MFT RacingTips Safe 03

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I can't wait for the jumps season to be in full flow again, the flat has been great and full of upsets but the inconsistency is starting to get annoying, so to get a winner at Worcester was a nice start. Hang In There was just the best horse in the race and 11/4 was printing money in hindsight. He jumped lovely when trying to get into contention and as soon as Joe let him hit the front it was game over.

Uttoxeter 3:45 – Do No Wrong 3/1 (1pt)

I was close to putting up Judge Earle for this race as I think his run behind Wasdell Dundalk at Perth the run before last was a good effort and the winner went on to frank the form, but I think that showed he is vulnerable to an improver, especially at the lower end of the weights so I've ended up going with Do No Wrong, who has looked very impressive in his two wins over C&D.

It's always a risk going for the lowest rated horse who is going up in grade having won nicely in lower graded races, but when a horse is 2/2 at the track and is still a lightly raced horse over fences, winning 3/6 I think it is worth the risk. He is clearly a better chaser than a hurdler as his record would suggest and he does look a natural. The track should remain good to soft, and that should be fine for him as he has already won on this type of ground before at this venue. Though he has done his winning in Class 5's the form looks okay, as the runner-up of the win the time before his last run went on to win in convincing style and he was well-fancied to beat Do No Wrong that day, so that's always a good indicator.

There are many unexposed horses in this race, but I'm not so sure about a lot of them. Jesuitique was fancied to run a big race on chase debut at Bangor, he ran well if truth to be told, but he isn't the biggest horse and I think that played a part in why his jumping was sketchy, with him making odd shapes at a lot of the fences and not looking the most comfortable. Polish is another unexposed horse, he was easily brushed aside by Any News, and I don't really rate that form. Dieu Vivant was an emphatic winner last time out, but he is now running off a mark of 130 and I don't think the form is worth the paper it's written on, so I think Do No Wrong is a solid bet in this contest.

Yarmouth 4:35 – Katey Kontent 5/1 (1pt Bet365)

I put up Katey Kontent last time out at Salisbury when she was upped to 6f for the first time and I thought the step up in trip would suit.

She didn't get the clearest of runs last time out but still ran with plenty of hope that today's trip is the right move. For the majority of her career she has been kept to fast ground, and that seemed to have been okay as a juvenile as she picked up two wins (only two wins of her career to date) on fast ground, but I'm not fully sold that fast ground is what she wants. I thought she struggled to keep tabs on the others in the race at Salisbury, it was a Class 2 and was a decent race, so the drop to a Class 3 today will definitely help, but I also think a slower surface will play to her strengths even though her race record would suggest otherwise.

Her pedigree would suggest that slower ground is what she wants. She is out of a mare who won on many different surfaces, but is by Showcasing who has produced many soft ground horse. She did win on soft and good to soft and she has produced El Caballo who has won on soft ground. Katey Kontent is by Havana Grey who won a Group 1 on good to yielding and a Group 3 on soft ground, so all the fingers point to an improved performance today on a slower surface along with Katey Kontent's best RPR coming on her only run on good to soft at Newbury in a Class 3 the time before last. I think the odds she is is quite insulting and I think she offers good value.

Horse Racing Tips
Do No Wrong
Uttoxeter - 3:45 pm

3/1 @ Bet365

Katey Kontent
Yarmouth - 4:35 pm

5/1 @ Bet365

39 Comments
  1. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    rosenzoo 2.15 probs go odds on by the off

    6
    • Avatar of SPURS55
      spurs55 1 year ago

      oh dear azz !!

      wtf ?

    • Avatar of albert rose
      azzthewigan 1 year ago

      yup not wrong there didn’t even bother trying spurs 55

      1
  2. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 year ago

    Race 5 – fort irie – black Taffy 5/1

    4
  3. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 year ago

    4:10 Redcar – venturous 16/1 e/w

    4
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 1 year ago

      2:15 yarnmouth- Alfred 8/1 e/w

      10
    • Avatar of albert rose
      azzthewigan 1 year ago

      well done dazzman 1979

      2
  4. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 year ago

    7:00 Newcastle- alibi warning 8/1 e/w

    5
  5. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 1 year ago

    🇺🇸
    2 singles and a double and a Goodnight…
    🥱

    Prairie Meadows -R8…Gerard 3/1 ***+
    R11..Rocking The Dad Bod 5/1

    Both Bet365.

