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What a crazy ride by David Allan on Garden Oasis at Ayr last night. When I said he'd get an easy lead and set his own fractions, I didn't expect that. When the pack started to close on him I was thinking of some expletives in my head, but credit where credit is due, he gave him a belter of a ride and did get the fractions spot on.

Haydock 2:40 – Truthful 13/8 (1pt Bet365)

All of the hype of this race will revolve around Shagpyle (what a name) due to her being a half-sister to the stable legend, Pyledriver, but I wasn't too impressed with her performance that day even though it was a promising debut effort. She is by Frankel, and the Dam was good on soft ground, so it wasn't a surprise to see her relish the soft conditions at Ascot on debut, and based on that run I think she is going to be better on that type of ground. I think she will enjoy the extra furlong and a half as it was a good staying performance, but I worry about the ground and it wouldn't surprise me if she is pulled out and we get a big rule 4.

I like Truthful against Shagpyle and I think she made an equally as good of an impression as Shagpyle did, but the thing which I like the most is that she will handle the quick conditions, and that's for a fact. She is a full-sister to stablemate, Sea On Time who came to Haydock around this time last year and won her first race on the second appearance over today's trip on quick ground, and she hasn't looked back since. She has since won a further two races over 12f and has recorded an RPR of 110 on her last start, so I expect the same kind of trajectory for the career of Truthful. I thought she still learning on the job on her first run, but when the penny dropped she battled on very gamely. Based on that run, I wouldn't say she is going to be as strong of a stayer as Shagpyle, but Salisbury is a stiff track, so I expect her to get the extra 1.5F at Haydock, especially when I think the race might be a bit of a crawl.

Montevideo is the most likely front-runner, like your typical Johnston horses. However, I don't think she is a good stayer, so I expect Joe Fanning to turn this into a bit of a sprint, and I think that might suit Truthful who sat close to the pace last time.

Haydock 5:20 – Greek Order 11/10 (1pt)

This one might come to bite me in the behind as when a horse is a keen goer, going up in trip normally isn't ideal as they will pull their chances away within the first half of the race by not settling, but if he is calm and relaxed throughout the race I can't see how Greek Order loses unless Buick gives him a horrible ride.

This horse has bags of potential and it all depends on him growing up mentally, as he can be a very good racehorse at a decent handicapping level. He showed that he can win races when winning at Salisbury last time around, staying on powerfully under Ryan Moore, looking like he does need further, which is why in theory this is the correct move by going up to 10f. He is a horse who clearly handles the fast conditions and in a race which doesn't look particularly strong, other than Coverdale who has his best form on soft ground, it is very winnable, as his price would suggest.

I've tried to stay clear of short-priced horses in recent weeks, other than yesterday when the Gosden horse couldn't get past the front-runner, but sometimes if you think a horse is going to win you've got to go with it.

Despite the fact he is a short-priced horse and I do think he'll win, I'm going to play it safe and leave it at a 1pt win, just in case he decides to run keenly.

Horse Racing Tips
Truthful
Haydock Park - 2:40 pm

13/8 @ Bet365

Greek Order
Haydock Park - 5:20 pm

11/10 @ Bet365

26 Comments
  1. spurs55 10 months ago

    Morning campers !!

    Start with 🤷‍♂️

    5 – Revolutionary Man @ 9/2
    Win
    13.50 Yarmouth

  2. elvis parsley 10 months ago

    Bouttemont 3-08 saint cloud 11-4 bet365 🇫🇷

  3. elvis parsley 10 months ago

    Just a notion 2-50 Yarmouth.
    20-1 ew 4 places SKYBET
    14-1 ew extra 7 places

  4. double carpet 10 months ago

    Porfin 2/1 5.00 Yarmouth

    Only 1 win in 16 races on turf but been well supported and Oisin Murphy booked.
    Trainer has won the race for the past 2 years too.

    BOL

  5. double carpet 10 months ago

    One more,

    3.15 Haydock
    Romantic Samurai 11/1 ew 3 places

    • double carpet 10 months ago

      Down to 7 runners now after a withdrawal.
      Watch him finish 3rd now !!!

    • double carpet 10 months ago

      Might have placed had he broke better. Winner won well though

  6. spurs55 10 months ago

    14:50 Yarmouth
    12
    (6)
    Nannie Dee
    J: Harry Burns(3)
    T: Simon & Ed Crisford
    10/1

  7. dazzman1979 10 months ago

    7:00 limerick- one for mum 7/2

  8. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    diamondtheHill 2.20

    3
  9. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    tenria 2.50 ew well done all winners yesterday

    1
  10. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    phone tag 3.50 ew

    1
  11. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    Montevideo 2.40 ew

    • gipsyboy 10 months ago

      We’re that one running my man

      2
    • azzthewigan 10 months ago

      Haydock 2.40 came 3rd gypsyboy

  12. gipsyboy 10 months ago

    Azzthewigan

    1
    • azzthewigan 10 months ago

      and the 3.50 is at Haydock gypsyboy

  13. spurs55 10 months ago

    Amazing don’t put it up on here and 🤷‍♂️🤷‍♂️


    Won
    silks
    4 – Desert Voice @ 12/1
    Win
    14.50 Yarmouth – Paying 4 Places instead of 3

    1
  14. elvis parsley 10 months ago

    Lucky last
    Newton abbot 5-10
    Book of Maine
    13-8 betting without corporal jack Jones.
    11-10 top 2 finish
    Both bet365

  15. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    tarraff 5.40 ew kempton well done all winners today

  16. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    sodapop 6.00 ew limerick

    • azzthewigan 10 months ago

      nr changed to 6.10

  17. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    lady bracken 6.10 ew kemp

  18. recoba 10 months ago

    🇺🇸
    Hawthorne -R7…Comiskey Park 3/1/****
    Usual side bet 4 main bet R/Forecast 6-9
    Horseshoe Indianapolis…R8…Wildcatjustice 13/8

    GL and well done winners

    1
  19. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    tying the knot 8.45 ew Kemp lucky last

  20. recoba 10 months ago

    Add
    Hawthorne -R3…Racetofinish. 11/10

    Also Philadelphia R9…Ego Man but 8/11 ain’t great but really should win so okay for multiples.

    GL

    1

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