This tip has expired. Please check our free horse racing tips section of the website to find the most up to date.

Wordsworth was baffling yesterday, that's the only way I can sum up his performance. I don't understand how he can run so well in previous races (ignoring Goodwood), to then be so poor.

I don't think he was given the best of rides, as we all know he is a slow horse, so to have him held up like he has the pace of Frankel seemed a bit daft. Either way, he doesn't look straightforward, and if they don't geld him or reach for headgear I'd be very surprised. Anyway, today's action looks brilliant, and I'm quietly confident in the French selections.

Deauville 2:50

She is slightly shorter than I was hoping for, as I was expecting her to be bigger due to the connections she represents, but despite the price JUST BEAUTIFUL should be hard to beat. This filly wasn't disgraced by any stretch of the imagination when she stepped up to Group 1 company last time at Newmarket in the Falmouth Stakes, finishing 6th. If she runs to anywhere near that level, then she will be very tough to beat.

This race is no where near as competitive as the Falmouth was, so you'd expect Ivan Furtado's filly to put this race to bed. She tried the mile for the first time at Newmarket, and you can't say that she didn't stay the trip, as she travelled well, but when she was passed, she didn't fall through the field, she stayed on well, but was just beaten by superior horses. She is a horse who likes to run from the front, so hopefully she will get an uncontested lead, and if that's the case, then the fillies in behind will struggle to get past her. The ground will be quick, and that appears to suit, as she won a Listed race at Musselburgh in fine style on good ground, and lto was on Good To Firm, and she seemed to handle that perfectly fine. This track could be better suited than Newmarket, as it isn't as stiff as the July Course, so her speed will be a better weapon on this track.

The French trainers have a great record in this race, winning it 3/3 times, so their horses shouldn't be underestimated. However, if they are to win this, they will need to show a much better level of form than what we've seen so far.

Deauville 3:25

I strongly fancy MILLEBOSC in this race, and he should definitely be considered as the one they all have to beat after his huge run to finish 3rd in the French Derby behind St Mark's Basilica.

That run at Chantilly was a very big improvement from what we had previously seen from this horse, but there's no reason why he can't follow up and prove he is up to that level. He is a horse who stays this trip well, so wouldn't want it to become a crawl, but with horses like Tasman Bay in the field, I can't envisage it being a slowly run race, as he does stay further than today's trip. As for the ground, people who study the racecards will probably think this horse needs soft ground to be competitive, but in fact that isn't the case. The ground for the French Derby was described as ‘Soft' ground, but the time of the race suggest it was more like Good ground, as it was 0.70s slower than standard, which at most makes it Good To Soft, Good in places, in my opinion. The ground at the time of racing will be fast ground, and that should be fine based on his pedigree, and the fact he's finished 2nd on good ground before.

I'd imagine Philomene is the main danger as she was 2nd to Joan Of Arc in the French Oaks, and that is probably the best piece of form on offer, outside of Millebosc. Joan Of Arc is a very good horse, but I think the form of St Mark's Basilica is better, and if they both raced, I'd like to think St Mark's would come out victorious. Philiomene will get the 3lb weight allowance for being a filly, but if they both run to the form of their last run, I think the selection has the beating of her. Derab will more than likely be popular, as he is a brother to Enable. Frankie has come over for the ride, which generally means that connections fancy their chances, but I'm not totally sold on his ability, but he will enjoy the quicker ground.

Ripon 3:10

A competitive race, as you would expect with 20 runners, but I think I have found a couple to back against the rest of the field. Like I've said on a few occasions, I'm not fond of backing multiple horses in a race, but when there is 6 places on offer, you can take advantage of it.

The first selection is GHATHANFAR, who has been in cracking form all season long, and it would be fitting for him to get a win like this under his belt. His most recent run at York has worked out extremely well, with multiple wins coming from multiple different horses in their next races. Since that race, the 1st, 2nd, 8th, 13th (won twice), 17th and 18th have all won since, which is ridiculous. You also have horses who have gone close in their next couple of races, including Mr Wagyu, who was 2nd, he was placed two times, and Music Society who has been beaten by a short-head and a nose in two of her last three starts. Last time, Ghathanfar led for most of the race, and in recent time that hasn't been his way of running. Tom Eaves, his normal jockey, takes the ride again and he knows what way is best to ride this horse. Despite running from the front, he was only beaten by a neck, and was battling all the way to the line, which shows the rich vein of form he is in.

