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Yesterday's German selection gave it a good go, but wasn't good enough as the other well-backed German horse was a little too good on the day. As for Shamad. WOW. No words for that one. Considering connections won that race in 2019, and they sent the same horse this year, on a 600 mile round trip, you would've thought he would be primed for it…clearly not. An embarrassing run, unless he had an injury, but I've heard nothing about an injury, so from my eyes that was very poor.
Just the one selection from me today to start off the new week, coming from Newcastle's evening card.
A race on paper which looks to be ran at a slow tempo, so it could be worth siding with a horse who will be up with the pace. The most likely leader is HAVEYOUMISSEDME, who was a front runner when he last ran 44 days ago over this C&D. That race was a falsely run affair, and it made it very difficult for some of the horses to get fully involved, and I'm hoping the same can happen in this race. Though he didn't win last time out, he actually bumped into a few well handicapped types. The 2nd has won since, and the 3rd finished second in the Melrose Handicap at the York Ebor Festival. Cormier who finished last is definitely a well handicapped horse, and we haven't seen the best of him yet, as he needs conditions to fall right for him, and a slow pace isn't ideal for him.
I think it's worth trying to get the short-priced favourite beat in this contest, as he doesn't look bullet proof. He is going to be short in the market due to being trained by Roger Varian, but this horse isn't one of Roger's good horses, hence the reason he is a maiden after five runs. He is closely matched with Night Moment, who finished a 0.5 lengths behind him at Newbury where they contested the same race, yet the price difference between the two is quite big. If the selection does get to the front, and does set a slow pace, then there is a good chance that Mushirif will be keen and pull hard like he has done in the past, which should make his finishing effort much weaker. If you're backing a horse at EVS you would think they're much better handicapped than the rest of the field, but based on what I've seen, I don't think that's the case.
Haveyoumissed me isn't going to be a world beater by any stretch of the imagination, but he has won a race, something which the favourite hasn't managed to do, and he also handles this track.