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How Latin Verse didn't win on hurdles debut I'll never know. He didn't jump the best, but I feel like the jockey should've had him hugging the inside of the hurdles as he was jumping out violently to his left at nearly every hurdle and that would've straightened him up. 8/1 into 7/2 for a runner-up is painful.

William Dewhirst drifted out before the off and ran a poor race, never getting involved and struggled to pick up, looking like the class rise was a major issue.

Nottingham 3:42 – Desert Games 6/1 (0.5 pt EW SkyBet 3pl)

It's going to be a very tough 5f at Nottingham on today's heavy ground, so with that you'll need a horse who handles the ground and will probably stay further. I believe Desert Games will be best suited by today's scenario and looks great value at the current odds.

62 days ago he made his first start for new trainer, Hilal Kobeissi. For the majority of the race he was outpaced and going nowhere but I think his performance was much better than it might appear. I'd probably say that he was on the wrong side of the track that day at Goodwood, he didn't react to the first time blinkers all that well until about 1.5f from home where he found a new gear and picked up in eye-catching style and he was probably a bit unlucky not to finish closer if he was on the far rail and if he managed to pick up a bit quicker he would've been a player for the win.

bet365

The blinkers stay on for today's race which I think is a positive as he'd have a better understanding of them now. The soft ground is what he wants, he appears to appreciate this type of ground than any other and going off how he stayed on so well last time out I think he might have the stamina for further, which is going to be needed for today's race on stamina sapping ground. There could also be a decent pace on offer with a couple of horses liking to be up with the pace, and that would enhance his chances even further.

Nottingham 5:12 – Navarre Express 2/1 (1pt)

I don't think this is a strong race at all, I guess you could make claims for a couple, but I'd be very surprised if they were handicapped well enough to beat Navarre Express.

At a first glance you could say the drop to 10f isn't going to help this horse's chance of winning, which I totally understand as he looks like a true galloper and strong stayer, but on testing ground, like today I can only see that being a positive. I can see a lot of horses at Nottingham paddling for the finishing line many furlongs from home, so I think having that strong stayer on your side is going to be needed and knowing this horse stays 2f further than today's trip, and arguably further, is great.

He is very lightly raced and he clearly enjoyed the tough conditions at Ffos Las last time out. The form isn't anything to get excited about, but I like the progressive profile of this horse and it would be a shame if he couldn't progress again off a few pounds higher than last time.

Kempton 6:30 – Desert Cop 10/1 (0.5pt EW)

Running off top weight isn't ideal for Desert Cop but now he's back on the AW I think his progression as a sprinter can continue.

The Godolphin runner will be a short priced well-fancied horse for this race based on his form as a juvenile and his rating being clear in this lineup, with this being a big drop in class, but I wouldn't say he is bombproof. At the odds, I'm more than happy to take him on and I think Desert Cop is a great bet against him, and I think he has a much better chance of returning to form than the hotpot favourite.

Desert Cop won a Class 2 race on AW Champions Day at Newcastle when finishing ahead of Shouldvebeenaring. The latter horse was a recent tip at Longchamp on the weekend just gone and he finished 3rd in a Group 1 behind Kinross and the French winner. That form has worked out nicely since, and that was his last run on the AW, as connections opted for a try on the turf which didn't exactly work out, but I don't think he ran without promise. It's quite clear that this horse is better on the artificial surfaces than on grass and I'd say this race isn't as strong as what it might look on paper.

I think Brad The Brief is on a fast downward curve, he was a very good sprinter a couple of seasons ago but this year he hasn't been anywhere near that level. Misty Grey is a solid enough runner and is decent on the AW, but his recent efforts haven't been great. Mischief Magic is the one who should win if returning to form but we've seen it on many occasions that when something is wrong with a horse it's very hard to come back from it, and at the price, I think he has to be taken on.