He has to carry 9st 9lbs in this race, which won't be an easy task, but his current handicap mark of 84 does seem within reach. His trainer is extremely happy with him, but is a little concerned if the ground gets very quick: “I think high draws have done well in these races in the past but we just hope the ground doesn't dry out too much for Ghathanfar. He's desperate for a run and kicking the place down as he was supposed to run at the Sunday Series meeting at Haydock last week but it was abandoned. He's very well and we are very sweet on his chances.” As Tracy Waggot stated, he has a high drawn (stall 20), which is deemed to be the best place to be in this race, as the last five winners of this race have come from double digit stalls.

The second selection for this race is MYTHMAKER, and I am expecting a big run from the old boy.

At nine years of age, he is no where near the same horse which he was a couple of years ago, but off his current rating of 78 he can definitely do some damage in this handicap. His handicap mark is in theory 71 for this race, as Gianluca Sanna takes off a very handy 7lbs, which means he is 9lbs lighter than he was for his most recent run, as he was dropped 2lbs by the handicapper. His run lto was a decent enough run on the back of a 168 day break. He travelled well from the front, but got tired when entering the final furlong, which was a sign that he probably wasn't 100% ready for his first run of the season, and he will definitely strip fitter for this race.

This is a competitive race, but so was the race he contested last time, and he wasn't disgraced in that. Bryan Smart, his trainer, appears to be optimistic with him: “He ran a cracker at York last time and we are taking 7lb off him to help his chances. He's well drawn and we are looking forward to it.” He is drawn in 19, so hopefully he will break well, and potentially run from the front next to the rail. Considering he was once rated 107, he is very well handicapped, and based on his most recent run, he still has love for the game. He could definitely outrun his odds.

Ripon 3:45

The big handicap of the day is the William Hill Great St Wilfrid Handicap at Ripon, and like the consolation race in the race before, there are many in with a chance. A horse I'm taking a punt on and hoping he will return to form is the well handicapped JUSTANOTHERBOTTLE. This lad used to be notorious for running from the front in all of the big sprint handicaps, but in recent times they have opted for a change in style with him, and I think that was a way to get his handicap mark lowered, which is if that is what they've done, it has worked.

The last five renewals of this race has been won by a horse who has made all, so it might be best going for a horse who races from the front, and is pitched towards the stand's side. Justanotherbottle has dropped down to an appealing handicap mark of 92, which has been a result of a couple of poor efforts this season. That being said, he hasn't run without total promise, as the runs at Newcastle & Pontefract were good enough to suggest he retains ability at the age of 7yo. On both of those runs at Ponte and Newcastle he was behind some good horses.

An interesting fact about today is that Kevin Ryan has opted for the first time blinkers, which gives the impression that they are really going for this race, as like I said previously he hasn't been racing how he normally would (from the front). He is a strong travelling type, who normally races from the front, so the fact they were doing the complete opposite and having him buried away in the midfield or the rear makes you think that they were trying to get his handicap mark to drop, so he would have a much better chance of landing a big pot (hopefully today). He has a good draw in stall 19, so if he remains chilled, and behaves himself in the stalls, he should have a good chances of making all in this race. There are 7 places on offer in this race, and he definitely is a good EW chance.

16:50 Ffos Las - Race: 8
Distance: 6f
Type: Flat
Class: 5
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
5
Chepchik
32

3
Coast
2

1
Lil Guff
722341

6
Macon Belle
2247

8
Notre Maison

9
On The Border

4
Agapanther

7
Miss Anaco
38

2
Cape Cornwall Rose
80

12:00 Newton Abbot - Race: 1
Distance: 2m 2f 110y
Type: Hurdle
Class: 5
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
5
Chepchik
32

3
Coast
2

1
Lil Guff
722341

6
Macon Belle
2247

8
Notre Maison

9
On The Border

4
Agapanther

7
Miss Anaco
38

2
Cape Cornwall Rose
80

12:10 Hamilton - Race: 1
Distance: 5f 7y
Type: Flat
Class: 4
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
5
Hi Meh Darling
622262

3
Manila Scouse
5

6
Nikki's Girl
035

4
The Gay Blade

1
Hello Jumbo
66

7
Poetikel Piece
6

2
Hollis Brown

44 Comments
  1. denningl 1 month ago

    2 tracker horses for tomorrow.

    7.15 bath – Mykonos St John 5/1 e.w. -Was running really well until disappointing last time out. I’m hopeful for a return to form

    3.45 Ripon – Mr Wagyu 13/2 e.w – Continued his profitable streak for me, winning last time out. I am with him again tomorrow but fear the handicapper and as Rizzel advises above there’s many with a good chance so take the places on offer.

    Good luck with your selections everyone.

    1
  2. dazzman1979 1 month ago

    Bath picks

    5:10 – chipstead 7/2

    5:45 – lil guff 15/8

    6:15 – Andre Amar 11/2

    8:15 – mr millarky 12/1 e/w

    Good luck and god bless !

