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It was a good start to the new week with two winners from three selections, with both winners winning in good style. The 50/1 pick drifted out to 150/1 and was in trouble a long way from home, but I did say there was a higher chance of that happening than anything else, at least the other two won to ensure a profit on the day.
Warwick 3:45
Having chase experience is a big benefit when coming against horses who have a lack of it or none at all. Still, I can't take my eyes away from HORIZON D'AINAY who is making his chase debut in this race, and though we haven't seen much of him, I think he could be more than capable of running a big race.
It's very eye-catching that connections are jumping straight to fences in his career which has only seen him run four times in total. That instantly says to me that they think he is a chaser and has shown some very good pieces of work at home as they aren't messing around and spending any longer over hurdles, which he seemed okay over. Those three runs over hurdles have allowed him to get a handicap mark and use that as a starting point over fences, and I think they believe he could be well-handicapped off a mark of 109.
Dan Skelton has a very good strike rate at this course, as I think it's one of his more local tracks and is a venue where he tends to target and have a fair amount of runners at. In the last five seasons he has had a 24% SR, which includes a 30% SR with horses over fences, so clearly knows what type of horse is required to run well around here. It's a big statement as well to send a debutante around Warwick as it is a stiff jumping test, so that could also be a tip in itself.
Fergus Gillard takes the rides, but that's not a concern as usual jockey Harry Skelton can't ride in this Conditional Jockeys-only race.
Keep an eye on the market as any strong vibes could suggest we're in store for a big run.
Ashkhabad in the last at Warwick. Opened up 12-1, then went straight out to 125/1 ( which was strange) now back in to 50s. Brian Hughes on board. Probably more of an ew extra bet. 26s for top 9 finish
GL
Currently 7/2 fav Pete 🤔.
What a donk!
1:30 warwick – Egbert 11/2
2:40 warwick – jaramillo 7-2
3:45 warwick – Hawthorne cottage 9/2
15:05 Redcar – knights wood 17/2
I got 16s wd
Thanks dazzman😇
If none of these win ill suck the spaghetti out a dogs ass !
Melbourne cup 4am 🇦🇺
Gold trip 16-1 ew 7 places SKYBET.
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Skippy to win then he will go to the ravine and show the ranger where there is a kid trapped, good ole skip
Boooom get in there skip 🇦🇺
I should really have put up “my tip” up too Elvis but least someone was on it and posted. 🇦🇺 🫡
Crazy price and out to 20/1 no less! 👍
I should really have put “my tip” up too Elvis but least someone was on it and posted. 🇦🇺 🫡
Crazy price and out to 20/1 no less! 👍
Alioski 1-10 southwell 14-1 bet365 ew extra 7 places.
Elvis aioski 16/1 on 365 and 22/1 on bv
Nice shooting Elvis 👍
Cheers spursy 👍.
Good luck in Marseille tonight, Conte not there for being a naughty boy.
They should get the draw they need as Marseille aren’t in the best of form and some of their stadium is closed because of those naughty ultras 🥊
Yep 🤞everything crossed Elvis
Hopefully Saturdays result will give them some kind of lift to get the job done.
It certainly lifted us lot Saturday afternoon sat in the Lennox pub Barcelona 🙏
Tilsitt – Newcastle 4.05 – 12/1
This has to be a cracking each way bet at the current odds.
CD winner who has been performing pretty well of late. His 2nd of 12 at Ayr last time out was a particularly good one considering he was racing out wide throughout, whereas the winner (who he finished just over a length behind) had the run of the race.
The jockey is a decent one who takes off a valuable 3lbs, which basically puts him back on his last winning mark. The horse has generally been facing better opposition than what he’ll encounter today with this representing a class drop compared to a lot of his previous races.
He is a consistent type who will most definitely give you a run for your money and will be there or thereabouts come the finishing line.
Good luck all 👍
lemon ice 1.00 ew
etalon 1.30
fari cuttlass 4.20 ew well done all winners yesterday
Start the day with
12:20 Redcar – 7f Nov Stks
Phoenix Fire
9/1
Bol all
Dieppe 🇫🇷
Mutabahi…2.32 11/4. Bet365.
Laurent from ATR has a double posted for this meeting so you could do the Trixie although both are on the drift and ones about to go off.
Memoris Dream in the 12.40 is his other
GL
Elvis u daisy take a bow
Cheers d’man.
Bit gutted I took the 14s for extra places (won at 22-1) 🤔.
16-1 and 14-1 winners today not a bad return though.
Be someone else’s turn tomorrow 🏇
Julie Camacho is having a pretty good season for a small stable. She sends 3 to Newcastle today but nothing to Redcar where her stables are based. But she’s also send one down to Southwell 5.30 Secret Equity. Never won on all weather but wasn’t beaten far last time at Newcastle. This is more of an observation than a tip but could be worth an ew extra small stakes.
50s at the moment top 3 or 28s top 5
GL
Lovely warring up to Melbourne Cup win 🏅
Well done the winners today!
/ 🇺🇸
Mixed bag last night.
The USA 4 fold was a nostril away and Canadian and single was some profit .
Zia Park -R1..Tap me A Text EVS
R4…Times Precious 6/4
Horseshoe Indianapolis-R2…Foot Rub Love 9/2
Finger Lakes-R4…Jitter Juice. 9/4
R8…Lelia Princes 9/2
Penn National- R6…Palace Supernova 3/1 Nap/
GL all
eladora 6.45 ew Rookley piont 7.15 ew well done all winners today
Outstanding azz
cheers d man
5r we double paid 330 I’m delighted. 720 made today.
E/w
always glad to help d.man
rockley
No dog shit spaghetti for me tonight ! Thought Egbert ran a good race In defeat will def be backing him next time but not really a day to brag about . Well done winners particularly elvis ! This is your season now ! Look forward to your future picks over the coming months
They were both on the flat dazzler.
Bus stop/DC 🇮🇪 the jumps guru’s here.
I’ve become a bit of a wanderer last couple of years, really enjoy the French racing as only one or two meetings a day to rack your brains 🇳🇱.
As a viewing fan though it’s British jumps all day long
Hopefully our American guru ol “red eye” recoba will land us a few this weekend . Well I’ll see if I can chip in with the jumps and make my presence felt ! Haha
One for 2 Moros
15:37 Musselburgh – nick lost 8/1
If this one doesn’t make the frame I will put on my African killer bee under pants !