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26 Comments
  1. recoba 5 months ago

    🇺🇸
    Last night’s effort started so well with 2 up and a 7/2 single but then it was 4 duffers!! 👎

    Night cap with these and it’s onwards to tomorrow

    Presque Isles -R8…Three Are One EVS ****+
    Mountaineer-R2…Areyoutalkingtome 7/2 ***
    R8…Quantum Theory 9/4 .

    🫡 j👨‍⚖️

    • recoba 5 months ago

      Apologies meant to leave/cut first one out there at Presque Isles Downs

      1
    • recoba 5 months ago

      Wee side bet Combo Tricast for Race 2 at Mountaineer
      Numbers… 1-2-3

    • recoba 5 months ago

      Maird!
      Taking a saver of sorts in R8 Mountaineer

      Chasing A Payday 8/1

  2. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    5:25 navan – Lisa Maria 8/1

    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Grabbed a place should know better really than to bet on the Irish stuff 😂

  3. elvis parsley 5 months ago

    Bolchoi 2-17 Chantilly 🇫🇷
    15-8 top 3 finish
    9-1 win
    80-20 stake
    Bet365

    1
  4. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    woodbay 2.20 nap

    4
    • mint 5 months ago

      Azzthewigan,

      Nice one bro, thanks

      Mint…

      2
    • azzthewigan 5 months ago

      cheers mint

  5. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    uncle Albert 2.25 nb

  6. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    well done all winners yesterday

    1
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      And all the winners that’s ever won ever 😂

      1
  7. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    7:00 kempton- dionysian 15/2 e/w

    2
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Sickening second !!!! Blaaaaa

    • robyn 5 months ago

      that was tight. this is what i started to write..

      i mentioned jamie osbornes red hot form last week. a random jockey for him was on a 12/1 shot who flew home and lost to a short head at 12s, the KING CABO race, the even money fav with basically a 8/1 2nd fav, david egan retains the ride and there are here again. the problem is he is now top weight, i have no doubt he will be full going for it, but at 4/1 is now risky…

      so i left it, and as an EW merchant, i backed yours without seeing you tip it haha so even sicker for me :D

      1
    • robyn 5 months ago

      backed yours.. win only i mean :D

      1
  8. recoba 5 months ago

    🇺🇸
    Belmont at The Big A…R5…Two Rivers EVS Skybet boost *****
    R5…Gold Lightning 4/1 Skybet ***
    Rfc with Gala Brand
    R7…Agate Road 9/4
    Got 3 from my tracker and Ortiz Jnr takes over on Agate Road who’s firing “bullet works” in training but wide open and others I’ve noted, Spirit Prince who was placed in a G3 last run looks big at 15/2 or 8-1 various and Flumineo can place. Figure a Trifecta later I think?
    Horseshoe Inddy…Metallic Man 7/4 ***+ Skybet boost

    GL all and well done winners today 👌

    • recoba 5 months ago

      Oh and If Gala Brand wins in Race 5 it will frank Spirit Prince form and it could be a good night for William Mott and jockey Joel Rosario. It’s a lot of races with horses at Belmont that could be anything and aiming for ‘Breeders Cup’ depending how they go so Trebles,4 Fold or Canadian without singles probably best bet.
      Small stakes for hopefully MAX profit or just no profit and good watch but banks not bust.

      GL yoll 🫡 🇺🇸 👨‍⚖️

      And ‘Mon the Hoops! 🍀 ⚽️ 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 🇮🇹

    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      The big “A”

  9. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    I bet you any amount of money tyndrum gold wins the 7:30 Newcastle! Watch !

    2
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Kempton 😂

    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Could read that one coming a mile off !! Had a nice little lump on that ! Thanks benderville !!!

  10. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    That aside . I love womens gymnastics ! 😛😍😍😍

  11. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    8:00 kempton – loose change bet

    Green power – 12/1 e/w

    2
  12. recoba 5 months ago

    Horseshoe Inddy.-R9…Cash Logistics 9/2 Coral ****

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