    1
  3. dazzman1979 1 month ago

    Got to go with this one 🤪

    Mauritius- 12:10 – the dazzler 12/1 bet 365 e/w

    1
  4. recoba 1 month ago

    Gulfstream-R5 ..Take Me As I Am 5/1(***)
    R8…Rough Entry. 11/4
    Saratoga -R7…Caras Dreamer. 11/2
    Arlington R8…Get Hammered. 13/8(***** won last time by 5l and was claimed by a new stable who I read has a good record with new recruits.

    That’ll do nicely…3/4 and 2 singles. 👍
    Get a full house one night a tell thee!! 🇺🇸🐎

    2
    • recoba 1 month ago

      Well done the winners yesterday.

      Going with France myself and one from my tracker and Barbarian from ATR who’s been going very well recently

      Trixie…🇫🇷

      Point Mirabeau..2.15. 9/2
      Just Beautiful…2.50. 13/8
      Philomene ..3.25. 7/2.

      GL all

      1
    • ourwullie 1 month ago

      Tried to get on GET HAMMERED 🔨 but couldn’t find the Arlington meeting 🧐

    • recoba 1 month ago

      Only seen it on Bet365 mate.
      Bit of a pain but there by far the best for the US,prices up very etc.

      1
    • recoba 1 month ago

      Wee Trixie for the UK 🇬🇧

      Maskers..1.45. 11/8(should take major improvement from another here to beat this..no??)
      Artist…2.55. 5/2
      Mootajawed..3.00. 10/3

      🇺🇸
      After the disappointment of Boshoi Ballet a few weeks back Santa Barbra for O’Brien in the USA really should win this but unsurprisingly isn’t a good price.
      @OurWullie Skybet doing Arlington races tonight 👍

      Treble pays around 12/1 🇺🇸

      Saratoga-R10…Chasing Bull. 13/8(**** been waiting in this horse to come back out and Skybet have an early best price. Great win lto in a G1 with Ortiz Jnr on board who’s on again for Chad Brown, he was on Browns 2000 winner last week and and don’t seem like stopping in building to Breeders Cup. Few good horses but I expect him to finish strong off the pace like last time which was impressive)
      Arlington-R7…Santa Barbara 11/10(*****. Should take all the beating after a cracking victory on his US debut last time. R.Moore on board again)
      Gulfstream-R10…Well Defined. 7/4(won by 10l for me last run and looks the best in the race)

      GL all

      2
    • recoba 1 month ago

      MAIRD!!! 2nds… 🇫🇷👎

    • recoba 1 month ago

      *Raging Bull

      Should also say..”his 2nd last run” as he came 2nd on his last run.

  5. elvis parsley 1 month ago

    Tiger tap tap 10-50 Dieppe 14-1 ew

    Philomene 3-25 Deauville 7-2.
    Has the form and weight allowance could tip the balance in her favour

    4
    • recoba 1 month ago

      Barzalona on board for Fabre ain’t to shabby a combo to Elvis.
      GL

  6. dazzman1979 1 month ago

    Mauritius- 9:15 – arnica Montana – 7/1 aaaaaarrrrgggggahhhhahhhh !

    • ourwullie 1 month ago

      Amateur hour that start was 😂 horses bolting and handlers all over like spider monkeys 🐒

  7. Baggy6870 1 month ago

    You won’t get riich quick, but I just can’t see it getting beat.HUKUM is the Best horse in the race by miles. Just gone in to 4/6 while I’m writing this post..
    HUKUM…. 14.20 4/6 NAP 🔆🔆🔆🔆🔆
    SACRED…. 15.30 4/1 NB 🔆🔆🔆🔆
    SAXTON…. 15.45 6/1 🔆🔆🔆
    SKYBET…… 🤞

    1
    • Baggy6870 1 month ago

      Sorry, that should be STAXTON..

    • recoba 1 month ago

      Got Hukum 5/6 with Skybet,money back if 2nd buy as you say I’ll not be getting rich quick but fully expect a win. GL

      2
    • Thebigflu 1 month ago

      Thats a good bet ,like it

    • Baggy6870 1 month ago

      Never in doubt, could of put your Mortgage on that.. 👍

      1
    • Baggy6870 1 month ago

      HUKUM…. 14.20 4/6 NAP 🔆 🔆 🔆 🔆 🔆 ✔️
      SACRED…. 15.30 4/1 NB 🔆🔆🔆🔆✔️
      STAXTON…. 15.45 6/1 🔆🔆🔆❌
      Not a bad day, I’ll take that..

