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IT was one winner from two on Friday with the nap a non-runner.
I had a 0.25pt loss on the day and October is now 3.76pts down. Today I'm putting up a huge each-way double and have added reasoning.
Well done to all Friday's winners and let's hear your thoughts for Saturday.
Ascot 3.50
Recoletos might not jump off the page at people with the likes of Cracksman, Barney Roy, Brametot, Highland Reel and others in this race but there is plenty to like about this vastly overpriced French horse. He was sent off 4-1 second favourite for the French Derby and was only beaten one length by Brametot.
Recoletos has also never lost on ground soft or worse and Ascot today will be soft or worse. He does need to improve to win but the conditions are a leveller and the 20-1 price is too big.
Market Rasen 5.05
Wishmaker runs in the NH Flat race, there are a lot of unknowns with so many debutants but with Wishmaker we have a horse I have seen personally and I liked what I saw.
This well-bred Ravens Pass gelding has been working well at home and should be ready first time out. The 7-1 still available still looks value as he is quietly fancied by the yard.
Johnb’s Saturday Tips
- Ascot 3.50
- Recoletos 20-1 NB paddy power (0.5pt eachway 1/5 odds 1-2-3)
- Market Rasen 5.05
- Wishmaker 7-1 NAP paddy power (0.5pt eachway 1/5 odds 1-2-3)
- 0.5pt eachway double 167-1 paddy power
Johnb’s Antepost Tips Update
- 1000 Guineas
- CLEMMIE advised at 25-1
- Now 7-2 betfred best price and as low as 5/2 betway
- The Oaks
- MAGICAL advised at 33-1
- Now 14-1 best price and as low as 8-1 boylesports
Ascot
1.25- Stradivarius- 8/1
Catterick
4.40- Echo of Lightning- 7/1 (NAP)
Fairyhouse
4.50- get out of Jail- 6/1
1 point singles and 0.25 point trixie
Good Luck all
From yesterday’s thread
CADRELLI 9/2 3.40 fairy
Not shown much yet but Smullen booked and trainer is 3-5 Here so might be a bit of a plot job. Already money for it but 9/2 bet365 might turn out to be generous
As low as 2’s with boyles and 5/2 pp
Ascot
14-40 Journey 100/30
3-15 Ribchester 9/4 N/B
3-50 Barney Roy 5/1 Nap
(Sporting Bet )
5 point w/way treble on above
10 points
5 point win trixie also 20 points
Total 30 points
0ctober minus 68 points after just two days last weekend ☹️
Good luck everyone today
Come on Barney Roy ??
108 points down in 2 days sorry but this doesnt add up.
gl
Cheers
can have a go on my big Yankees for tomorrow now
Tin man 2.00 (will drift but keep faith)
Here comes when 3.15
Recoletos 3.50
Linguistic 4.30
Ew Yankee
Oosg 1.25
Bateel 2.25
Ribchester 3.15
Cracksman 3.50
Win Yankee
Got to say Churchill is a massive price today, ground won’t be a problem and his Guineas form is the best in the race, his last win when beating Thunder Snow is also top form, his last two runs have just proved connections should have gone to the Derby with him as he clearly easily stayed
I still have concerns about the 1m distance but today’s going is a leveller, there are others in the race and I really like Beat The Bank as a horse but Churchill is the best value horse in the race when you think 5/1 is available in a place and at 1/5 odds eachway that must make him a free bet
Why is Churchill not 1 of your tips then Johnb if he’s classed as a free bet today ??
Because my other two are stronger
Well fairyhouse called off and I’m not surprised you wouldn’t put a milk bottle outside this morning never mind a dog.
Ascot picks
2.00 Carravagio
2.40 Journey
3.15 Lancaster Bomber 80/1 EW ?????
3.50 Poets Word
BOL
Morning all Well done yesterdays winners .
MARKET RASEN
15.25. .ITS YOUR MOVE. . 4/1
STRATFORD
13.55. . INIESTA. . 11/4
14.30. . MISS NIGHT OWL. . 7/2
2
15.35. . ITSHARD TO NO. .5/1
FFOS LAS
14.10. .GRANIA O’MALLEY. . 9/4
gl all
Really can’t see past bateel today
240 ascot got it at 9/4 now 2/1
Well done aidan obrien.
One thing busstop ive always wondered with you is why do you only bet on NH racing and not flat racing? I actually have a friend who does the opposite but thats only because he doesnt like seeing the horses fall over jumps.
Some discipline for you to not bet when theres no jumps meetings on! Dont think i could do that
Citizen. Always followed NH since being a kid Uncle used to own horses and got me involved took me point to points
Just find it more exciting than flat and also think the form over the jumps usually stands up better than flat .
I do have a bet on the flat now and then followed some of the guys on here in the past.Even go the odd flat meeting with mates but much prefer jumps
Flying eagle 3-55 ffos las nap 4-1
desert encounter 3.50 ew single. desert skyline 1.25 coronet 2.40 churchill 3.15 kickboxer 3.30 ew l15 ew singles well done all winners yesterday
5.00. Ffos las . Lime street
good luck
Top tipping mate?
Last 12 lays only 1 has won. Coining it in big time ?
Wishmaker into 7/2 from 13/2 last night.
Betting the life out of it…..make a wish, what a lovely return on the 13/2 it would be.
Be on earrrrrrrly!
Wishmaker 25/1 last night
Johnb’s Sunday Tips
Southwell
1:30
Jay Kay 9/4 10bet
Southwell
2:30
Mama Africa 2/1 NAP/NB paddy power (double stake)
Double 8/1 paddy power