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The form on the page has been a bit in and out recently by me over the past week or so, so to land 2/2 on Monday to kick the week off in the correct way was a big help. 

Both horses were short prices but proven to be value as they won with plenty in hand and both went off at a shorter price than when put up.

Southwell 12:35

If the forecast rain does arrive at Southwell I think you'll get a fair amount of non-runners, which is a shame but the ground was described as ‘good' on Monday, but they are expecting a fair amount of rain, which should change the ground to have some kind of ‘soft' in the description.

For me, I think HELTENHAM is the horse who could be ahead of his mark and with the recent run under his belt, as well as experience over fences I think he could be tough to beat.

He made a good debut over fences at Stratford around a month ago when finishing behind a decent-looking type from the Seamus Mullins yard. It was evident that Heltenham needed the run, as his gas tank emptied fairly quickly, but Harry Skelton wasn't too harsh on him and let him complete in his own time, which still saw him finish second. He jumped well for the most part, apart from some sticky jumping at the start, but for a chase debut, I thought it went well.

Southwell is a track that the Skeltons do well at, especially over fences. Dan has racked up a 41% SR in the last five years over fences, 17 wins from 41 runners, with Harry bettering that with a 45% SR. These fences are a fair bit easier than the ones at Stratford, and that should help a horse like Heltenham who is still inexperienced over fences.

The ground won't be an issue if it turns to soft as he has soft form in bumpers in France and ran well enough on heavy earlier this year at Carlisle in a hurdles race.

Sedgefield 1:55

I am always wary when backing a horse which has a Micky Hammond runner in it, as he is one of those crafty trainers who will land a decent gamble a fair few times throughout the season. Bandit D'Ainay is his runner in this, and after each run in England he is becoming more and more well-handicapped from his French form, and surely it's a matter of time before that mark of 86 turns to a win. I'm hoping today isn't the day, as the odds available for that horse aren't crazy good, so it wouldn't be worth their time for the gamble.

I'm siding with the form horse, BUDARRI, trained by Stuart Coltherd and ridden by his son Sam. Budarri arrives to Sedgefield with a recent win from Musselburgh, winning in good style. That win has resulted in his handicap mark going up 6lbs, which might raise a few eyebrows, but he is still on a good mark on previous form. He managed to win off 95 in 2019 and then followed it up on his next run off 99, so based on that he surely has a great chance today. He is a 9yo, so there's still life in his career yet, and I doubt he won't be able to go close off a mark of 81 today, especially based on that recent run which showed his old jumping ability.

The ground shouldn't be an issue, and running off 10st 9lbs should give him a fighting chance against the other in-form horse, Sabbathical, but that horse has to carry 12st 7lbs. He won recently off a high weight, but he's against an in-form horse of Budarri and that should be tough.

Horse Racing Tips
Heltenham
Southwell - 12:35 pm

9/4 @ Bet365

Budarri
Sedgefield - 1:55 pm

9/4 @ Bet365

15 Comments
  1. Sore point 2 years ago

    Southwell 3.35 RELEASE THE KRAKEN 9/2

    Sedgefield 12.55 ONESTEPATATIME 3/1
    Sedgefield 1.55 ZUCKERBERG 3/1
    Sedgefield 2.55 WARRIORS STORY 2/1

    Good luck everyone

    2
  2. Gateacre Pete 2 years ago

    Probably a day to keep your money in pocket today, but there’s a couple I’ll have a dabble at ew extra at Limerick
    Bergentown 2.15 @ 30 for top 9
    Hanara Rovan 3.45 @ 45s for top 5
    Small stakes of course
    GL today

    1
    • Gateacre Pete 2 years ago

      Should of took my own advice🙄

      1
  3. Gunnaberry 2 years ago

    To Be Sure – Sedgefield 12.55 – 6/1

    Only bet of the day for me and I’m hoping it’s a good one with To Be Sure.

    Evan Williams sends 4 horses about 300 miles to Sedgefield (longest traveller of the day) and I think this horse might be one of the reasons.

    The trainer has said that he expects him to improve for this step up in distance and he is still very unexposed over the larger obstacles.

    This contest represents a two level drop in class so he is the best rated horse in the race however I think he’ll be good enough to carry top weight. He won a decent hurdles race in April off of a 1lb higher mark and has previously won a class 3 contest from a 4lbs lower mark over fences, which was a better race than this.

    The track should suit and he was won on soft conditions before.

    I’m expecting a big run and have placed what you can call a confident each way bet.

    Good luck all 👍

    2
    • Gunnaberry 2 years ago

      Typo – The winning Class 3 contest should have read hurdles not fences. The horse has previously won over fences in a Class 5 race.

  4. azzthewigan 2 years ago

    famouse agent 12.15 Silkstone 12.25

    2
  5. azzthewigan 2 years ago

    sublime heights 12.35

  6. azzthewigan 2 years ago

    fiston du mou 12.55 well done all winners yesterday

  7. azzthewigan 2 years ago

    joes joy 12.45 ew

  8. azzthewigan 2 years ago

    george mallory 2.35 ew

    3
  9. azzthewigan 2 years ago

    might be nothing but ..grillon de monty seems a bit overpriced to me

  10. azzthewigan 2 years ago

    well done all winners today

  11. recoba 2 years ago

    Well done the winners today!

    🇺🇸
    Working like a Japanese Beaver!
    I’ve done a Hienz and not much time to explain but after a good hour study on my break(out of it 6pm!) here’s the picks!
    It’s an expensive Acca but like them all and can’t get away from the price of the Nb so rather than doing what I done last night and have a ‘side bet’ which won then a nice 2x singles and a double later that won too along with the Yankee I’ve went McMental! 😉

    Finger Lakes -R1..Wickesoty 13/8
    R2…Gimmedamoney 6/5
    R5…Jackson Avenue 13/2 Bet365 Nb/***
    R7..Warrior Revenge 2/1
    Mahoning -R3…Itsgoodtobeseen 7/2
    Zia Park – R9…Kristenbosch. 9/5 Paddy Power Nap/****

    GL all

    1
    • recoba 2 years ago

      Very close to the off for the first there?

      Be thankful for it! 😉 👎.

      #NextFiveAreBankers

    • recoba 2 years ago

      Quick write up …
      Nb…Jackson Avenue beat Cricket West who’s 11/8 favourite in the last at Finger Lakes in a similar race and he’s raced twice so plenty of improvement…Hopefully?

      Nap just by far best in most categories but he holds no secrets like the rest ,19th race I think?
      He just needs to run to something close to his best.

      GL 🫡

      1

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