    1
  6. Avatar of theplug
    theplug 1 year ago

    Listowel 2.40 nap Zephron 9/4
    Uttoxeter 3 -10 nb Ya Know Yaseff 13/8

    2
    • Avatar of theplug
      theplug 1 year ago

      Well Robyn are you going to lay these 2 today ,

      5
    • Avatar of robyn
      robyn 1 year ago

      replied on ydays thread, all the best.

    • Avatar of robyn
      robyn 1 year ago

      well it isn’t letting me post, but the answer was i don’t like either but both could win.

    • Avatar of robyn
      robyn 1 year ago

      9/4 to 9/2 wish I did lay it.

    • Avatar of robyn
      robyn 1 year ago

      unlucky CHANCED BILLY MYSELF AND BOOOOOOOOMMMMMM. if you’d have collared me i’d have been sick.

    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 1 year ago

      Bloody hell plug your wired up wrong 😂

  7. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    ya know yasaff 3.10 we well done all winners yesterday

    2
  8. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    chief cove 1.20 France

    1
  9. Avatar of SPURS55
    spurs55 1 year ago

    50p 0n

    12 – Motarajel @ 20/1
    Win

    13.50 Redcar – Paying 4 Places instead of 3

    1
  10. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    star shot 1.50 ew did come second to a good winner a few races back so hoping for a good run from the horse today

    1
  11. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 year ago

    Alfred 💰

    4
    • Avatar of SPURS55
      spurs55 1 year ago

      yep cheers dazzman

      1
  12. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    brave troop 3.15 nap

    1
  13. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    Manhattan mirage 3.25 nb

    1
  14. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    due vivant 3.45 ew

    2
  15. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 1 year ago

    Nice to see you database back but “Robyn”
    You normally come up with something better than that 🏇

    4
    • Avatar of Elvis Parsley
      elvis parsley 1 year ago

      Back database 🤣.
      My dyslexia kicking in again I’m afraid

      2
  16. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 1 year ago

    Howling Milan 4-55 uttoxeter.
    6-4 top 3 finish
    7-1 win
    80-20 stake

    Not run for 2 years which is always risky so not going mad, but was competing at a higher level than these back then.

    • Avatar of Elvis Parsley
      elvis parsley 1 year ago

      Joliland 4-50 auteuil 🇫🇷
      11-8 top 3 finish NAP 🏇
      6-1 win
      80-20 stake
      Both at HILLS..

      One of those silly french races where all the horses have the same starting letter.
      J in this case.
      Anyone know why this frequently happens in France ????.
      Strange lot them frogs

      1
  17. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 1 year ago

    USA 🇺🇸

    Heinz (placed Skybet)

    Finger Lakes – Race 3 Honor Among Men 2/1 ***+
    Race 5…Brockmoninoff 5/2 Skybet boost ****
    R6…North Coast 5/2 ***
    Horseshoe Inddy -R5…Quarryman 11/10 Skybet boost *****
    Philadelphia -R8…Dewey Doit 11/4 Paddy Power ****
    Thistledown -R8…Licky Lottie 11/10 ***

    Firms I’ve quoted for prices mean singles. 👍

    GL all and well done to any that got winners today ✅
    🫡 🇺🇸 👨‍⚖️

    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 1 year ago

      Nice one Dazzman!
      i didn’t know you done Nap/Nb picks? 😉 👍

      🇺🇸
      Meant to put up Side bet Finger Lakes- R6..Combo Tricast . 2-5-8
      There on tracker in this one race so why not.

      1
  18. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 year ago

    Race 1 Philadelphia- chips friend -10/3 lumping everything on this one !!! Nap nb 💰💰💰

    5
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 1 year ago

      Money money money 💰 💰💰💰😍

  19. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 year ago

    6:15 yarnmouth- darlo pride 6/1 e/w

    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 1 year ago

      Second ! Nothing lost

  20. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 year ago

    Race 6 – thistledown- armor piercing 9/4

    2
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 1 year ago

      Money money money 💰 💰💰😂

      2
  21. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 1 year ago

    Horseshoe Indianapolis -R10. Had To Be Ivory 5/4 ***** *.

    GL

    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 1 year ago

      ⬆️
      Quarter horse race over 1 1/2 Furlong but king of the sphere going for 10 wins out of 10 here! Romped last time but forecast Valentino 2nd favourite as if both get away there clearly best.

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