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I can't wait for the jumps season to be in full flow again, the flat has been great and full of upsets but the inconsistency is starting to get annoying, so to get a winner at Worcester was a nice start. Hang In There was just the best horse in the race and 11/4 was printing money in hindsight. He jumped lovely when trying to get into contention and as soon as Joe let him hit the front it was game over.
Uttoxeter 3:45 – Do No Wrong 3/1 (1pt)
I was close to putting up Judge Earle for this race as I think his run behind Wasdell Dundalk at Perth the run before last was a good effort and the winner went on to frank the form, but I think that showed he is vulnerable to an improver, especially at the lower end of the weights so I've ended up going with Do No Wrong, who has looked very impressive in his two wins over C&D.
It's always a risk going for the lowest rated horse who is going up in grade having won nicely in lower graded races, but when a horse is 2/2 at the track and is still a lightly raced horse over fences, winning 3/6 I think it is worth the risk. He is clearly a better chaser than a hurdler as his record would suggest and he does look a natural. The track should remain good to soft, and that should be fine for him as he has already won on this type of ground before at this venue. Though he has done his winning in Class 5's the form looks okay, as the runner-up of the win the time before his last run went on to win in convincing style and he was well-fancied to beat Do No Wrong that day, so that's always a good indicator.
There are many unexposed horses in this race, but I'm not so sure about a lot of them. Jesuitique was fancied to run a big race on chase debut at Bangor, he ran well if truth to be told, but he isn't the biggest horse and I think that played a part in why his jumping was sketchy, with him making odd shapes at a lot of the fences and not looking the most comfortable. Polish is another unexposed horse, he was easily brushed aside by Any News, and I don't really rate that form. Dieu Vivant was an emphatic winner last time out, but he is now running off a mark of 130 and I don't think the form is worth the paper it's written on, so I think Do No Wrong is a solid bet in this contest.
Yarmouth 4:35 – Katey Kontent 5/1 (1pt Bet365)
I put up Katey Kontent last time out at Salisbury when she was upped to 6f for the first time and I thought the step up in trip would suit.
She didn't get the clearest of runs last time out but still ran with plenty of hope that today's trip is the right move. For the majority of her career she has been kept to fast ground, and that seemed to have been okay as a juvenile as she picked up two wins (only two wins of her career to date) on fast ground, but I'm not fully sold that fast ground is what she wants. I thought she struggled to keep tabs on the others in the race at Salisbury, it was a Class 2 and was a decent race, so the drop to a Class 3 today will definitely help, but I also think a slower surface will play to her strengths even though her race record would suggest otherwise.
Her pedigree would suggest that slower ground is what she wants. She is out of a mare who won on many different surfaces, but is by Showcasing who has produced many soft ground horse. She did win on soft and good to soft and she has produced El Caballo who has won on soft ground. Katey Kontent is by Havana Grey who won a Group 1 on good to yielding and a Group 3 on soft ground, so all the fingers point to an improved performance today on a slower surface along with Katey Kontent's best RPR coming on her only run on good to soft at Newbury in a Class 3 the time before last. I think the odds she is is quite insulting and I think she offers good value.
rosenzoo 2.15 probs go odds on by the off
oh dear azz !!
wtf ?
yup not wrong there didn’t even bother trying spurs 55
Race 5 – fort irie – black Taffy 5/1
4:10 Redcar – venturous 16/1 e/w
2:15 yarnmouth- Alfred 8/1 e/w
well done dazzman 1979
7:00 Newcastle- alibi warning 8/1 e/w
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2 singles and a double and a Goodnight…
🥱
Prairie Meadows -R8…Gerard 3/1 ***+
R11..Rocking The Dad Bod 5/1
Both Bet365.
Listowel 2.40 nap Zephron 9/4
Uttoxeter 3 -10 nb Ya Know Yaseff 13/8
Well Robyn are you going to lay these 2 today ,
replied on ydays thread, all the best.
well it isn’t letting me post, but the answer was i don’t like either but both could win.
9/4 to 9/2 wish I did lay it.
unlucky CHANCED BILLY MYSELF AND BOOOOOOOOMMMMMM. if you’d have collared me i’d have been sick.
Bloody hell plug your wired up wrong 😂
ya know yasaff 3.10 we well done all winners yesterday
chief cove 1.20 France
50p 0n
12 – Motarajel @ 20/1
Win
13.50 Redcar – Paying 4 Places instead of 3
star shot 1.50 ew did come second to a good winner a few races back so hoping for a good run from the horse today
Alfred 💰
yep cheers dazzman
brave troop 3.15 nap
Manhattan mirage 3.25 nb
due vivant 3.45 ew
Nice to see you database back but “Robyn”
You normally come up with something better than that 🏇
Back database 🤣.
My dyslexia kicking in again I’m afraid
Howling Milan 4-55 uttoxeter.
6-4 top 3 finish
7-1 win
80-20 stake
Not run for 2 years which is always risky so not going mad, but was competing at a higher level than these back then.
Joliland 4-50 auteuil 🇫🇷
11-8 top 3 finish NAP 🏇
6-1 win
80-20 stake
Both at HILLS..
One of those silly french races where all the horses have the same starting letter.
J in this case.
Anyone know why this frequently happens in France ????.
Strange lot them frogs
USA 🇺🇸
Heinz (placed Skybet)
Finger Lakes – Race 3 Honor Among Men 2/1 ***+
Race 5…Brockmoninoff 5/2 Skybet boost ****
R6…North Coast 5/2 ***
Horseshoe Inddy -R5…Quarryman 11/10 Skybet boost *****
Philadelphia -R8…Dewey Doit 11/4 Paddy Power ****
Thistledown -R8…Licky Lottie 11/10 ***
Firms I’ve quoted for prices mean singles. 👍
GL all and well done to any that got winners today ✅
🫡 🇺🇸 👨⚖️
Nice one Dazzman!
i didn’t know you done Nap/Nb picks? 😉 👍
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Meant to put up Side bet Finger Lakes- R6..Combo Tricast . 2-5-8
There on tracker in this one race so why not.
Race 1 Philadelphia- chips friend -10/3 lumping everything on this one !!! Nap nb 💰💰💰
Money money money 💰 💰💰💰😍
6:15 yarnmouth- darlo pride 6/1 e/w
Second ! Nothing lost
Race 6 – thistledown- armor piercing 9/4
Money money money 💰 💰💰😂
Horseshoe Indianapolis -R10. Had To Be Ivory 5/4 ***** *.
GL
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Quarter horse race over 1 1/2 Furlong but king of the sphere going for 10 wins out of 10 here! Romped last time but forecast Valentino 2nd favourite as if both get away there clearly best.