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Dubawi Warrior was horrendous there are no other words to describe the performance at Hamilton. Strange for him to run that bad with William Haggas having such a strong record at the Scottish track and surely something was amiss as he was eased down when passed by the entire field. Wasted journey on the well-backed favourite.
Chelmsford 6:45 – Imperial Ace 8/1 (0.5pt EW Paddy/WilliamHill)
There is a couple of Class 1 races at Deauville on Tuesday, but one looks very tricky and the other has a short-priced favourite who should run away with it so I think it's best to leave that alone. Tuesday in Britain and Ireland is very poor other than the Class 3 race at Chelmsford which is a decent race with some value to be found.
I couldn't be backing the favourite at the odds he's currently at. He ran well at Ascot, didn't quite stay the 12f, but was bang there with a few furlongs to go. The form of that race has been a mixture of good and bad. Some of the horses have franked the form, others haven't and I think at the price and off his handicap mark of 94 I think he has it all to prove. The one I liked is Imperial Ace who might be much better on the AW compared to turf. He is 2/3 on the synthetic surfaces opposed to his record of 0/3 on turf. He was beginning to look exposed on turf with two below-par efforts at the start of this year, but he returned to form after the gelding operation and his handicap mark now sits off a rating of 88. It looked like he needed much further than a mile last time out at Ascot, he was pushed alone and did his best work entering the final furlong so stepping up to 10f for the first time on AW should be ideal.
His form as a juvenile has been franked a lot. He beat Roaring Legend and Regal Empire as a 2yo and the latter-named horse has improved no end and is now rated 91 and will go up even further having won off that mark on the weekend just gone.
At the prices I thought he looked like a nice EW price, alongside Greatgadian who was the only other horse I thought looked overpriced, so if you're backing him I can see why.
Genevieve 9.00 Newcastle ew extra @ 35s for top 6
GL
Red force one 4.00 Nott. @ 45s top 7 ew extra
GL
NR
🇺🇸 On the witching hour before I pumpkin!
Small singles and a wee Trixie..
00.00 TIME Event Mountaineer R1….Yo Yo Mon 9/2 ***+ Coral
R2…Julie’s Ferrari 2/1 *** Coral
R7…Red Hurricane 5/2 Coral *****
GL and well done to any winners yesterday 👌
Very strange the 5/2 price for Red Hurricane with Coral?
He’s 11/10 with Bet365 and Paddy Power who are the only others i see with prices.
*Julie’s Ferrari is 11/4 Coral.
2/1 was Bet365. 👌
Yo Yo Mon won 9/2 but 30p deduction
and Red Hurricane went off 6/4 and pi$$ed it . ✅
Group racing in France on a Tuesday 🤔
Victoria road 2-50 deauville 🇫🇷.
7-1 each way 3 places
French derby winner ace impact is 2-9 favourite but that doesn’t look a particularly strong classic
Runner up big rock was turned over on Sunday by gosdens inspiral.
3rd marhaba ya sanafi flopped on sunday.
4th feed the flame did follow up by winning a group 1 and is a horse to follow this autumn.
5th Epictetus followed up by finishing 13th in the Hampton court at Ascot.
Victoria road was mediocre in 5/6 furlong races until this time last year when upped to 7+ when he reeled off 4 wins including beating blue rose cen here giving that 3 pounds and then winning the breeders cup juvenile in yankland.
Hasn’t ran since November which is a worry but I’m sure Ryan Moore who rode this the last twice wouldn’t be here if I’d didn’t have a chance.
He is entered in 2 races at York next Wednesday so hopefully isn’t using this as a prep race, I’ve gone each way just in case but I think this has a chance of winning over this distance.
———————————————————-
In the other group race at 3-25.
Sivka burka 9-1 ew 3 places
Improving horse who won here last time out.
What no check on my Mountaineer tips and there odds Elvis at the time of posting etc? 🤔
I kid Sir and on a serious note, how would do you do that for USA lesser courses in America like Mountaineer and races of the sort?
I only see them for big races and early meetings so i compare prices by flicking through my different accounts but i often miss a price by the time I do that and trying to decide.
Cheers and GL today. Don’t remember Victoria Road race from Breeders Cup but certainly looks a good type I’ll be having a bet at the price and a large look as maybe he’s off back to Yankland??
Although he’s entered in the Qipco Champion Stakes on 23rd of October and Breeders Cups would be a sharp 2 week turnaround and he couldn’t defend his crown I’d think as it was Juvenile Mile he won and he’s all grown up now.
Along with beating Blue Rose Cen he beat some real nice horses in USA race!
In fact think I’ve just talked myself into a touch larger bet Elvis!
