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I can't wait for the jumps season to be in full flow again, the flat has been great and full of upsets but the inconsistency is starting to get annoying, so to get a winner at Worcester was a nice start. Hang In There was just the best horse in the race and 11/4 was printing money in hindsight. He jumped lovely when trying to get into contention and as soon as Joe let him hit the front it was game over.
Uttoxeter 3:45 – Do No Wrong 3/1 (1pt)
I was close to putting up Judge Earle for this race as I think his run behind Wasdell Dundalk at Perth the run before last was a good effort and the winner went on to frank the form, but I think that showed he is vulnerable to an improver, especially at the lower end of the weights so I've ended up going with Do No Wrong, who has looked very impressive in his two wins over C&D.
It's always a risk going for the lowest rated horse who is going up in grade having won nicely in lower graded races, but when a horse is 2/2 at the track and is still a lightly raced horse over fences, winning 3/6 I think it is worth the risk. He is clearly a better chaser than a hurdler as his record would suggest and he does look a natural. The track should remain good to soft, and that should be fine for him as he has already won on this type of ground before at this venue. Though he has done his winning in Class 5's the form looks okay, as the runner-up of the win the time before his last run went on to win in convincing style and he was well-fancied to beat Do No Wrong that day, so that's always a good indicator.
There are many unexposed horses in this race, but I'm not so sure about a lot of them. Jesuitique was fancied to run a big race on chase debut at Bangor, he ran well if truth to be told, but he isn't the biggest horse and I think that played a part in why his jumping was sketchy, with him making odd shapes at a lot of the fences and not looking the most comfortable. Polish is another unexposed horse, he was easily brushed aside by Any News, and I don't really rate that form. Dieu Vivant was an emphatic winner last time out, but he is now running off a mark of 130 and I don't think the form is worth the paper it's written on, so I think Do No Wrong is a solid bet in this contest.
Yarmouth 4:35 – Katey Kontent 5/1 (1pt Bet365)
I put up Katey Kontent last time out at Salisbury when she was upped to 6f for the first time and I thought the step up in trip would suit.
She didn't get the clearest of runs last time out but still ran with plenty of hope that today's trip is the right move. For the majority of her career she has been kept to fast ground, and that seemed to have been okay as a juvenile as she picked up two wins (only two wins of her career to date) on fast ground, but I'm not fully sold that fast ground is what she wants. I thought she struggled to keep tabs on the others in the race at Salisbury, it was a Class 2 and was a decent race, so the drop to a Class 3 today will definitely help, but I also think a slower surface will play to her strengths even though her race record would suggest otherwise.
Her pedigree would suggest that slower ground is what she wants. She is out of a mare who won on many different surfaces, but is by Showcasing who has produced many soft ground horse. She did win on soft and good to soft and she has produced El Caballo who has won on soft ground. Katey Kontent is by Havana Grey who won a Group 1 on good to yielding and a Group 3 on soft ground, so all the fingers point to an improved performance today on a slower surface along with Katey Kontent's best RPR coming on her only run on good to soft at Newbury in a Class 3 the time before last. I think the odds she is is quite insulting and I think she offers good value.
Uttoxeter - 3:45 pm
3/1 @ Bet365
Yarmouth - 4:35 pm