      5
  8. azzthewigan 1 month ago

    intrinsic bond 3.45 well done all winners yesterday

  9. Thebigflu 1 month ago

    Adnaan 1’00,,,masekela 1’45,,,daniel deronda 1’22,,tiger orchid ‘2’10..My first of today ,, and i think auriferous has a shout in the 1’15 G L ALl

    1
  10. ew thief 1 month ago

    Afternoon all well done winners yesterday
    Hajjam 1.22d 12-1
    Ornate 2.25d 16-1
    Wentworth falls 2.35n 7-1
    Chairmanoftheboard 3.05n 20-1
    True blue moon 3.10r 11-1
    Njord 3.30n 9-1
    Justanotherbottle 3.45r 14-1
    Ew singles & ew super hienz ☘️☘️Gl all

    3
  11. elvis parsley 1 month ago

    Dbai 3-30 Newbury
    20-1 ew
    12-1 ew extra 5 places

    1
    • recoba 1 month ago

      Like the Dbai Elvis I might have a go later at that EW price

      Masakela just gets up as it should but there was major improvement from one. Very nice looking horse Bayside Boy.

      1
    • elvis parsley 1 month ago

      I got 4 places at Paddy power and a couple of others going 4 too recoba 🏇

  12. Thebigflu 1 month ago

    Looks good recoba that bayside ive a few usa ones for later but cahoros 2.35 N M 12’1 E W have a look

  13. recoba 1 month ago

    Maskela…1.45. 11/8(should take major improvement from another here to beat this..no??)
    Artist…2.55. 5/2
    Mootajawed..3.00. 10/3

    Yahtzee!!! 😉 🇬🇧

    Frickin French!??

    1
    • Thebigflu 1 month ago

      Nice tip got mojaweed thank you here my wee yankee .War smoke 6’05 ,,,royalian 5’40,,,replicant,6’16,,going to the lead 8’31 gl

  14. denningl 1 month ago

    Nice one with Justanotherbottle Rizzel..Stormed home easily.

    • champyr 1 month ago

      Yes 18/1 wow

  15. ew thief 1 month ago

    Cracker rizzel 👍👍

    2
  16. Thebigflu 1 month ago

    Rizz w d cracking tip

  17. elvis parsley 1 month ago

    Market rasen
    5-35 Fitzroy 6-4
    Won here on his last hurdle race, ran like a bag o shite in 3 chases since.
    Hoping hurdles rejuvenates.

    6-05 captain cobajay 4-1
    Got shit form in Ireland, 1st run for new yard under low weight.
    Backed in from 20-1 last night so following the trend blindly

    1
    • elvis parsley 1 month ago

      Cobajay wins,
      Fitzroy is a donkey.

      Captain cobajay reflects everything that is wrong with racing, no form whatsoever recently, yet comes from Ireland, backed in to 9-4 from 20s and wins comfortable.
      It stinks, granted I’m happy it won though 🙃

  18. dazzman1979 1 month ago

    When he gets out of jail he’s gonna do a remix !

  19. dazzman1979 1 month ago

    7:35 market Rasen – the bees knees 5/1 well worth betting on as a e/w bet to to nothing very consistent

    • recoba 1 month ago

      Cracking shout Rizzle! 👏🏽

      1
  20. Thebigflu 1 month ago

    My boy charles 19’45,,,sarahs verse 20’15

  21. winners are grinners 1 month ago

    Cheers Baggy6870

    Rarely do horses. Seen that myself and then after your confidence i backed it 👌

    1
    • Baggy6870 1 month ago

      No worries mate, Reading the paper this morning and nearly fell off my chair when I seen the price. Went to collect my money 3 furlongs out. 👌

  22. azzthewigan 1 month ago

    outrage 8.15 ew well done all winners today

  23. recoba 1 month ago

    Thistledown -R7…Market Success. 15/2(**) Could Ew but few $s on the nostril. Only a length behind one of the favourites but was finishing really well so extr distance should help.

    • Thebigflu 1 month ago

      You backing anything at del mar ? Or golden gates ? Anyone?

Leave a reply

Get involved Today!

It take less than 60 seconds to sign-up for free and to join in the conversation immediately. Post your comments, enter competitions,get exclusive betting offers and access all our free betting tips without spending a penny.

GET STARTED FOR FREE

CONTACT US

We're not around right now. But you can send us an email and we'll get back to you, asap.

Sending

About MFT  |  Support  |  Contact Us  | 18+  Gamble Aware  |  Privacy Policy  | ©2021 12th Man Media Ltd.

All betting odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change.

Log in with your credentials

or    

Forgot your details?

Create Account