500 Ew on Victoria Road and I’ll be going to Breeders Cup’ if it wins 😂
GL 🇫🇷 🐈⬛ 🦨 🐎
2:50 lingfield – ajrad 13/2
3:20 lingfield- hot front – 15/8
4:55 lingfield- billaki mou 4/1
Smart Impression @ 12/1SP
13.40 Dundalk ew
bol
🇬🇧
After taking ‘Golden Shot’ last time he won and noting him down I’ve got him in an Acca at 11/10 today
Runs 4pm Nottingham and NO best odds for the Acca but anyway just glad i left the single out
Trying to find a reason why he’s out to 11/4?
He won last race won by 27 lengths (I’ve noted down around 20 lengths””?) and very reasonable penalty so bar the competition being bit better and larger field I think I’ll take 11/4. ***+
GL all today
Turns out I’ve got BOG In the Acca as Coral bet don’t do that bull$hit BOG after 9am stuff like others with it.
Good on them ✅ 👍.
Golden Shot generally 9/4 or lower now.
Mount mogan 2.50l 33-1☘️☘️gl all
Carlton 5.25 new @ 50s top 4
27s to 7 Ew extra
GL
🇺🇸
Couple of singles and a double…
Finger Lakes -R8…Dr Kraft 9/4 Nap *****
Seems well ahead of any of these by some distance? Only looked at the race as ive 2nd favourite ‘Hyper Speed’ in my tracker but can’t see him getting close,none in here have competed or placed in races as good. Tiz Licky tried but was last and then dropped in class to a lesser race and failed there on last run.
Horseshoe Indianapolis -R3…Manciato D’oro. 6/5 Skybet boost. ****
Chad Brown doesn’t run many here but this unbeaten filly stays here in same class and should get 3 timer.
GL all today.
for real 3.30 ew well done all winners yesterday
James Henry 3.40 ew
desert falcon 3.50 ew
mothill 4.00 ew
Kessaar Power @ 10/1SP
Win – 16.30 Nottingham – Paying 3 Places instead of 2
knew i would get a winner sooner or later
see the numbers falling into place now
Won
silks
7 – Longbourn @ 17/2
Win
16.40 Dundalk – Paying 5 Places instead of 3
dark street 5.15 ew well done all winners today
hopefully i can get on a roll now 🤞🏻🤞🏻🤞🏻
Won
silks
4 – Kentucky Kingdom @ 5/1
Win
16.55 Lingfield
5:15 Dundalk- dark street 8/1 e/w 💰💰💰
5:25 Newcastle- Great colaci 16/1 e/w
🇺🇸
Belterra -R2…Suporb 5/4 Skybet ****
Oops. An 2-6. Forecast for £2. 👌
5-6. 🤦♂️
Obviously Suporb is No: 5.
Small stakes with this Belterra it’s about class 7 stuff here? lol
👎.
5 and 6 were 2nd and 3rd. Stupid winner ruining things.
getting there
just watching for the sequence
GIDDY UP! 🏆🏇
YOU HAVE WON £3.75
W
2. Asense
7/2
getting there
just watching for the sequence
GIDDY UP! 🏆🏇
YOU HAVE WON £3.75
W
2. Asense
7/2
We Still Believe @ 7/1SP
Win – 18.00 Newcastle – Paying 4 Places instead of 3
ew i think not to sure
back to the drawing board
try
4
5
OWER STARLIGHT
(5 – 2 – 0 – 1 – 4 – 6)
🇺🇸 Posted these earlier and came in a bit in price.
Couple of singles and a double…
Finger Lakes -R8…Dr Kraft 9/4 Nap *****
Seems well ahead of any of these by some distance? Only looked at the race as ive 2nd favourite ‘Hyper Speed’ in my tracker but can’t see him getting close,none in here have competed or placed in races as good. Tiz Licky tried but was last and then dropped in class to a lesser race and failed there on last run.
Horseshoe Indianapolis -R3…Manciato D’oro. 6/5 Skybet boost. ****
Chad Brown doesn’t run many here but this unbeaten filly stays here in same class and should get 3 timer.
I’ve Added these for a 75p Canadian at Coral bet
Finger Lakes -R4…Rubys Mission 6/4
Thistledown -R5…Latin Spice EVS
Fort Erie -R2…Super Cool Storm. EVS
GL rest of the evening folk! 🫡 🇺🇸 👨⚖️
small bet on
Dazzerling @ 12/1SP
Win – 19.45 Chelmsford City – Paying 4 Places instead of 3
another day tomorrow
🖖
kwiz 615 ew well done all winners today
rockin Rosa 8.30 ew
nice shooting azz
cheers spurs55