2
  7. Avatar of RFC-JazzaJN
    RFC-JazzaJN 2 years ago

    Sire Du Berlais must rate an each way bet at approximately 7/1 in the feature at Punchestown.

    1
  8. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 2 years ago

    wild shot 3.40 ew

  9. Avatar of theplug
    theplug 2 years ago

    Teahupoo 2/1 Today is the day 🤞

    1
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 2 years ago

      Nearly had it ! 👍

  10. Avatar of SPURS55
    spurs55 2 years ago

    16:00 Beverley – 1m Hcap

    Emperor Caradoc

  11. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 2 years ago

    Punchestown
    5-25 Klassical dream 7-2.
    Looking for a hat trick of wins in this race.

    6-00 legacy thor
    40-1 bet365 ew extra 10 places.

    7-10 bonnie Kellie 20-1 ew 4 places

    4
    • Avatar of Elvis Parsley
      elvis parsley 2 years ago

      A horses for courses win for klassical dream if there ever was one.
      Thats 4/4 at the punchestown festival now for this former Cheltenham supreme novice hurdle winner 🏇👍

      2
  12. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 2 years ago

    Anyone got news about DC 🇮🇪 ???

    He would be all over these punchestown races in normal circumstances.
    Hope he is alright 🙏

    2
    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 2 years ago

      Thought crossed my mind earlier Elvis.
      Hopefully rolling in the winners. 🇮🇪

      1
  13. Avatar of John Mulhern
    spursman 2 years ago

    Punchestown 6.00

    Ballyshannon Rose

    🙂

  14. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 2 years ago

    Took long enough but sifted through most races and trackers lit up like ‘Time Square’ It’s that time of year and lots needing runs but with workouts it’s far from as big a deal as in UK etc

    🇺🇸 Let’s have at it!

    Canadian and singles.

    Thistledown-R7…Kitchi Kitchu 5/2
    Gulfstream -R5…Kaeko 5/2 Nb/****
    R7…Imorna. 11/8
    Aquaduct -R6…Jake Rocks. 7/4 Nnb /***
    Keeneland-R8…Non VIOLENCE 4/1 Nap/****
    7-1-3 Combo Tricast

    All Skybet.

    Others that didn’t make the cut for a $ or 2 or to place or to swerve!?

    Gulfstream -R6…Empire Attraction 11/2
    Keeneland-R7…Gromantine 5/1
    Aquaduct R5…Freudian 2/1.
    R7..Franks Art 3/1

    GL and well done to the any winners today.
    Talked me into Klassical Dream Rizxle so TA! 👍

    2

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